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Financial inclusion, shadow economy and financial stability: Evidence from emerging economies

This study analyzes the interrelation between financial inclusion, the size of the shadow economy (SE) and the level of financial system stability on a panel sample of 20 emerging economic from 2004-2014. Using on panel fixed effects Two-Stage Linear Regression (2SLS), we find that different levels...

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Main Author: Elsherif, Nevine Essam
Format: Thesis
Published: AUC Knowledge Fountain 2019
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access_status_str Open Access
author Elsherif, Nevine Essam
author_browse Elsherif, Nevine Essam
author_facet Elsherif, Nevine Essam
author_sort Elsherif, Nevine Essam
collection Thesis
dc_rights_str_mv The author retains all rights with regard to copyright. The author certifies that written permission from the owner(s) of third-party copyrighted matter included in the thesis, dissertation, paper, or record of study has been obtained. The author further certifies that IRB approval has been obtained for this thesis, or that IRB approval is not necessary for this thesis. Insofar as this thesis, dissertation, paper, or record of study is an educational record as defined in the Family Educational Rights and Privacy Act (FERPA) (20 USC 1232g), the author has granted consent to disclosure of it to anyone who requests a copy.
description This study analyzes the interrelation between financial inclusion, the size of the shadow economy (SE) and the level of financial system stability on a panel sample of 20 emerging economic from 2004-2014. Using on panel fixed effects Two-Stage Linear Regression (2SLS), we find that different levels of financial inclusion lead to different levels of financial stability, and the size of the SE can greatly influence this relationship. We use two models: one for assessing the SE-inclusion tradeoff and the other for assessing the stability-inclusion tradeoff respectively. To measure inclusion and stability, we have computed two different indices using the same methodology employed by Sarma (2008). Our main findings show that financial inclusion has no significant effect on the size of the SE, however, both inclusion and SE can significantly increase the level of financial instability. Other variables were found to have a significant positive relation with SE like income inequality, age dependency ratio and credit to government and state-owned enterprises. While, income levels, unemployment, secondary school enrollment, and trade openness had a significant negative effect on the size of the SE. Regarding the impact on our computed index of financial instability and its determinants, concentration in the banking sector, competition in the banking sector, concentration in the banking sector, and financial openness were found to have a positive effect on the level of instability. Income levels were found to have mixed effects on the three measures of financial instability, while broad money to GDP (%); as a proxy for size of financial sector, bank overhead costs; as a proxy of banks' inefficiency had significant negative effects on level of financial instability.
format Thesis
id oai:fount.aucegypt.edu:etds-1519
institution American University in Cairo (Egypt)
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:35:42.290Z
license_str Other — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from AUC Knowledge Fountain — bepress
publishDate 2019
publishDateRange 2019
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publisher AUC Knowledge Fountain
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source_str AUC Knowledge Fountain — bepress
spelling oai:fount.aucegypt.edu:etds-1519 Financial inclusion, shadow economy and financial stability: Evidence from emerging economies Elsherif, Nevine Essam This study analyzes the interrelation between financial inclusion, the size of the shadow economy (SE) and the level of financial system stability on a panel sample of 20 emerging economic from 2004-2014. Using on panel fixed effects Two-Stage Linear Regression (2SLS), we find that different levels of financial inclusion lead to different levels of financial stability, and the size of the SE can greatly influence this relationship. We use two models: one for assessing the SE-inclusion tradeoff and the other for assessing the stability-inclusion tradeoff respectively. To measure inclusion and stability, we have computed two different indices using the same methodology employed by Sarma (2008). Our main findings show that financial inclusion has no significant effect on the size of the SE, however, both inclusion and SE can significantly increase the level of financial instability. Other variables were found to have a significant positive relation with SE like income inequality, age dependency ratio and credit to government and state-owned enterprises. While, income levels, unemployment, secondary school enrollment, and trade openness had a significant negative effect on the size of the SE. Regarding the impact on our computed index of financial instability and its determinants, concentration in the banking sector, competition in the banking sector, concentration in the banking sector, and financial openness were found to have a positive effect on the level of instability. Income levels were found to have mixed effects on the three measures of financial instability, while broad money to GDP (%); as a proxy for size of financial sector, bank overhead costs; as a proxy of banks' inefficiency had significant negative effects on level of financial instability. 2019-02-01T08:00:00Z thesis application/pdf https://fount.aucegypt.edu/etds/520 https://fount.aucegypt.edu/context/etds/article/1519/viewcontent/Thesis_20__20Nevine_20Elsherif_20_Final.pdf The author retains all rights with regard to copyright. The author certifies that written permission from the owner(s) of third-party copyrighted matter included in the thesis, dissertation, paper, or record of study has been obtained. The author further certifies that IRB approval has been obtained for this thesis, or that IRB approval is not necessary for this thesis. Insofar as this thesis, dissertation, paper, or record of study is an educational record as defined in the Family Educational Rights and Privacy Act (FERPA) (20 USC 1232g), the author has granted consent to disclosure of it to anyone who requests a copy. Theses and Dissertations AUC Knowledge Fountain Finance Shadow Economy
spellingShingle Finance
Shadow Economy
Elsherif, Nevine Essam
Financial inclusion, shadow economy and financial stability: Evidence from emerging economies
title Financial inclusion, shadow economy and financial stability: Evidence from emerging economies
title_full Financial inclusion, shadow economy and financial stability: Evidence from emerging economies
title_fullStr Financial inclusion, shadow economy and financial stability: Evidence from emerging economies
title_full_unstemmed Financial inclusion, shadow economy and financial stability: Evidence from emerging economies
title_short Financial inclusion, shadow economy and financial stability: Evidence from emerging economies
title_sort financial inclusion shadow economy and financial stability evidence from emerging economies
topic Finance
Shadow Economy
url https://fount.aucegypt.edu/etds/520
https://fount.aucegypt.edu/context/etds/article/1519/viewcontent/Thesis_20__20Nevine_20Elsherif_20_Final.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT elsherifnevineessam financialinclusionshadoweconomyandfinancialstabilityevidencefromemergingeconomies