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The Impact of the Capital Market, the Insurance Sector and the Mortgage Finance Sector on Economic Growth in Egypt, 2005-2019

This thesis aims to explore the relationship between financial markets and economic growth in Egypt for the 15 years period, starting from 2005 to 2019. The study concentrates on the non-banking financial sector which includes the stock market, the debt market, the mortgage and the insurance sectors...

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Main Author: Anis, Hana
Format: Thesis
Published: AUC Knowledge Fountain 2021
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access_status_str Open Access
author Anis, Hana
author_browse Anis, Hana
author_facet Anis, Hana
author_sort Anis, Hana
collection Thesis
description This thesis aims to explore the relationship between financial markets and economic growth in Egypt for the 15 years period, starting from 2005 to 2019. The study concentrates on the non-banking financial sector which includes the stock market, the debt market, the mortgage and the insurance sectors. The Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model is utilized to describe the relationship between GDP growth rate, as a proxy for economic growth, and a number of variables from the financial sector. Results of the analysis show that there is a significant relationship and statistical causality between the growth rate and the debt market, represented by credit allocations to the government and credit allocations to the private sector. Results of the causality test support the supply-leading growth hypothesis, stating that causality is unidirectional and runs from the financial market to economic growth. Yet, the study indicates that the bond market, represented by outstanding treasury instruments, has no contribution in enhancing growth. These findings are attributed to the dominance of the debt market over the equity market in raising capital. Also, a positive relationship is witnessed between stock market liquidity, measured by the turnover ratio, and economic growth; while stock market size, measured by market capitalization, is found to be insignificant to growth. The latter is explained by the speculative-based decisions on which the Egyptian stock market operates, rather than investment-based decisions. Similarly, no statistical significance is identified between economic growth and the sizes of the insurance and mortgage finance sectors, measured by insurance premiums and outstanding mortgage loans, respectively. These results are justified by the insurance market’s untapped growth potential and the overlap of financial services offered by banks and financial service companies.
format Thesis
id oai:fount.aucegypt.edu:etds-2580
institution American University in Cairo (Egypt)
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:35:50.652Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from AUC Knowledge Fountain — bepress
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spelling oai:fount.aucegypt.edu:etds-2580 The Impact of the Capital Market, the Insurance Sector and the Mortgage Finance Sector on Economic Growth in Egypt, 2005-2019 Anis, Hana This thesis aims to explore the relationship between financial markets and economic growth in Egypt for the 15 years period, starting from 2005 to 2019. The study concentrates on the non-banking financial sector which includes the stock market, the debt market, the mortgage and the insurance sectors. The Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model is utilized to describe the relationship between GDP growth rate, as a proxy for economic growth, and a number of variables from the financial sector. Results of the analysis show that there is a significant relationship and statistical causality between the growth rate and the debt market, represented by credit allocations to the government and credit allocations to the private sector. Results of the causality test support the supply-leading growth hypothesis, stating that causality is unidirectional and runs from the financial market to economic growth. Yet, the study indicates that the bond market, represented by outstanding treasury instruments, has no contribution in enhancing growth. These findings are attributed to the dominance of the debt market over the equity market in raising capital. Also, a positive relationship is witnessed between stock market liquidity, measured by the turnover ratio, and economic growth; while stock market size, measured by market capitalization, is found to be insignificant to growth. The latter is explained by the speculative-based decisions on which the Egyptian stock market operates, rather than investment-based decisions. Similarly, no statistical significance is identified between economic growth and the sizes of the insurance and mortgage finance sectors, measured by insurance premiums and outstanding mortgage loans, respectively. These results are justified by the insurance market’s untapped growth potential and the overlap of financial services offered by banks and financial service companies. 2021-01-31T08:00:00Z thesis application/pdf https://fount.aucegypt.edu/etds/1613 https://fount.aucegypt.edu/context/etds/article/2580/viewcontent/Hana_Anis_____MSF_Thesis___Final.pdf Theses and Dissertations AUC Knowledge Fountain Non-banking financial sector finance economic growth GDP debt market stock market insurance mortgage Egypt. Finance Finance and Financial Management Growth and Development Insurance Macroeconomics
spellingShingle Non-banking financial sector
finance
economic growth
GDP
debt market
stock market
insurance
mortgage
Egypt.
Finance
Finance and Financial Management
Growth and Development
Insurance
Macroeconomics
Anis, Hana
The Impact of the Capital Market, the Insurance Sector and the Mortgage Finance Sector on Economic Growth in Egypt, 2005-2019
title The Impact of the Capital Market, the Insurance Sector and the Mortgage Finance Sector on Economic Growth in Egypt, 2005-2019
title_full The Impact of the Capital Market, the Insurance Sector and the Mortgage Finance Sector on Economic Growth in Egypt, 2005-2019
title_fullStr The Impact of the Capital Market, the Insurance Sector and the Mortgage Finance Sector on Economic Growth in Egypt, 2005-2019
title_full_unstemmed The Impact of the Capital Market, the Insurance Sector and the Mortgage Finance Sector on Economic Growth in Egypt, 2005-2019
title_short The Impact of the Capital Market, the Insurance Sector and the Mortgage Finance Sector on Economic Growth in Egypt, 2005-2019
title_sort impact of the capital market the insurance sector and the mortgage finance sector on economic growth in egypt 2005 2019
topic Non-banking financial sector
finance
economic growth
GDP
debt market
stock market
insurance
mortgage
Egypt.
Finance
Finance and Financial Management
Growth and Development
Insurance
Macroeconomics
url https://fount.aucegypt.edu/etds/1613
https://fount.aucegypt.edu/context/etds/article/2580/viewcontent/Hana_Anis_____MSF_Thesis___Final.pdf
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