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Stuck in the Middle: An Analysis of Economic Growth and the Technological Intensity of Exports

Driven by the persistence of some economies’ lower-middle-income status, also known as the middle-income trap, this research aims to identify the relationship between exports and their growth rates. A Cobb-Douglass model augmented by the different types of exports is employed, and the relationship i...

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Main Author: Abdel Halim, Aya
Format: Thesis
Published: AUC Knowledge Fountain 2022
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access_status_str Open Access
author Abdel Halim, Aya
author_browse Abdel Halim, Aya
author_facet Abdel Halim, Aya
author_sort Abdel Halim, Aya
collection Thesis
description Driven by the persistence of some economies’ lower-middle-income status, also known as the middle-income trap, this research aims to identify the relationship between exports and their growth rates. A Cobb-Douglass model augmented by the different types of exports is employed, and the relationship is estimated for a panel of 77 lower-middle-income economies using multiple two-step system Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) model. This research’s contribution to the literature is two-fold: First, it analyzes exports from both an aggregated level (i.e., total exports) as well as at a disaggregated level by the technological intensity of exports. To add, the panel of lower-middle-income economies is studied as a whole, as well as divided by their trade openness levels, then by their different economic sizes. The findings firstly indicate a lack of homogeneity between countries of the used panel. Exports appear to have a significant relationship with economic growth in countries that are relatively more open or larger. Second, spillover effects were identified in more open economies. To add, the role of capitalizing on factor endowments was pronounced throughout the panel. Evidence of the Dutch Disease effect was also observed. Finally, an additional estimation including imports suggests that growth from imports could be one of the determinants to growth of the panel.
format Thesis
id oai:fount.aucegypt.edu:etds-2874
institution American University in Cairo (Egypt)
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:35:51.500Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from AUC Knowledge Fountain — bepress
publishDate 2022
publishDateRange 2022
publishDateSort 2022
publisher AUC Knowledge Fountain
publisherStr AUC Knowledge Fountain
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source_str AUC Knowledge Fountain — bepress
spelling oai:fount.aucegypt.edu:etds-2874 Stuck in the Middle: An Analysis of Economic Growth and the Technological Intensity of Exports Abdel Halim, Aya Driven by the persistence of some economies’ lower-middle-income status, also known as the middle-income trap, this research aims to identify the relationship between exports and their growth rates. A Cobb-Douglass model augmented by the different types of exports is employed, and the relationship is estimated for a panel of 77 lower-middle-income economies using multiple two-step system Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) model. This research’s contribution to the literature is two-fold: First, it analyzes exports from both an aggregated level (i.e., total exports) as well as at a disaggregated level by the technological intensity of exports. To add, the panel of lower-middle-income economies is studied as a whole, as well as divided by their trade openness levels, then by their different economic sizes. The findings firstly indicate a lack of homogeneity between countries of the used panel. Exports appear to have a significant relationship with economic growth in countries that are relatively more open or larger. Second, spillover effects were identified in more open economies. To add, the role of capitalizing on factor endowments was pronounced throughout the panel. Evidence of the Dutch Disease effect was also observed. Finally, an additional estimation including imports suggests that growth from imports could be one of the determinants to growth of the panel. 2022-02-17T08:00:00Z thesis application/pdf https://fount.aucegypt.edu/etds/1855 https://fount.aucegypt.edu/context/etds/article/2874/viewcontent/STUCK_IN_THE_MIDDLE_AN_ANALYSIS_OF_ECONOMIC_GROWTH_AND_THE_TECHNOLOGICAL_INTENSITY_OF_EXPORTS.pdf Theses and Dissertations AUC Knowledge Fountain Trade technology growth lower-middle-income exports GMM Growth and Development International Economics Macroeconomics
spellingShingle Trade
technology
growth
lower-middle-income
exports
GMM
Growth and Development
International Economics
Macroeconomics
Abdel Halim, Aya
Stuck in the Middle: An Analysis of Economic Growth and the Technological Intensity of Exports
title Stuck in the Middle: An Analysis of Economic Growth and the Technological Intensity of Exports
title_full Stuck in the Middle: An Analysis of Economic Growth and the Technological Intensity of Exports
title_fullStr Stuck in the Middle: An Analysis of Economic Growth and the Technological Intensity of Exports
title_full_unstemmed Stuck in the Middle: An Analysis of Economic Growth and the Technological Intensity of Exports
title_short Stuck in the Middle: An Analysis of Economic Growth and the Technological Intensity of Exports
title_sort stuck in the middle an analysis of economic growth and the technological intensity of exports
topic Trade
technology
growth
lower-middle-income
exports
GMM
Growth and Development
International Economics
Macroeconomics
url https://fount.aucegypt.edu/etds/1855
https://fount.aucegypt.edu/context/etds/article/2874/viewcontent/STUCK_IN_THE_MIDDLE_AN_ANALYSIS_OF_ECONOMIC_GROWTH_AND_THE_TECHNOLOGICAL_INTENSITY_OF_EXPORTS.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT abdelhalimaya stuckinthemiddleananalysisofeconomicgrowthandthetechnologicalintensityofexports