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Tactical Compromises: Authoritarian Survival Mechanisms of Sudan’s Inqaz Regime (1989-2019)

How did the Inqaz regime survive a civil war, economic crises, mass upheavals, and political stagnation for thirty years? This question guides the study’s analysis of the survival of one of the MENA’s most resilient authoritarian regimes. Authoritarian durability is an adaptive risk-taking process o...

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Main Author: Abdelnabi, Dalia
Format: Thesis
Published: AUC Knowledge Fountain 2024
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access_status_str Open Access
author Abdelnabi, Dalia
author_browse Abdelnabi, Dalia
author_facet Abdelnabi, Dalia
author_sort Abdelnabi, Dalia
collection Thesis
description How did the Inqaz regime survive a civil war, economic crises, mass upheavals, and political stagnation for thirty years? This question guides the study’s analysis of the survival of one of the MENA’s most resilient authoritarian regimes. Authoritarian durability is an adaptive risk-taking process of implementing politically costly plans to survive in power. This research investigates authoritarian survival through power-sharing reforms and coup-proofing tactics. The study highlights the role of the autocratic ruling coalition in maintaining regime durability and argues that intra-elite dynamics are key to understanding an autocrat’s exit without a clear successor. To this end, I investigate the changes in the ruling coalition's composition under the Inqaz regime across several periods punctuated by critical junctures and question the role of these changes in prolonging the regime's life. The guiding lens through which I tackle the regime’s resilience is the theory of coup-proofing. I complement the analysis with the political marketplace approach to better understand the last phases of the regime's cycle. The primary method of analysis is process tracing, connecting path-dependent events and finding their plausible causes, as adaptability-to-survive is a central focus. The study relies on secondary sources and over a dozen semi-structured interviews with Sudanese and non-Sudanese scholars and journalists. The study finds that the Inqaz regime survived in power through a series of elite reconfigurations and fell when its coup-proofing tactics backfired. In the end, the security elite triad came to the improbable yet tactical agreement that their survival hinges on the autocrat’s removal.
format Thesis
id oai:fount.aucegypt.edu:etds-3336
institution American University in Cairo (Egypt)
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:35:55.364Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from AUC Knowledge Fountain — bepress
publishDate 2024
publishDateRange 2024
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spelling oai:fount.aucegypt.edu:etds-3336 Tactical Compromises: Authoritarian Survival Mechanisms of Sudan’s Inqaz Regime (1989-2019) Abdelnabi, Dalia How did the Inqaz regime survive a civil war, economic crises, mass upheavals, and political stagnation for thirty years? This question guides the study’s analysis of the survival of one of the MENA’s most resilient authoritarian regimes. Authoritarian durability is an adaptive risk-taking process of implementing politically costly plans to survive in power. This research investigates authoritarian survival through power-sharing reforms and coup-proofing tactics. The study highlights the role of the autocratic ruling coalition in maintaining regime durability and argues that intra-elite dynamics are key to understanding an autocrat’s exit without a clear successor. To this end, I investigate the changes in the ruling coalition's composition under the Inqaz regime across several periods punctuated by critical junctures and question the role of these changes in prolonging the regime's life. The guiding lens through which I tackle the regime’s resilience is the theory of coup-proofing. I complement the analysis with the political marketplace approach to better understand the last phases of the regime's cycle. The primary method of analysis is process tracing, connecting path-dependent events and finding their plausible causes, as adaptability-to-survive is a central focus. The study relies on secondary sources and over a dozen semi-structured interviews with Sudanese and non-Sudanese scholars and journalists. The study finds that the Inqaz regime survived in power through a series of elite reconfigurations and fell when its coup-proofing tactics backfired. In the end, the security elite triad came to the improbable yet tactical agreement that their survival hinges on the autocrat’s removal. 2024-06-12T07:00:00Z thesis application/pdf https://fount.aucegypt.edu/etds/2293 https://fount.aucegypt.edu/context/etds/article/3336/viewcontent/auto_convert.pdf Theses and Dissertations AUC Knowledge Fountain authoritarianism regime survival regime failure political marketplace Sudan coup-proofing authoritarian durability ruling coalition elite fragmentation Comparative Politics
spellingShingle authoritarianism
regime survival
regime failure
political marketplace
Sudan
coup-proofing
authoritarian durability
ruling coalition
elite fragmentation
Comparative Politics
Abdelnabi, Dalia
Tactical Compromises: Authoritarian Survival Mechanisms of Sudan’s Inqaz Regime (1989-2019)
title Tactical Compromises: Authoritarian Survival Mechanisms of Sudan’s Inqaz Regime (1989-2019)
title_full Tactical Compromises: Authoritarian Survival Mechanisms of Sudan’s Inqaz Regime (1989-2019)
title_fullStr Tactical Compromises: Authoritarian Survival Mechanisms of Sudan’s Inqaz Regime (1989-2019)
title_full_unstemmed Tactical Compromises: Authoritarian Survival Mechanisms of Sudan’s Inqaz Regime (1989-2019)
title_short Tactical Compromises: Authoritarian Survival Mechanisms of Sudan’s Inqaz Regime (1989-2019)
title_sort tactical compromises authoritarian survival mechanisms of sudan s inqaz regime 1989 2019
topic authoritarianism
regime survival
regime failure
political marketplace
Sudan
coup-proofing
authoritarian durability
ruling coalition
elite fragmentation
Comparative Politics
url https://fount.aucegypt.edu/etds/2293
https://fount.aucegypt.edu/context/etds/article/3336/viewcontent/auto_convert.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT abdelnabidalia tacticalcompromisesauthoritariansurvivalmechanismsofsudansinqazregime19892019