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Bitcoin as a Currency: A Theoretical Framework of Bitcoin’s Supply Effect on Consumption and Inflation

This thesis examines the macroeconomic effects of Bitcoin's fixed money supply within a dynamic general equilibrium context. Traditional Keynesian economics proposes that central banks regulate the money supply through interest rate manipulation and monetary interventions to promote economic stabili...

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Main Author: Hassan, Begad Amr
Format: Thesis
Published: AUC Knowledge Fountain 2025
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access_status_str Open Access
author Hassan, Begad Amr
author_browse Hassan, Begad Amr
author_facet Hassan, Begad Amr
author_sort Hassan, Begad Amr
collection Thesis
description This thesis examines the macroeconomic effects of Bitcoin's fixed money supply within a dynamic general equilibrium context. Traditional Keynesian economics proposes that central banks regulate the money supply through interest rate manipulation and monetary interventions to promote economic stability within the market. However, cryptocurrencies, like Bitcoin, present a challenge due to their algorithmically predetermined supply, which halves every four years, removing discretionary monetary policy. By adapting Calvo's (1983) staggered-price model to a closed economy, supposing Bitcoin is the only medium of exchange, it is deduced that Bitcoin's deflationary nature causes a persistent consumption collapse and hyper deflationary spirals. Furthermore, calibrations reveal that the absence of monetary stabilization mechanisms at any price rigidity level leads to volatile demand shocks and economic instability. The findings align with Friedman's (1969) and Claeys et al.’s (2018) critiques. They underscore Bitcoin’s limitations as a viable currency and highlight the need for a hybrid mechanism to counteract its scarcity with macroeconomic stability. This research builds on the literature by formalizing the trade-offs inherent in decentralized monetary policies and providing quantitative evidence of Bitcoin’s destabilizing effects under New Keynesian economics.
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institution American University in Cairo (Egypt)
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:35:56.457Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from AUC Knowledge Fountain — bepress
publishDate 2025
publishDateRange 2025
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spelling oai:fount.aucegypt.edu:etds-3577 Bitcoin as a Currency: A Theoretical Framework of Bitcoin’s Supply Effect on Consumption and Inflation Hassan, Begad Amr This thesis examines the macroeconomic effects of Bitcoin's fixed money supply within a dynamic general equilibrium context. Traditional Keynesian economics proposes that central banks regulate the money supply through interest rate manipulation and monetary interventions to promote economic stability within the market. However, cryptocurrencies, like Bitcoin, present a challenge due to their algorithmically predetermined supply, which halves every four years, removing discretionary monetary policy. By adapting Calvo's (1983) staggered-price model to a closed economy, supposing Bitcoin is the only medium of exchange, it is deduced that Bitcoin's deflationary nature causes a persistent consumption collapse and hyper deflationary spirals. Furthermore, calibrations reveal that the absence of monetary stabilization mechanisms at any price rigidity level leads to volatile demand shocks and economic instability. The findings align with Friedman's (1969) and Claeys et al.’s (2018) critiques. They underscore Bitcoin’s limitations as a viable currency and highlight the need for a hybrid mechanism to counteract its scarcity with macroeconomic stability. This research builds on the literature by formalizing the trade-offs inherent in decentralized monetary policies and providing quantitative evidence of Bitcoin’s destabilizing effects under New Keynesian economics. 2025-06-18T07:00:00Z thesis application/pdf https://fount.aucegypt.edu/etds/2527 https://fount.aucegypt.edu/context/etds/article/3577/viewcontent/auto_convert.pdf Theses and Dissertations AUC Knowledge Fountain Bitcoin Fixed Money Supply DGE model Staggered-price model Money Supply Inflation Consumption Economics Economic Theory Macroeconomics
spellingShingle Bitcoin
Fixed Money Supply
DGE model
Staggered-price model
Money Supply
Inflation
Consumption
Economics
Economic Theory
Macroeconomics
Hassan, Begad Amr
Bitcoin as a Currency: A Theoretical Framework of Bitcoin’s Supply Effect on Consumption and Inflation
title Bitcoin as a Currency: A Theoretical Framework of Bitcoin’s Supply Effect on Consumption and Inflation
title_full Bitcoin as a Currency: A Theoretical Framework of Bitcoin’s Supply Effect on Consumption and Inflation
title_fullStr Bitcoin as a Currency: A Theoretical Framework of Bitcoin’s Supply Effect on Consumption and Inflation
title_full_unstemmed Bitcoin as a Currency: A Theoretical Framework of Bitcoin’s Supply Effect on Consumption and Inflation
title_short Bitcoin as a Currency: A Theoretical Framework of Bitcoin’s Supply Effect on Consumption and Inflation
title_sort bitcoin as a currency a theoretical framework of bitcoin s supply effect on consumption and inflation
topic Bitcoin
Fixed Money Supply
DGE model
Staggered-price model
Money Supply
Inflation
Consumption
Economics
Economic Theory
Macroeconomics
url https://fount.aucegypt.edu/etds/2527
https://fount.aucegypt.edu/context/etds/article/3577/viewcontent/auto_convert.pdf
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