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Metabolic Syndrome Beyond Diagnostic Criteria: Population-Scale Integrative Metabolomics Characterization

Background: Metabolic syndrome (MetS) is a complex cluster of interrelated metabolic abnormalities associated with elevated cardiometabolic risk. While diagnosis is based on well-established five clinical criteria, these may overlook early or atypical metabolic alterations. Large-scale metabolomic p...

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Main Author: Talal, Marwa
Format: Thesis
Published: AUC Knowledge Fountain 2026
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access_status_str Open Access
author Talal, Marwa
author_browse Talal, Marwa
author_facet Talal, Marwa
author_sort Talal, Marwa
collection Thesis
description Background: Metabolic syndrome (MetS) is a complex cluster of interrelated metabolic abnormalities associated with elevated cardiometabolic risk. While diagnosis is based on well-established five clinical criteria, these may overlook early or atypical metabolic alterations. Large-scale metabolomic profiling offers an opportunity to identify biochemical signatures of MetS beyond diagnostic bias and to evaluate their relative importance across different presentations of the syndrome. Methods: Data from 117,147 UK Biobank participants were analyzed in a cross-sectional design. High-throughput NMR quantified 75 circulating metabolites, for. Univariate analyses, MetS subtype stratification, and elastic net models with SHAP interpretation were applied to assess feature importance, predictive performance, and phenotypic heterogeneity. Surrogate indices of insulin resistance and visceral adiposity were also derived. Results: MetS was associated with widespread metabolic alterations across multiple biochemical classes, with the largest effect sizes observed for lipoprotein (LP) subfraction measures, particularly very-low-density lipoprotein (VLDL) and high-density lipoprotein (HDL) subclass concentrations and particle diameters. LP metrics consistently outperformed other metabolite classes in distinguishing MetS from nonMetS, both in univariate and multivariate models, and retained predictive value when considered independently of diagnostic criteria. LP-based models also identified metabolic disturbances in individuals not meeting conventional MetS thresholds, suggesting utility for early or subclinical risk detection. Subtype analyses revealed distinct metabolic patterns across different combinations of diagnostic criteria, highlighting phenotypic heterogeneity within MetS. Conclusions: This large-scale integrative analysis demonstrates that detailed LP subfraction profiling provides strong, independent discriminatory power for MetS classification and may capture early metabolic risk overlooked by standard diagnostic thresholds.
format Thesis
id oai:fount.aucegypt.edu:etds-3665
institution American University in Cairo (Egypt)
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:35:59.828Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from AUC Knowledge Fountain — bepress
publishDate 2026
publishDateRange 2026
publishDateSort 2026
publisher AUC Knowledge Fountain
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source_str AUC Knowledge Fountain — bepress
spelling oai:fount.aucegypt.edu:etds-3665 Metabolic Syndrome Beyond Diagnostic Criteria: Population-Scale Integrative Metabolomics Characterization Talal, Marwa Background: Metabolic syndrome (MetS) is a complex cluster of interrelated metabolic abnormalities associated with elevated cardiometabolic risk. While diagnosis is based on well-established five clinical criteria, these may overlook early or atypical metabolic alterations. Large-scale metabolomic profiling offers an opportunity to identify biochemical signatures of MetS beyond diagnostic bias and to evaluate their relative importance across different presentations of the syndrome. Methods: Data from 117,147 UK Biobank participants were analyzed in a cross-sectional design. High-throughput NMR quantified 75 circulating metabolites, for. Univariate analyses, MetS subtype stratification, and elastic net models with SHAP interpretation were applied to assess feature importance, predictive performance, and phenotypic heterogeneity. Surrogate indices of insulin resistance and visceral adiposity were also derived. Results: MetS was associated with widespread metabolic alterations across multiple biochemical classes, with the largest effect sizes observed for lipoprotein (LP) subfraction measures, particularly very-low-density lipoprotein (VLDL) and high-density lipoprotein (HDL) subclass concentrations and particle diameters. LP metrics consistently outperformed other metabolite classes in distinguishing MetS from nonMetS, both in univariate and multivariate models, and retained predictive value when considered independently of diagnostic criteria. LP-based models also identified metabolic disturbances in individuals not meeting conventional MetS thresholds, suggesting utility for early or subclinical risk detection. Subtype analyses revealed distinct metabolic patterns across different combinations of diagnostic criteria, highlighting phenotypic heterogeneity within MetS. Conclusions: This large-scale integrative analysis demonstrates that detailed LP subfraction profiling provides strong, independent discriminatory power for MetS classification and may capture early metabolic risk overlooked by standard diagnostic thresholds. 2026-01-01T08:00:00Z thesis application/pdf https://fount.aucegypt.edu/etds/2607 https://fount.aucegypt.edu/context/etds/article/3665/viewcontent/Metabolic_Syndrome_Beyond_Diagnostic_Criteria_Population_Scale_Integrative_Metabolomics_Characterization.pdf https://fount.aucegypt.edu/context/etds/article/3665/filename/4/type/additional/viewcontent/Turnitin_Report_Metabolic_Syndrome_Beyond_Diagnostic_Criteria__Population_Scale_Integrative_Metabolomics.pdf Theses and Dissertations AUC Knowledge Fountain Metabolomics Metabolic Syndrome Machine Learning Modeling Diagnostics Biomarkers UK Biobank Elastic Net Lipoprotein Subfractions Biochemical Phenomena, Metabolism, and Nutrition Bioinformatics Biomedical Informatics Biotechnology Cardiovascular Diseases Computational Biology Diagnosis Nutritional and Metabolic Diseases
spellingShingle Metabolomics
Metabolic Syndrome
Machine Learning
Modeling
Diagnostics
Biomarkers
UK Biobank
Elastic Net
Lipoprotein Subfractions
Biochemical Phenomena, Metabolism, and Nutrition
Bioinformatics
Biomedical Informatics
Biotechnology
Cardiovascular Diseases
Computational Biology
Diagnosis
Nutritional and Metabolic Diseases
Talal, Marwa
Metabolic Syndrome Beyond Diagnostic Criteria: Population-Scale Integrative Metabolomics Characterization
title Metabolic Syndrome Beyond Diagnostic Criteria: Population-Scale Integrative Metabolomics Characterization
title_full Metabolic Syndrome Beyond Diagnostic Criteria: Population-Scale Integrative Metabolomics Characterization
title_fullStr Metabolic Syndrome Beyond Diagnostic Criteria: Population-Scale Integrative Metabolomics Characterization
title_full_unstemmed Metabolic Syndrome Beyond Diagnostic Criteria: Population-Scale Integrative Metabolomics Characterization
title_short Metabolic Syndrome Beyond Diagnostic Criteria: Population-Scale Integrative Metabolomics Characterization
title_sort metabolic syndrome beyond diagnostic criteria population scale integrative metabolomics characterization
topic Metabolomics
Metabolic Syndrome
Machine Learning
Modeling
Diagnostics
Biomarkers
UK Biobank
Elastic Net
Lipoprotein Subfractions
Biochemical Phenomena, Metabolism, and Nutrition
Bioinformatics
Biomedical Informatics
Biotechnology
Cardiovascular Diseases
Computational Biology
Diagnosis
Nutritional and Metabolic Diseases
url https://fount.aucegypt.edu/etds/2607
https://fount.aucegypt.edu/context/etds/article/3665/viewcontent/Metabolic_Syndrome_Beyond_Diagnostic_Criteria_Population_Scale_Integrative_Metabolomics_Characterization.pdf
https://fount.aucegypt.edu/context/etds/article/3665/filename/4/type/additional/viewcontent/Turnitin_Report_Metabolic_Syndrome_Beyond_Diagnostic_Criteria__Population_Scale_Integrative_Metabolomics.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT talalmarwa metabolicsyndromebeyonddiagnosticcriteriapopulationscaleintegrativemetabolomicscharacterization