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A Techno-Economic Evaluation of Green Hydrogen Production in Egypt

The global transition toward low-carbon energy systems has heightened interest in green hydrogen as a strategic energy carrier capable of facilitating deep decarbonization across sectors that are challenging to reduce carbon emissions. Among potential producer regions, Egypt has emerged as a high-po...

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Main Author: Elsaeed, Helmy
Format: Thesis
Published: AUC Knowledge Fountain 2026
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access_status_str Open Access
author Elsaeed, Helmy
author_browse Elsaeed, Helmy
author_facet Elsaeed, Helmy
author_sort Elsaeed, Helmy
collection Thesis
description The global transition toward low-carbon energy systems has heightened interest in green hydrogen as a strategic energy carrier capable of facilitating deep decarbonization across sectors that are challenging to reduce carbon emissions. Among potential producer regions, Egypt has emerged as a high-potential candidate due to its exceptional solar and wind resources, strategic geographic location, and growing policy commitment to hydrogen development. This thesis presents a comprehensive techno-economic assessment of green hydrogen production in Egypt, with a specific focus on cost competitiveness, financing conditions, and export-oriented market positioning. The analysis synthesizes existing literature to evaluate the capital expenditure (CAPEX), operational expenditure (OPEX), and resulting Levelized Cost of Hydrogen (LCOH) for large-scale renewable-based electrolysis systems. A harmonized methodology is applied to derive Egypt-specific cost benchmarks, indicating an indicative LCOH of approximately USD 3.95/kg under literature-consistent assumptions for photovoltaic-dominant and hybrid renewable configurations. It also was able to derive an approximate OPEX value. Sensitivity analysis demonstrates that CAPEX uncertainty and system utilization closely associated with renewable capacity factors and electrolyzer operating hours are the primary drivers of hydrogen cost variability, while electricity prices and financing assumptions exert secondary but still substantial influence. Beyond production economics, the thesis contextualizes Egypt’s hydrogen potential within a broader global market framework, emphasizing the significance of logistics, certification readiness, and delivered-cost competitiveness for export markets, particularly Europe. While Egypt enjoys substantial comparative advantages, including proximity to major trade routes and port infrastructure, challenges related to financing costs, infrastructure scale-up, and regulatory maturity persist. Overall, the findings indicate that Egypt can attain internationally competitive green hydrogen production, contingent upon the concurrent advancement of renewable expansion, investment de-risking, and export-oriented policy framework.
format Thesis
id oai:fount.aucegypt.edu:etds-3864
institution American University in Cairo (Egypt)
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:36:04.810Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from AUC Knowledge Fountain — bepress
publishDate 2026
publishDateRange 2026
publishDateSort 2026
publisher AUC Knowledge Fountain
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source_str AUC Knowledge Fountain — bepress
spelling oai:fount.aucegypt.edu:etds-3864 A Techno-Economic Evaluation of Green Hydrogen Production in Egypt Elsaeed, Helmy The global transition toward low-carbon energy systems has heightened interest in green hydrogen as a strategic energy carrier capable of facilitating deep decarbonization across sectors that are challenging to reduce carbon emissions. Among potential producer regions, Egypt has emerged as a high-potential candidate due to its exceptional solar and wind resources, strategic geographic location, and growing policy commitment to hydrogen development. This thesis presents a comprehensive techno-economic assessment of green hydrogen production in Egypt, with a specific focus on cost competitiveness, financing conditions, and export-oriented market positioning. The analysis synthesizes existing literature to evaluate the capital expenditure (CAPEX), operational expenditure (OPEX), and resulting Levelized Cost of Hydrogen (LCOH) for large-scale renewable-based electrolysis systems. A harmonized methodology is applied to derive Egypt-specific cost benchmarks, indicating an indicative LCOH of approximately USD 3.95/kg under literature-consistent assumptions for photovoltaic-dominant and hybrid renewable configurations. It also was able to derive an approximate OPEX value. Sensitivity analysis demonstrates that CAPEX uncertainty and system utilization closely associated with renewable capacity factors and electrolyzer operating hours are the primary drivers of hydrogen cost variability, while electricity prices and financing assumptions exert secondary but still substantial influence. Beyond production economics, the thesis contextualizes Egypt’s hydrogen potential within a broader global market framework, emphasizing the significance of logistics, certification readiness, and delivered-cost competitiveness for export markets, particularly Europe. While Egypt enjoys substantial comparative advantages, including proximity to major trade routes and port infrastructure, challenges related to financing costs, infrastructure scale-up, and regulatory maturity persist. Overall, the findings indicate that Egypt can attain internationally competitive green hydrogen production, contingent upon the concurrent advancement of renewable expansion, investment de-risking, and export-oriented policy framework. 2026-06-11T07:00:00Z thesis application/pdf https://fount.aucegypt.edu/etds/2801 https://fount.aucegypt.edu/context/etds/article/3864/viewcontent/thesisfinalaucfountHelmy_.pdf Theses and Dissertations AUC Knowledge Fountain techno economic green hydrogen Egypt cost levelized feasibility OPEX CAPEX Economics Energy Systems Environmental Engineering Environmental Studies Growth and Development Industrial Engineering Macroeconomics Natural Resource Economics Ocean Engineering Oil, Gas, and Energy Operations Research, Systems Engineering and Industrial Engineering Other Engineering Science and Materials Science and Technology Studies Social and Behavioral Sciences Sustainability
spellingShingle techno economic green hydrogen Egypt cost levelized feasibility OPEX CAPEX
Economics
Energy Systems
Environmental Engineering
Environmental Studies
Growth and Development
Industrial Engineering
Macroeconomics
Natural Resource Economics
Ocean Engineering
Oil, Gas, and Energy
Operations Research, Systems Engineering and Industrial Engineering
Other Engineering Science and Materials
Science and Technology Studies
Social and Behavioral Sciences
Sustainability
Elsaeed, Helmy
A Techno-Economic Evaluation of Green Hydrogen Production in Egypt
title A Techno-Economic Evaluation of Green Hydrogen Production in Egypt
title_full A Techno-Economic Evaluation of Green Hydrogen Production in Egypt
title_fullStr A Techno-Economic Evaluation of Green Hydrogen Production in Egypt
title_full_unstemmed A Techno-Economic Evaluation of Green Hydrogen Production in Egypt
title_short A Techno-Economic Evaluation of Green Hydrogen Production in Egypt
title_sort techno economic evaluation of green hydrogen production in egypt
topic techno economic green hydrogen Egypt cost levelized feasibility OPEX CAPEX
Economics
Energy Systems
Environmental Engineering
Environmental Studies
Growth and Development
Industrial Engineering
Macroeconomics
Natural Resource Economics
Ocean Engineering
Oil, Gas, and Energy
Operations Research, Systems Engineering and Industrial Engineering
Other Engineering Science and Materials
Science and Technology Studies
Social and Behavioral Sciences
Sustainability
url https://fount.aucegypt.edu/etds/2801
https://fount.aucegypt.edu/context/etds/article/3864/viewcontent/thesisfinalaucfountHelmy_.pdf
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