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Impact of HIV on estimates of child mortality derived using the summary birth history (CEB/CS) Method

This study investigates the extent of bias in the estimates of infant and under-five mortality derived from the Brass children ever born children surviving (CEB/CS) method as a result of HIV/AIDS. The bias is estimated by comparing the infant and under-five mortality derived from the CEB/CS method w...

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Main Author: Mutemaringa, Themba
Other Authors: Dorrington, Rob
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Centre for Actuarial Research (CARE) 2015
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access_status_str Open Access
author Mutemaringa, Themba
author2 Dorrington, Rob
author_browse Dorrington, Rob
Mutemaringa, Themba
author_facet Dorrington, Rob
Mutemaringa, Themba
author_sort Mutemaringa, Themba
collection Thesis
description This study investigates the extent of bias in the estimates of infant and under-five mortality derived from the Brass children ever born children surviving (CEB/CS) method as a result of HIV/AIDS. The bias is estimated by comparing the infant and under-five mortality derived from the CEB/CS method with direct estimates from the full birth history data from recent DHS data. The estimates from the full birth history data have been corrected for bias due to HIV/AIDS using the method used by IGME. IMRs and U5MRs derived from data from women aged 25-39 were underestimated by up to 15% in the six countries studied. Estimates of bias in data derived from women aged 20-24 differed between countries. The results from these younger women could be affected by differences between the indirect and direct methods of estimation. In two of the countries, estimates of overall bias of more than 30% were observed. The bulk of the overall bias is due to the effect of HIV on the survival of mothers and their children. The choice of model life table does not introduce much bias, especially in estimates of under-five mortality where the absolute bias in most countries was less than 3%.
format Thesis
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institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:35:44.146Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2015
publishDateRange 2015
publishDateSort 2015
publisher Centre for Actuarial Research (CARE)
publisherStr Centre for Actuarial Research (CARE)
record_format dspace
source_str UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/11843 Impact of HIV on estimates of child mortality derived using the summary birth history (CEB/CS) Method Mutemaringa, Themba Dorrington, Rob Demography This study investigates the extent of bias in the estimates of infant and under-five mortality derived from the Brass children ever born children surviving (CEB/CS) method as a result of HIV/AIDS. The bias is estimated by comparing the infant and under-five mortality derived from the CEB/CS method with direct estimates from the full birth history data from recent DHS data. The estimates from the full birth history data have been corrected for bias due to HIV/AIDS using the method used by IGME. IMRs and U5MRs derived from data from women aged 25-39 were underestimated by up to 15% in the six countries studied. Estimates of bias in data derived from women aged 20-24 differed between countries. The results from these younger women could be affected by differences between the indirect and direct methods of estimation. In two of the countries, estimates of overall bias of more than 30% were observed. The bulk of the overall bias is due to the effect of HIV on the survival of mothers and their children. The choice of model life table does not introduce much bias, especially in estimates of under-five mortality where the absolute bias in most countries was less than 3%. 2015-01-09T09:01:06Z 2015-01-09T09:01:06Z 2011 Master Thesis Masters MPhil http://hdl.handle.net/11427/11843 eng application/pdf Centre for Actuarial Research (CARE) Faculty of Commerce University of Cape Town
spellingShingle Demography
Mutemaringa, Themba
Impact of HIV on estimates of child mortality derived using the summary birth history (CEB/CS) Method
thesis_degree_str Master's
title Impact of HIV on estimates of child mortality derived using the summary birth history (CEB/CS) Method
title_full Impact of HIV on estimates of child mortality derived using the summary birth history (CEB/CS) Method
title_fullStr Impact of HIV on estimates of child mortality derived using the summary birth history (CEB/CS) Method
title_full_unstemmed Impact of HIV on estimates of child mortality derived using the summary birth history (CEB/CS) Method
title_short Impact of HIV on estimates of child mortality derived using the summary birth history (CEB/CS) Method
title_sort impact of hiv on estimates of child mortality derived using the summary birth history ceb cs method
topic Demography
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/11843
work_keys_str_mv AT mutemaringathemba impactofhivonestimatesofchildmortalityderivedusingthesummarybirthhistorycebcsmethod