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Exploring the potential impacts of global change on the woody component of of South African savannas

Includes bibliographical references

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Stevens, Nicola
Other Authors: Bond, William J
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Department of Biological Sciences 2015
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access_status_str Open Access
author Stevens, Nicola
author2 Bond, William J
author_browse Bond, William J
Stevens, Nicola
author_facet Bond, William J
Stevens, Nicola
author_sort Stevens, Nicola
collection Thesis
description Includes bibliographical references
format Thesis
id oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/12771
institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:32:42.829Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2015
publishDateRange 2015
publishDateSort 2015
publisher Department of Biological Sciences
publisherStr Department of Biological Sciences
record_format dspace
source_str UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/12771 Exploring the potential impacts of global change on the woody component of of South African savannas Stevens, Nicola Bond, William J Archibald, Sally Erasmus, B F N Botany Includes bibliographical references Land cover change, elevated CO2 and associated climate change are driving changes in ecosystem structure and function across the world. These changes are best described and understood in northern hemisphere temperate systems. Studies, models and reports from these regions are therefore often used as the basis for understanding, predicting and managing change in other biomes, including African savannas. In savannas elevated CO2 has been implicated in driving an increase in woody cover, however attribution to global drivers is often confounded by land - use management which is also implicated as a driver of tree cover increases. Climate change is predicted to directly drive species range shifts in savannas, however several important gaps exist in the literature which prevent the development of a clear predictive framework to describe these changes. Whilst climate is often assumed to be the primary factor underlying savanna tree distribution this has not been demonstrated for savanna tree species. Additionally the determinants of individual savanna species distributions have seldom been investigated. The few existing studies are correlative species distribution models based on adult plant distribution and underlain by the assumption that climate sets plant distribution. Although a demographic approach is very important in understanding tree: grass coexistence in savannas, this approach is seldom used in understanding species distributions. The aim of this study was therefore to assess how global change might influence South African savannas. We place emphasis on the role of elevated CO2 and climate change. I first report on an analysis of historical changes in woody plant abundance at large spatial scales to assess the magnitude of tree cover change in South African savannas. I attempt to untangle the role of local drivers and global drivers in causing tree cover changes from 1940-2009. I then report on studies aimed at determining what limits the distribution range of two common savanna trees Acacia nigrescens and Colophospermum mopane, at three critical demographic stages. Here I used a series of field studies, transplant experiments, lab experiments and modelling to determine the critical drivers of the distribution of these plants so as to understand how savanna plants might respond to changing climates. 2015-05-11T13:33:50Z 2015-05-11T13:33:50Z 2014 Doctoral Thesis Doctoral PhD http://hdl.handle.net/11427/12771 eng application/pdf Department of Biological Sciences Faculty of Science University of Cape Town
spellingShingle Botany
Stevens, Nicola
Exploring the potential impacts of global change on the woody component of of South African savannas
thesis_degree_str Doctoral
title Exploring the potential impacts of global change on the woody component of of South African savannas
title_full Exploring the potential impacts of global change on the woody component of of South African savannas
title_fullStr Exploring the potential impacts of global change on the woody component of of South African savannas
title_full_unstemmed Exploring the potential impacts of global change on the woody component of of South African savannas
title_short Exploring the potential impacts of global change on the woody component of of South African savannas
title_sort exploring the potential impacts of global change on the woody component of of south african savannas
topic Botany
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/12771
work_keys_str_mv AT stevensnicola exploringthepotentialimpactsofglobalchangeonthewoodycomponentofofsouthafricansavannas