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The analysis and prediction of student progression through degree programmes : a cohort analysis of undergraduate students at the university of Cape Town
Bibliography: pages 85-87.
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| Main Author: | |
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| Format: | Thesis |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Centre for Educational Research
2016
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| _version_ | 1867613168935632896 |
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| access_status_str | Open Access |
| author | Hendry, Jane |
| author_browse | Hendry, Jane |
| author_facet | Hendry, Jane |
| author_sort | Hendry, Jane |
| collection | Thesis |
| description | Bibliography: pages 85-87. |
| format | Thesis |
| id | oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/17526 |
| institution | University of Cape Town (South Africa) |
| language | eng |
| last_indexed | 2026-06-10T12:31:52.071Z |
| license_str | Not specified — see source repository |
| provenance_str_mv | Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository |
| publishDate | 2016 |
| publishDateRange | 2016 |
| publishDateSort | 2016 |
| publisher | Centre for Educational Research |
| publisherStr | Centre for Educational Research |
| record_format | dspace |
| source_str | UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository |
| spelling | oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/17526 The analysis and prediction of student progression through degree programmes : a cohort analysis of undergraduate students at the university of Cape Town Hendry, Jane College students - Rating of - South Africa - Cape Town. College dropouts - South Africa - Cape Town. Cohort analysis Bibliography: pages 85-87. A simplified cohort survival analysis was used to investigate the academic progression of first-time entering undergraduate students within four large bachelors' degree programmes at the University of Cape Town. The rates of graduation, academic exclusion and voluntary drop-out were quantified in relation to the matriculation authorities and prior matriculation performance of the students within each of the four cohorts. The results of the analyses served to identify specific areas of concern with regard to the internal efficiencies in student progression through each of the four degree programmes, and it is suggested that the availability of information of this type will be essential in the attainment of the institutional transformation goals set out in the 1997 White Paper on the transformation of higher education in South Africa. Significant relationships between the matriculation criteria and the final academic outcomes of students within each cohort were detected using log-near modelling. By means of multiple discriminant analysis, significant predictor variables of the final undergraduate academic outcomes within each cohort were identified. However, the relatively weak discriminatory powers of the multiple discriminant models and the poor predictive accuracy of the associated classification functions suggest the variables included in these analyses did not adequately explain the variability in the final undergraduate academic outcomes of students within the selected cohorts. The extent of the voluntary drop-out phenomenon within each of the cohorts was quantified in relation to matriculation criteria, and further analysis of the cohorts indicated that factors other than academic difficulty appeared to have prompted the greater proportion of the voluntary withdrawals. Those students who had dropped out voluntarily were therefore not included in either the log-linear models or the multiple discriminant analyses. 2016-03-07T04:10:11Z 2016-03-07T04:10:11Z 1998 Master Thesis Masters MPhil http://hdl.handle.net/11427/17526 eng application/pdf Centre for Educational Research Faculty of Humanities University of Cape Town |
| spellingShingle | College students - Rating of - South Africa - Cape Town. College dropouts - South Africa - Cape Town. Cohort analysis Hendry, Jane The analysis and prediction of student progression through degree programmes : a cohort analysis of undergraduate students at the university of Cape Town |
| thesis_degree_str | Master's |
| title | The analysis and prediction of student progression through degree programmes : a cohort analysis of undergraduate students at the university of Cape Town |
| title_full | The analysis and prediction of student progression through degree programmes : a cohort analysis of undergraduate students at the university of Cape Town |
| title_fullStr | The analysis and prediction of student progression through degree programmes : a cohort analysis of undergraduate students at the university of Cape Town |
| title_full_unstemmed | The analysis and prediction of student progression through degree programmes : a cohort analysis of undergraduate students at the university of Cape Town |
| title_short | The analysis and prediction of student progression through degree programmes : a cohort analysis of undergraduate students at the university of Cape Town |
| title_sort | analysis and prediction of student progression through degree programmes a cohort analysis of undergraduate students at the university of cape town |
| topic | College students - Rating of - South Africa - Cape Town. College dropouts - South Africa - Cape Town. Cohort analysis |
| url | http://hdl.handle.net/11427/17526 |
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