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Plug-in hybrid and battery electric vehicles in South Africa: market forecasts
This paper uses diffusion modeling to forecast the sales of Plug-in Hybrid and Battery Electric Vehicles (PH/BEVs) in South Africa. First the potential benefits of PH/BEVs in South Africa are scrutinized. The global PH/BEV market is analyzed along with the goals and enticement policies of the countr...
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| Other Authors: | |
| Format: | Thesis |
| Language: | English |
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School of Economics
2016
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| _version_ | 1867613219086925824 |
|---|---|
| access_status_str | Open Access |
| author | Grant, Andrew |
| author2 | Black, Anthony |
| author_browse | Black, Anthony Grant, Andrew |
| author_facet | Black, Anthony Grant, Andrew |
| author_sort | Grant, Andrew |
| collection | Thesis |
| description | This paper uses diffusion modeling to forecast the sales of Plug-in Hybrid and Battery Electric Vehicles (PH/BEVs) in South Africa. First the potential benefits of PH/BEVs in South Africa are scrutinized. The global PH/BEV market is analyzed along with the goals and enticement policies of the countries that are best positioned for a widespread uptake of PH/BEVs. The supply and demand challenges facing the market for PH/BEVs in South Africa are evaluated with a review of current and proposed public policies. The total sales of PH/BEVs in South Africa are then forecast for the medium and long term using an adapted multiple technology generation Bass model with variable parameters for vehicle purchase price and running cost. Two scenarios are examined involving varying oil prices, electricity prices, government support and PH/BEV technological development. |
| format | Thesis |
| id | oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/18601 |
| institution | University of Cape Town (South Africa) |
| language | eng |
| last_indexed | 2026-06-10T12:32:39.476Z |
| license_str | Not specified — see source repository |
| provenance_str_mv | Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository |
| publishDate | 2016 |
| publishDateRange | 2016 |
| publishDateSort | 2016 |
| publisher | School of Economics |
| publisherStr | School of Economics |
| record_format | dspace |
| source_str | UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository |
| spelling | oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/18601 Plug-in hybrid and battery electric vehicles in South Africa: market forecasts Grant, Andrew Black, Anthony Applied Economics This paper uses diffusion modeling to forecast the sales of Plug-in Hybrid and Battery Electric Vehicles (PH/BEVs) in South Africa. First the potential benefits of PH/BEVs in South Africa are scrutinized. The global PH/BEV market is analyzed along with the goals and enticement policies of the countries that are best positioned for a widespread uptake of PH/BEVs. The supply and demand challenges facing the market for PH/BEVs in South Africa are evaluated with a review of current and proposed public policies. The total sales of PH/BEVs in South Africa are then forecast for the medium and long term using an adapted multiple technology generation Bass model with variable parameters for vehicle purchase price and running cost. Two scenarios are examined involving varying oil prices, electricity prices, government support and PH/BEV technological development. 2016-04-05T11:41:58Z 2016-04-05T11:41:58Z 2014 Master Thesis Masters MCom http://hdl.handle.net/11427/18601 eng application/pdf School of Economics Faculty of Commerce University of Cape Town |
| spellingShingle | Applied Economics Grant, Andrew Plug-in hybrid and battery electric vehicles in South Africa: market forecasts |
| thesis_degree_str | Master's |
| title | Plug-in hybrid and battery electric vehicles in South Africa: market forecasts |
| title_full | Plug-in hybrid and battery electric vehicles in South Africa: market forecasts |
| title_fullStr | Plug-in hybrid and battery electric vehicles in South Africa: market forecasts |
| title_full_unstemmed | Plug-in hybrid and battery electric vehicles in South Africa: market forecasts |
| title_short | Plug-in hybrid and battery electric vehicles in South Africa: market forecasts |
| title_sort | plug in hybrid and battery electric vehicles in south africa market forecasts |
| topic | Applied Economics |
| url | http://hdl.handle.net/11427/18601 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT grantandrew pluginhybridandbatteryelectricvehiclesinsouthafricamarketforecasts |