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On improving the forecast accuracy of the hidden Markov model

The forecast accuracy of a hidden Markov model (HMM) may be low due first, to the measure of forecast accuracy being ignored in the parameterestimation method and, second, to overfitting caused by the large number of parameters that must be estimated. A general approach to forecasting is described w...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Rooney, Thomas J A
Other Authors: MacDonald, Iain L
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Division of Actuarial Science 2017
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