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Currency trios - using geometric concepts to visualise and interpret relationships between currencies

A currency trio is a set of three currencies and their respective exchange rates, which have a relationship fixed by a triangular arbitrage condition. This condition forms the basis for the derivation of a geometric interpretation of the relationships between the exchange rates. In the geometric fra...

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Main Author: Davidson, Abby
Other Authors: Mahomed, Obeid
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Division of Actuarial Science 2017
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access_status_str Open Access
author Davidson, Abby
author2 Mahomed, Obeid
author_browse Davidson, Abby
Mahomed, Obeid
author_facet Mahomed, Obeid
Davidson, Abby
author_sort Davidson, Abby
collection Thesis
description A currency trio is a set of three currencies and their respective exchange rates, which have a relationship fixed by a triangular arbitrage condition. This condition forms the basis for the derivation of a geometric interpretation of the relationships between the exchange rates. In the geometric framework, the three currencies in a currency trio are represented by a triangle, where each of the vertices represents a currency. The volatilities of the exchange rates are represented by the lengths of the sides joining the respective currencies and the cosine of each angle represents the correlation between the two exchange rates depicted by the angle's adjacent sides. The geometric approach is particularly useful when dealing with implied data as it allows the calculation of implied correlation using implied volatility. This is valuable as implied volatility is frequently quoted in the foreign exchange market; whereas, implied correlation is not directly quoted and is more difficult to extract from market data. This dissertation aims to thoroughly investigate the geometric framework and use it to visualise and interpret the relationships between currencies in a currency trio. The analysis will initially look at currency trios with realised spot data before moving on to implied data. In the implied data context, the framework will be used to extract and evaluate implied correlation estimates using implied volatility data extracted from the foreign exchange market. The framework will be extended to investigate whether an illiquid option can be proxy hedged using options on the two other currencies in a currency trio. Finally, the findings will be discussed and the feasibility of the applications of the framework will be considered.
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institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
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license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2017
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spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/23029 Currency trios - using geometric concepts to visualise and interpret relationships between currencies Davidson, Abby Mahomed, Obeid Polakow, Daniel Van de Linde, Gideon Mathematical Finance A currency trio is a set of three currencies and their respective exchange rates, which have a relationship fixed by a triangular arbitrage condition. This condition forms the basis for the derivation of a geometric interpretation of the relationships between the exchange rates. In the geometric framework, the three currencies in a currency trio are represented by a triangle, where each of the vertices represents a currency. The volatilities of the exchange rates are represented by the lengths of the sides joining the respective currencies and the cosine of each angle represents the correlation between the two exchange rates depicted by the angle's adjacent sides. The geometric approach is particularly useful when dealing with implied data as it allows the calculation of implied correlation using implied volatility. This is valuable as implied volatility is frequently quoted in the foreign exchange market; whereas, implied correlation is not directly quoted and is more difficult to extract from market data. This dissertation aims to thoroughly investigate the geometric framework and use it to visualise and interpret the relationships between currencies in a currency trio. The analysis will initially look at currency trios with realised spot data before moving on to implied data. In the implied data context, the framework will be used to extract and evaluate implied correlation estimates using implied volatility data extracted from the foreign exchange market. The framework will be extended to investigate whether an illiquid option can be proxy hedged using options on the two other currencies in a currency trio. Finally, the findings will be discussed and the feasibility of the applications of the framework will be considered. 2017-01-25T13:48:45Z 2017-01-25T13:48:45Z 2016 Master Thesis Masters MPhil http://hdl.handle.net/11427/23029 eng application/pdf Division of Actuarial Science Faculty of Commerce University of Cape Town
spellingShingle Mathematical Finance
Davidson, Abby
Currency trios - using geometric concepts to visualise and interpret relationships between currencies
thesis_degree_str Master's
title Currency trios - using geometric concepts to visualise and interpret relationships between currencies
title_full Currency trios - using geometric concepts to visualise and interpret relationships between currencies
title_fullStr Currency trios - using geometric concepts to visualise and interpret relationships between currencies
title_full_unstemmed Currency trios - using geometric concepts to visualise and interpret relationships between currencies
title_short Currency trios - using geometric concepts to visualise and interpret relationships between currencies
title_sort currency trios using geometric concepts to visualise and interpret relationships between currencies
topic Mathematical Finance
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/23029
work_keys_str_mv AT davidsonabby currencytriosusinggeometricconceptstovisualiseandinterpretrelationshipsbetweencurrencies