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An analysis of the causality effect of exchange rate and interest yields: a case study of Zambia

This study analyses the relationship between the US Dollar/Zambian kwacha exchange rate and the interest rate yields on the 91-day and 182-day T-bills in Zambia. Using statistical analysis of regression analysis and co integration, the study found that a long-run relationship does not hold for both...

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Main Author: Bwalya, Obed
Other Authors: Uliana, Enrico
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Research of GSB 2017
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access_status_str Open Access
author Bwalya, Obed
author2 Uliana, Enrico
author_browse Bwalya, Obed
Uliana, Enrico
author_facet Uliana, Enrico
Bwalya, Obed
author_sort Bwalya, Obed
collection Thesis
description This study analyses the relationship between the US Dollar/Zambian kwacha exchange rate and the interest rate yields on the 91-day and 182-day T-bills in Zambia. Using statistical analysis of regression analysis and co integration, the study found that a long-run relationship does not hold for both 91-day and 182-day T-bills taken for any corresponding set of interest rate and exchange rate respectively. Nonetheless, the three variables taken simultaneously demonstrated that a long-run correlation exist. Following a comprehensive analysis of the results from this study, it is concluded that the statistical relationship that exists is not very significant and investors looking forward to invest in Zambia's financial markets should include other factors in order to forecast the exchange rates with regard to the changes in interest rates.
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institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:34:06.076Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2017
publishDateRange 2017
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publisher Research of GSB
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source_str UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/25099 An analysis of the causality effect of exchange rate and interest yields: a case study of Zambia Bwalya, Obed Uliana, Enrico Development Finance This study analyses the relationship between the US Dollar/Zambian kwacha exchange rate and the interest rate yields on the 91-day and 182-day T-bills in Zambia. Using statistical analysis of regression analysis and co integration, the study found that a long-run relationship does not hold for both 91-day and 182-day T-bills taken for any corresponding set of interest rate and exchange rate respectively. Nonetheless, the three variables taken simultaneously demonstrated that a long-run correlation exist. Following a comprehensive analysis of the results from this study, it is concluded that the statistical relationship that exists is not very significant and investors looking forward to invest in Zambia's financial markets should include other factors in order to forecast the exchange rates with regard to the changes in interest rates. 2017-09-06T10:27:33Z 2017-09-06T10:27:33Z 2017 Master Thesis Masters MCom http://hdl.handle.net/11427/25099 eng application/pdf Research of GSB Faculty of Commerce University of Cape Town
spellingShingle Development Finance
Bwalya, Obed
An analysis of the causality effect of exchange rate and interest yields: a case study of Zambia
thesis_degree_str Master's
title An analysis of the causality effect of exchange rate and interest yields: a case study of Zambia
title_full An analysis of the causality effect of exchange rate and interest yields: a case study of Zambia
title_fullStr An analysis of the causality effect of exchange rate and interest yields: a case study of Zambia
title_full_unstemmed An analysis of the causality effect of exchange rate and interest yields: a case study of Zambia
title_short An analysis of the causality effect of exchange rate and interest yields: a case study of Zambia
title_sort analysis of the causality effect of exchange rate and interest yields a case study of zambia
topic Development Finance
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/25099
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