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Magic formula optimisation in the South African Market

The purpose of this study is to investigate the performance of the value investing strategy commonly referred to as the "Magic Formula", which was first introduced by Greenblatt (2006) and uses the return on capital and earning yield ratios as the basis for stock selection, in the South African mark...

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Main Author: Ker-Fox, Jason G
Other Authors: West, Darron
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Department of Finance and Tax 2017
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access_status_str Open Access
author Ker-Fox, Jason G
author2 West, Darron
author_browse Ker-Fox, Jason G
West, Darron
author_facet West, Darron
Ker-Fox, Jason G
author_sort Ker-Fox, Jason G
collection Thesis
description The purpose of this study is to investigate the performance of the value investing strategy commonly referred to as the "Magic Formula", which was first introduced by Greenblatt (2006) and uses the return on capital and earning yield ratios as the basis for stock selection, in the South African market. The study will build on the work previously performed by Howard (2015) by challenging the "Magic Formula" portfolio composition assumptions. In doing so, optimal combinations of holding period and portfolio size which: maximise the geometric mean return, minimise the volatility of returns and maximise the risk adjusted return, shall be determined. The scope of this study includes all companies, excluding financial services entities, listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange, which exceed a market capitalisation of R 100 million, for the period 1 October 2005 to 30 September 2015. The results showed that by adjusting certain portfolio parameters the overall performance of the "Magic Formula" on both a geometric mean and risk adjusted basis can be increased. However, the "Magic Formula" still provides an insufficient amount of evidence to conclude, on a statistically significant basis, an outperformance of the investment strategy relative to the Johannesburg Stock Exchange All Share Index. Accordingly, the study makes several contributions to the literature. Firstly, it provides direct evidence of the relationship between value investing portfolio composition and the returns generated, indicating that excess returns can be achieved when the portfolio composition is adjusted. Secondly, albeit not on a
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language eng
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license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2017
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publisherStr Department of Finance and Tax
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spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/25365 Magic formula optimisation in the South African Market Ker-Fox, Jason G West, Darron Willows, Gizelle Financial Management The purpose of this study is to investigate the performance of the value investing strategy commonly referred to as the "Magic Formula", which was first introduced by Greenblatt (2006) and uses the return on capital and earning yield ratios as the basis for stock selection, in the South African market. The study will build on the work previously performed by Howard (2015) by challenging the "Magic Formula" portfolio composition assumptions. In doing so, optimal combinations of holding period and portfolio size which: maximise the geometric mean return, minimise the volatility of returns and maximise the risk adjusted return, shall be determined. The scope of this study includes all companies, excluding financial services entities, listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange, which exceed a market capitalisation of R 100 million, for the period 1 October 2005 to 30 September 2015. The results showed that by adjusting certain portfolio parameters the overall performance of the "Magic Formula" on both a geometric mean and risk adjusted basis can be increased. However, the "Magic Formula" still provides an insufficient amount of evidence to conclude, on a statistically significant basis, an outperformance of the investment strategy relative to the Johannesburg Stock Exchange All Share Index. Accordingly, the study makes several contributions to the literature. Firstly, it provides direct evidence of the relationship between value investing portfolio composition and the returns generated, indicating that excess returns can be achieved when the portfolio composition is adjusted. Secondly, albeit not on a 2017-09-23T06:40:45Z 2017-09-23T06:40:45Z 2017 Master Thesis Masters MCom http://hdl.handle.net/11427/25365 eng application/pdf Department of Finance and Tax Faculty of Commerce University of Cape Town
spellingShingle Financial Management
Ker-Fox, Jason G
Magic formula optimisation in the South African Market
thesis_degree_str Master's
title Magic formula optimisation in the South African Market
title_full Magic formula optimisation in the South African Market
title_fullStr Magic formula optimisation in the South African Market
title_full_unstemmed Magic formula optimisation in the South African Market
title_short Magic formula optimisation in the South African Market
title_sort magic formula optimisation in the south african market
topic Financial Management
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/25365
work_keys_str_mv AT kerfoxjasong magicformulaoptimisationinthesouthafricanmarket