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Modelling stochastic multi-curve basis

As a consequence of the 2007 financial crisis, the market has shifted towards a multi-curve approach in modelling the prevailing interest rate environment. Currently, there is a reliance on the assumption of deterministic- or constant-basis spreads. This assumption is too simplistic to describe the...

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Main Author: Dalton, Rowan
Other Authors: Kienitz, Jörg
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Division of Actuarial Science 2018
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access_status_str Open Access
author Dalton, Rowan
author2 Kienitz, Jörg
author_browse Dalton, Rowan
Kienitz, Jörg
author_facet Kienitz, Jörg
Dalton, Rowan
author_sort Dalton, Rowan
collection Thesis
description As a consequence of the 2007 financial crisis, the market has shifted towards a multi-curve approach in modelling the prevailing interest rate environment. Currently, there is a reliance on the assumption of deterministic- or constant-basis spreads. This assumption is too simplistic to describe the modern multi-curve environment and serves as the motivation for this work. A stochastic-basis framework, presented by Mercurio and Xie (2012), with one- and two-factor OIS short-rate models is reviewed and implemented in order to analyse the effect of the inclusion of stochastic-basis in the pricing of interest rate derivatives. In order to preclude the existence of negative spreads in the model, a constraint on the spread model parameters is necessary. The inclusion of stochastic-basis results in a clear shift in the terminal distributions of FRA and swap rates. In spite of this, stochastic-basis is found to have a negligible effect on cap/floor and swaption prices for the admissible spread model parameters. To overcome challenges surrounding parameter estimation under the framework, a rudimentary calibration procedure is developed, where the spread model parameters are estimated from historical data; and the OIS rate model parameters are calibrated to a market swaption volatility surface.
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institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:50:56.726Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2018
publishDateRange 2018
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source_str UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/27102 Modelling stochastic multi-curve basis Dalton, Rowan Kienitz, Jörg McWalter, Thomas Mathematical Finance As a consequence of the 2007 financial crisis, the market has shifted towards a multi-curve approach in modelling the prevailing interest rate environment. Currently, there is a reliance on the assumption of deterministic- or constant-basis spreads. This assumption is too simplistic to describe the modern multi-curve environment and serves as the motivation for this work. A stochastic-basis framework, presented by Mercurio and Xie (2012), with one- and two-factor OIS short-rate models is reviewed and implemented in order to analyse the effect of the inclusion of stochastic-basis in the pricing of interest rate derivatives. In order to preclude the existence of negative spreads in the model, a constraint on the spread model parameters is necessary. The inclusion of stochastic-basis results in a clear shift in the terminal distributions of FRA and swap rates. In spite of this, stochastic-basis is found to have a negligible effect on cap/floor and swaption prices for the admissible spread model parameters. To overcome challenges surrounding parameter estimation under the framework, a rudimentary calibration procedure is developed, where the spread model parameters are estimated from historical data; and the OIS rate model parameters are calibrated to a market swaption volatility surface. 2018-01-30T10:26:26Z 2018-01-30T10:26:26Z 2017 Master Thesis Masters MPhil http://hdl.handle.net/11427/27102 eng application/pdf Division of Actuarial Science Faculty of Commerce University of Cape Town
spellingShingle Mathematical Finance
Dalton, Rowan
Modelling stochastic multi-curve basis
thesis_degree_str Master's
title Modelling stochastic multi-curve basis
title_full Modelling stochastic multi-curve basis
title_fullStr Modelling stochastic multi-curve basis
title_full_unstemmed Modelling stochastic multi-curve basis
title_short Modelling stochastic multi-curve basis
title_sort modelling stochastic multi curve basis
topic Mathematical Finance
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/27102
work_keys_str_mv AT daltonrowan modellingstochasticmulticurvebasis