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Bid-Ask Spread Modelling in the South African Bond Market

Pitsillis and Taylor (2014) calculate bid-ask spread estimates of South African government bonds over a single year, using the models of De Jong and Rindi (2009) and Huang and Stoll (1997). This dissertation tests the effectiveness of both models by comparing the modelled equity spread estimates aga...

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Main Author: Shaw, Matthew
Other Authors: Mohamed, Obeid
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: African Institute of Financial Markets and Risk Management 2019
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access_status_str Open Access
author Shaw, Matthew
author2 Mohamed, Obeid
author_browse Mohamed, Obeid
Shaw, Matthew
author_facet Mohamed, Obeid
Shaw, Matthew
author_sort Shaw, Matthew
collection Thesis
description Pitsillis and Taylor (2014) calculate bid-ask spread estimates of South African government bonds over a single year, using the models of De Jong and Rindi (2009) and Huang and Stoll (1997). This dissertation tests the effectiveness of both models by comparing the modelled equity spread estimates against the actual equity spread estimates. Furthermore, this dissertation investigates the stability of the De Jong and Rindi (2009) and Huang and Stoll (1997) models in the bond market by extending the spread estimate dataset to run annually over 5 years. The final section of this dissertation proposes a new method of estimating the bond spread through the use of a Kalman filter, as it can be used to leverage information from an onscreen market (albeit a different market) to imply bid-ask spread estimates in an off-screen market. The results indicate that the Huang and Stoll (1997) model consistently outperforms the De Jong and Rindi (2009) model. Furthermore, the yield estimate results of Pitsillis and Taylor (2014) align with the results obtained in this dissertation. The spread estimate results are stable over the 5-year period, indicating a strong provision of liquidity by the Primary Dealers.
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institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:33:12.104Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2019
publishDateRange 2019
publishDateSort 2019
publisher African Institute of Financial Markets and Risk Management
publisherStr African Institute of Financial Markets and Risk Management
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source_str UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/29480 Bid-Ask Spread Modelling in the South African Bond Market Shaw, Matthew Mohamed, Obeid Taylor, David Mathematical Finance Pitsillis and Taylor (2014) calculate bid-ask spread estimates of South African government bonds over a single year, using the models of De Jong and Rindi (2009) and Huang and Stoll (1997). This dissertation tests the effectiveness of both models by comparing the modelled equity spread estimates against the actual equity spread estimates. Furthermore, this dissertation investigates the stability of the De Jong and Rindi (2009) and Huang and Stoll (1997) models in the bond market by extending the spread estimate dataset to run annually over 5 years. The final section of this dissertation proposes a new method of estimating the bond spread through the use of a Kalman filter, as it can be used to leverage information from an onscreen market (albeit a different market) to imply bid-ask spread estimates in an off-screen market. The results indicate that the Huang and Stoll (1997) model consistently outperforms the De Jong and Rindi (2009) model. Furthermore, the yield estimate results of Pitsillis and Taylor (2014) align with the results obtained in this dissertation. The spread estimate results are stable over the 5-year period, indicating a strong provision of liquidity by the Primary Dealers. 2019-02-11T13:31:52Z 2019-02-11T13:31:52Z 2018 2019-02-11T10:16:11Z Master Thesis Masters MPhil http://hdl.handle.net/11427/29480 eng application/pdf African Institute of Financial Markets and Risk Management Faculty of Commerce University of Cape Town
spellingShingle Mathematical Finance
Shaw, Matthew
Bid-Ask Spread Modelling in the South African Bond Market
thesis_degree_str Master's
title Bid-Ask Spread Modelling in the South African Bond Market
title_full Bid-Ask Spread Modelling in the South African Bond Market
title_fullStr Bid-Ask Spread Modelling in the South African Bond Market
title_full_unstemmed Bid-Ask Spread Modelling in the South African Bond Market
title_short Bid-Ask Spread Modelling in the South African Bond Market
title_sort bid ask spread modelling in the south african bond market
topic Mathematical Finance
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/29480
work_keys_str_mv AT shawmatthew bidaskspreadmodellinginthesouthafricanbondmarket