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Sequential Calibration of Asset Pricing Models to Option Prices

This paper implements four calibration methods on stochastic volatility models. We estimate the latent state and parameters of the models using three non-linear filtering methods, namely the extended Kalman filter (EKF), iterated extended Kalman filter (IEKF) and the unscented Kalman filter (UKF). A...

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Main Author: Oagile, Joel
Other Authors: Ouwehand, Peter
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: African Institute of Financial Markets and Risk Management 2019
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access_status_str Open Access
author Oagile, Joel
author2 Ouwehand, Peter
author_browse Oagile, Joel
Ouwehand, Peter
author_facet Ouwehand, Peter
Oagile, Joel
author_sort Oagile, Joel
collection Thesis
description This paper implements four calibration methods on stochastic volatility models. We estimate the latent state and parameters of the models using three non-linear filtering methods, namely the extended Kalman filter (EKF), iterated extended Kalman filter (IEKF) and the unscented Kalman filter (UKF). A simulation study is performed and the non-linear filtering methods are compared to the standard least square method (LSQ). The results show that both methods are capable of tracking the hidden state and time varying parameters with varying success. The non-linear filtering methods are faster and generally perform better on validation. To test the stability of the parameters, we carry out a delta hedging study. This exercise is not only of interest to academics, but also to traders who have to hedge their positions. Our results do not show any significant benefits resulting from performing delta hedging using parameter estimates obtained from non-linear filtering methods as compared to least square parameter estimates.
format Thesis
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institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:33:59.204Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2019
publishDateRange 2019
publishDateSort 2019
publisher African Institute of Financial Markets and Risk Management
publisherStr African Institute of Financial Markets and Risk Management
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source_str UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/29840 Sequential Calibration of Asset Pricing Models to Option Prices Oagile, Joel Ouwehand, Peter Mathematical Finance This paper implements four calibration methods on stochastic volatility models. We estimate the latent state and parameters of the models using three non-linear filtering methods, namely the extended Kalman filter (EKF), iterated extended Kalman filter (IEKF) and the unscented Kalman filter (UKF). A simulation study is performed and the non-linear filtering methods are compared to the standard least square method (LSQ). The results show that both methods are capable of tracking the hidden state and time varying parameters with varying success. The non-linear filtering methods are faster and generally perform better on validation. To test the stability of the parameters, we carry out a delta hedging study. This exercise is not only of interest to academics, but also to traders who have to hedge their positions. Our results do not show any significant benefits resulting from performing delta hedging using parameter estimates obtained from non-linear filtering methods as compared to least square parameter estimates. 2019-03-01T06:31:05Z 2019-03-01T06:31:05Z 2018 2019-02-25T11:48:19Z Master Thesis Masters MPhil http://hdl.handle.net/11427/29840 eng application/pdf African Institute of Financial Markets and Risk Management Faculty of Commerce University of Cape Town
spellingShingle Mathematical Finance
Oagile, Joel
Sequential Calibration of Asset Pricing Models to Option Prices
thesis_degree_str Master's
title Sequential Calibration of Asset Pricing Models to Option Prices
title_full Sequential Calibration of Asset Pricing Models to Option Prices
title_fullStr Sequential Calibration of Asset Pricing Models to Option Prices
title_full_unstemmed Sequential Calibration of Asset Pricing Models to Option Prices
title_short Sequential Calibration of Asset Pricing Models to Option Prices
title_sort sequential calibration of asset pricing models to option prices
topic Mathematical Finance
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/29840
work_keys_str_mv AT oagilejoel sequentialcalibrationofassetpricingmodelstooptionprices