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Investigating the effects of dollarization on economic growth in Zimbabwe (1990-2015)

This research presents a comprehensive analysis of Zimbabwe’s adoption of a basket of foreign currencies as legal tender and the resultant economic effects of this move. Upon adoption in 2009, Zimbabweans were optimistic about the future as they thought the multicurrency regime would bring a more...

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Main Author: Nemaramba, Nhongerai
Other Authors: Charteris, Ailie
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Research of GSB 2019
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access_status_str Open Access
author Nemaramba, Nhongerai
author2 Charteris, Ailie
author_browse Charteris, Ailie
Nemaramba, Nhongerai
author_facet Charteris, Ailie
Nemaramba, Nhongerai
author_sort Nemaramba, Nhongerai
collection Thesis
description This research presents a comprehensive analysis of Zimbabwe’s adoption of a basket of foreign currencies as legal tender and the resultant economic effects of this move. Upon adoption in 2009, Zimbabweans were optimistic about the future as they thought the multicurrency regime would bring a more stable economy. Eight years down the line, it is prudent to evaluate whether this optimism was justified in terms of the effect of the policy on the Zimbabwean economy. An econometric model was applied in this study to investigate how dollarization and the other macroeconomic factors impacted on economic growth. The findings of the study show that most macroeconomic indicators improved as a result of dollarization. The average economic growth rate, as measured by growth in gross domestic product, was -5.22 per cent for the period before dollarization (1990 to 2008) and 14.83 per cent for the dollarized period (2009 to 2015). The difference in average growth rate is 20.05 per cent and is statistically significant at 1 per cent. This implies that the average economic growth rate improved by 20.05 per cent after the economy was dollarized. The average GDP per capita improved during dollarization by $278.78 and this difference is statistically significant at the 1 per cent level. Foreign direct investment inflows per capita improved from the pre-dollarization average of $5.40 to an average of $20.89 during the dollarized period, with this difference statistically significant at the 1 per cent level. Inflation declined substantially from over 230 million per cent to an average of less than 1 per cent during the dollarized period. However, despite a significant improvement in some macroeconomic variables, Zimbabwe’s debt increased during dollarization. The results from the regression model of economic growth on its determinants further show that dollarization improved economic growth. In the absence of a dummy variable for dollarization, economic growth is influenced by population (statistically significant at 10 per cent), literacy (statistically significant at 5 per cent) and inflation (statistically significant at 1 per cent). However, with a dollarization dummy, growth becomes a function of inflation (statistically significant at 1 per cent) and dollarization (statistically significant at 10 per cent). The findings generally indicate that dollarization has improved economic growth. They point to the policy implication that a control of inflation to reasonable levels is crucial for economic growth. The policy implications for such findings are discussed in the study
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institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language English
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:35:15.646Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2019
publishDateRange 2019
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spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/29941 Investigating the effects of dollarization on economic growth in Zimbabwe (1990-2015) Nemaramba, Nhongerai Charteris, Ailie This research presents a comprehensive analysis of Zimbabwe’s adoption of a basket of foreign currencies as legal tender and the resultant economic effects of this move. Upon adoption in 2009, Zimbabweans were optimistic about the future as they thought the multicurrency regime would bring a more stable economy. Eight years down the line, it is prudent to evaluate whether this optimism was justified in terms of the effect of the policy on the Zimbabwean economy. An econometric model was applied in this study to investigate how dollarization and the other macroeconomic factors impacted on economic growth. The findings of the study show that most macroeconomic indicators improved as a result of dollarization. The average economic growth rate, as measured by growth in gross domestic product, was -5.22 per cent for the period before dollarization (1990 to 2008) and 14.83 per cent for the dollarized period (2009 to 2015). The difference in average growth rate is 20.05 per cent and is statistically significant at 1 per cent. This implies that the average economic growth rate improved by 20.05 per cent after the economy was dollarized. The average GDP per capita improved during dollarization by $278.78 and this difference is statistically significant at the 1 per cent level. Foreign direct investment inflows per capita improved from the pre-dollarization average of $5.40 to an average of $20.89 during the dollarized period, with this difference statistically significant at the 1 per cent level. Inflation declined substantially from over 230 million per cent to an average of less than 1 per cent during the dollarized period. However, despite a significant improvement in some macroeconomic variables, Zimbabwe’s debt increased during dollarization. The results from the regression model of economic growth on its determinants further show that dollarization improved economic growth. In the absence of a dummy variable for dollarization, economic growth is influenced by population (statistically significant at 10 per cent), literacy (statistically significant at 5 per cent) and inflation (statistically significant at 1 per cent). However, with a dollarization dummy, growth becomes a function of inflation (statistically significant at 1 per cent) and dollarization (statistically significant at 10 per cent). The findings generally indicate that dollarization has improved economic growth. They point to the policy implication that a control of inflation to reasonable levels is crucial for economic growth. The policy implications for such findings are discussed in the study 2019-03-26T12:48:23Z 2019-03-26T12:48:23Z 2018 Thesis MCom http://hdl.handle.net/11427/29941 en application/pdf Research of GSB Faculty of Commerce University Of Cape Town
spellingShingle Nemaramba, Nhongerai
Investigating the effects of dollarization on economic growth in Zimbabwe (1990-2015)
title Investigating the effects of dollarization on economic growth in Zimbabwe (1990-2015)
title_full Investigating the effects of dollarization on economic growth in Zimbabwe (1990-2015)
title_fullStr Investigating the effects of dollarization on economic growth in Zimbabwe (1990-2015)
title_full_unstemmed Investigating the effects of dollarization on economic growth in Zimbabwe (1990-2015)
title_short Investigating the effects of dollarization on economic growth in Zimbabwe (1990-2015)
title_sort investigating the effects of dollarization on economic growth in zimbabwe 1990 2015
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/29941
work_keys_str_mv AT nemarambanhongerai investigatingtheeffectsofdollarizationoneconomicgrowthinzimbabwe19902015