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Modelling computer network traffic using wavelets and time series analysis

Modelling of network traffic is a notoriously difficult problem. This is primarily due to the ever-increasing complexity of network traffic and the different ways in which a network may be excited by user activity. The ongoing development of new network applications, protocols, and usage profiles fu...

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Main Author: Ntlangu, Mbulelo Brenwen
Other Authors: Baghai-Wadji, Alireza
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Department of Electrical Engineering 2019
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access_status_str Open Access
author Ntlangu, Mbulelo Brenwen
author2 Baghai-Wadji, Alireza
author_browse Baghai-Wadji, Alireza
Ntlangu, Mbulelo Brenwen
author_facet Baghai-Wadji, Alireza
Ntlangu, Mbulelo Brenwen
author_sort Ntlangu, Mbulelo Brenwen
collection Thesis
description Modelling of network traffic is a notoriously difficult problem. This is primarily due to the ever-increasing complexity of network traffic and the different ways in which a network may be excited by user activity. The ongoing development of new network applications, protocols, and usage profiles further necessitate the need for models which are able to adapt to the specific networks in which they are deployed. These considerations have in large part driven the evolution of statistical profiles of network traffic from simple Poisson processes to non-Gaussian models that incorporate traffic burstiness, non-stationarity, self-similarity, long-range dependence (LRD) and multi-fractality. The need for ever more sophisticated network traffic models has led to the specification of a myriad of traffic models since. Many of these are listed in [91, 14]. In networks comprised of IoT devices much of the traffic is generated by devices which function autonomously and in a more deterministic fashion. Thus in this dissertation the activity of building time series models for IoT network traffic is undertaken. In the work that follows a broad review of the historical development of network traffic modelling is presented tracing a path that leads to the use of time series analysis for the said task. An introduction to time series analysis is provided in order to facilitate the theoretical discussion regarding the feasibility and suitability of time series analysis techniques for modelling network traffic. The theory is then followed by a summary of the techniques and methodology that might be followed to detect, remove and/or model the typical characteristics associated with network traffic such as linear trends, cyclic trends, periodicity, fractality, and long range dependence. A set of experiments is conducted in order determine the effect of fractality on the estimation of AR and MA components of a time series model. A comparison of various Hurst estimation techniques is also performed on synthetically generated data. The wavelet-based Abry-Veitch Hurst estimator is found to perform consistly well with respect to its competitors, and the subsequent removal of fractality via fractional differencing is found to provide a substantial improvement on the estimation of time series model parameters.
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institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
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license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2019
publishDateRange 2019
publishDateSort 2019
publisher Department of Electrical Engineering
publisherStr Department of Electrical Engineering
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source_str UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/30146 Modelling computer network traffic using wavelets and time series analysis Ntlangu, Mbulelo Brenwen Baghai-Wadji, Alireza Engineering Modelling of network traffic is a notoriously difficult problem. This is primarily due to the ever-increasing complexity of network traffic and the different ways in which a network may be excited by user activity. The ongoing development of new network applications, protocols, and usage profiles further necessitate the need for models which are able to adapt to the specific networks in which they are deployed. These considerations have in large part driven the evolution of statistical profiles of network traffic from simple Poisson processes to non-Gaussian models that incorporate traffic burstiness, non-stationarity, self-similarity, long-range dependence (LRD) and multi-fractality. The need for ever more sophisticated network traffic models has led to the specification of a myriad of traffic models since. Many of these are listed in [91, 14]. In networks comprised of IoT devices much of the traffic is generated by devices which function autonomously and in a more deterministic fashion. Thus in this dissertation the activity of building time series models for IoT network traffic is undertaken. In the work that follows a broad review of the historical development of network traffic modelling is presented tracing a path that leads to the use of time series analysis for the said task. An introduction to time series analysis is provided in order to facilitate the theoretical discussion regarding the feasibility and suitability of time series analysis techniques for modelling network traffic. The theory is then followed by a summary of the techniques and methodology that might be followed to detect, remove and/or model the typical characteristics associated with network traffic such as linear trends, cyclic trends, periodicity, fractality, and long range dependence. A set of experiments is conducted in order determine the effect of fractality on the estimation of AR and MA components of a time series model. A comparison of various Hurst estimation techniques is also performed on synthetically generated data. The wavelet-based Abry-Veitch Hurst estimator is found to perform consistly well with respect to its competitors, and the subsequent removal of fractality via fractional differencing is found to provide a substantial improvement on the estimation of time series model parameters. 2019-05-16T08:02:54Z 2019-05-16T08:02:54Z 2019 2019-05-15T13:00:02Z Master Thesis Masters MSc http://hdl.handle.net/11427/30146 eng application/pdf Department of Electrical Engineering Faculty of Engineering and the Built Environment
spellingShingle Engineering
Ntlangu, Mbulelo Brenwen
Modelling computer network traffic using wavelets and time series analysis
thesis_degree_str Master's
title Modelling computer network traffic using wavelets and time series analysis
title_full Modelling computer network traffic using wavelets and time series analysis
title_fullStr Modelling computer network traffic using wavelets and time series analysis
title_full_unstemmed Modelling computer network traffic using wavelets and time series analysis
title_short Modelling computer network traffic using wavelets and time series analysis
title_sort modelling computer network traffic using wavelets and time series analysis
topic Engineering
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/30146
work_keys_str_mv AT ntlangumbulelobrenwen modellingcomputernetworktrafficusingwaveletsandtimeseriesanalysis