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The Impact of the Carry Trade on Global Currency Markets

This work analyses the effect of the carry trade factor, statistically derived from a comprehensive basket of currencies, on currencies in various heuristically defined global risk appetite regimes. Findings of a heightened (lessened) impact of this factor for Emerging/Commodity (Developed/European)...

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Main Author: Smit, Steven
Other Authors: Pienaar, Etienne
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Department of Statistical Sciences 2020
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access_status_str Open Access
author Smit, Steven
author2 Pienaar, Etienne
author_browse Pienaar, Etienne
Smit, Steven
author_facet Pienaar, Etienne
Smit, Steven
author_sort Smit, Steven
collection Thesis
description This work analyses the effect of the carry trade factor, statistically derived from a comprehensive basket of currencies, on currencies in various heuristically defined global risk appetite regimes. Findings of a heightened (lessened) impact of this factor for Emerging/Commodity (Developed/European) currencies in the presence of high risk are presented. The risk appetite process is additionally analysed by modelling it as a Markov-switching model, providing evidence of three inherent regimes, with properties roughly consistent with findings in the literature.
format Thesis
id oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/30991
institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:34:20.437Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2020
publishDateRange 2020
publishDateSort 2020
publisher Department of Statistical Sciences
publisherStr Department of Statistical Sciences
record_format dspace
source_str UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/30991 The Impact of the Carry Trade on Global Currency Markets Smit, Steven Pienaar, Etienne Polakow, Daniel Mathematical Statistics This work analyses the effect of the carry trade factor, statistically derived from a comprehensive basket of currencies, on currencies in various heuristically defined global risk appetite regimes. Findings of a heightened (lessened) impact of this factor for Emerging/Commodity (Developed/European) currencies in the presence of high risk are presented. The risk appetite process is additionally analysed by modelling it as a Markov-switching model, providing evidence of three inherent regimes, with properties roughly consistent with findings in the literature. 2020-02-11T09:15:09Z 2020-02-11T09:15:09Z 2019 2020-01-28T11:24:52Z Master Thesis Masters MSc http://hdl.handle.net/11427/30991 eng application/pdf Department of Statistical Sciences Faculty of Science
spellingShingle Mathematical Statistics
Smit, Steven
The Impact of the Carry Trade on Global Currency Markets
thesis_degree_str Master's
title The Impact of the Carry Trade on Global Currency Markets
title_full The Impact of the Carry Trade on Global Currency Markets
title_fullStr The Impact of the Carry Trade on Global Currency Markets
title_full_unstemmed The Impact of the Carry Trade on Global Currency Markets
title_short The Impact of the Carry Trade on Global Currency Markets
title_sort impact of the carry trade on global currency markets
topic Mathematical Statistics
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/30991
work_keys_str_mv AT smitsteven theimpactofthecarrytradeonglobalcurrencymarkets
AT smitsteven impactofthecarrytradeonglobalcurrencymarkets