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Monetary policy transmission mechanism in Botswana: A time-varying parameter VAR approach

This study examines the evolution of Botswana's monetary policy transmission mechanism by employing a time-varying parameter model. Botswana provides a good context for assessing the transmission of monetary policy over time, following structural and macroeconomic reforms since 1989. The time-varyin...

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Main Author: Ratsebe, Thobo
Other Authors: Makanza, Christine
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: School of Economics 2021
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access_status_str Open Access
author Ratsebe, Thobo
author2 Makanza, Christine
author_browse Makanza, Christine
Ratsebe, Thobo
author_facet Makanza, Christine
Ratsebe, Thobo
author_sort Ratsebe, Thobo
collection Thesis
description This study examines the evolution of Botswana's monetary policy transmission mechanism by employing a time-varying parameter model. Botswana provides a good context for assessing the transmission of monetary policy over time, following structural and macroeconomic reforms since 1989. The time-varying parameter vector autoregressive (TVP-VAR) model with stochastic volatility is employed for quarterly time series data from 1994Q1 to 2018Q4. The study evaluates how the responses of real non-mining output and price levels to the Bank Rate, exchange rate, and credit shocks changed over time. The paper contributes to the literature by capturing the timevarying nature of the underlying structure of the monetary policy and the economy of Botswana. The empirical results indicate that real output, inflation, and exchange rate responses to monetary policy shocks changed over time under the study period, confirming the time-varying nature of monetary policy transmission for Botswana.
format Thesis
id oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/33910
institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:32:03.909Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2021
publishDateRange 2021
publishDateSort 2021
publisher School of Economics
publisherStr School of Economics
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source_str UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/33910 Monetary policy transmission mechanism in Botswana: A time-varying parameter VAR approach Ratsebe, Thobo Makanza, Christine Economics This study examines the evolution of Botswana's monetary policy transmission mechanism by employing a time-varying parameter model. Botswana provides a good context for assessing the transmission of monetary policy over time, following structural and macroeconomic reforms since 1989. The time-varying parameter vector autoregressive (TVP-VAR) model with stochastic volatility is employed for quarterly time series data from 1994Q1 to 2018Q4. The study evaluates how the responses of real non-mining output and price levels to the Bank Rate, exchange rate, and credit shocks changed over time. The paper contributes to the literature by capturing the timevarying nature of the underlying structure of the monetary policy and the economy of Botswana. The empirical results indicate that real output, inflation, and exchange rate responses to monetary policy shocks changed over time under the study period, confirming the time-varying nature of monetary policy transmission for Botswana. 2021-09-15T11:33:16Z 2021-09-15T11:33:16Z 2021 2021-09-15T08:11:16Z Master Thesis Masters MCom http://hdl.handle.net/11427/33910 eng application/pdf School of Economics Faculty of Commerce
spellingShingle Economics
Ratsebe, Thobo
Monetary policy transmission mechanism in Botswana: A time-varying parameter VAR approach
thesis_degree_str Master's
title Monetary policy transmission mechanism in Botswana: A time-varying parameter VAR approach
title_full Monetary policy transmission mechanism in Botswana: A time-varying parameter VAR approach
title_fullStr Monetary policy transmission mechanism in Botswana: A time-varying parameter VAR approach
title_full_unstemmed Monetary policy transmission mechanism in Botswana: A time-varying parameter VAR approach
title_short Monetary policy transmission mechanism in Botswana: A time-varying parameter VAR approach
title_sort monetary policy transmission mechanism in botswana a time varying parameter var approach
topic Economics
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/33910
work_keys_str_mv AT ratsebethobo monetarypolicytransmissionmechanisminbotswanaatimevaryingparametervarapproach