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The influence of rainfall on the Verreaux's eagle and its prey species in the Matobo hills, Zimbabwe

Understanding how species respond to variations in weather patterns will be crucial to improve our predictions about how species will cope with climate change. The Verreaux's Eagle (Aquila verreauxii) and its primary prey species the Rock Hyrax (Procavia capensis) and Yellow-spotted Hyrax (Heterohyr...

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Main Author: Nkomo, Merlyn
Other Authors: Amar, Arjun
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Department of Biological Sciences 2022
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access_status_str Open Access
author Nkomo, Merlyn
author2 Amar, Arjun
author_browse Amar, Arjun
Nkomo, Merlyn
author_facet Amar, Arjun
Nkomo, Merlyn
author_sort Nkomo, Merlyn
collection Thesis
description Understanding how species respond to variations in weather patterns will be crucial to improve our predictions about how species will cope with climate change. The Verreaux's Eagle (Aquila verreauxii) and its primary prey species the Rock Hyrax (Procavia capensis) and Yellow-spotted Hyrax (Heterohyrax brucei) have been monitored by a long-term citizen science project in the Matobo Hills, Zimbabwe. A previous study associated rainfall patterns with the establishment, breeding density and productivity of Verreaux's Eagles. Fluctuations in hyrax populations have been attributed to fluctuations in rainfall and drought. However, these studies have been limited by the use of total annual rainfall instead of targeted rainfall periods of when biological outcomes are most sensitive to weather phenomena. This study explored critical climate sensitivity windows influencing the Verreaux's Eagle's reading performance and the abundance of its main prey species. We used observations of 109 nests over 37 years (1984-2019) and counts from 20 hyrax den sites for 13 years (1993-2005), together with remotely sensed rainfall data. The probability of attempting to breeding and the probability of producing a fledgling was negatively associated with rainfall. For breeding attempt, the rainfall during June and July, 11-10 months before laying was the most relevant, whereas, for productivity, the rainfall during December to March, nine-five months before fledging was the most relevant. However, the relationship between the rainfall signal and breeding productivity was not significant. Hyrax abundance had a negative quadratic relationship with mean rainfall against their respective climate windows, whereby the abundance of adult and sub-adult hyrax increased with rainfall during July–September but declined thereafter at greater rainfall levels. The abundance of hyrax did not have a significant relationship with the breeding outcomes of the Verreaux's Eagles. This study shows the complexity of the causal relationships between climate and biological outcomes and also the value of long-term data to understanding the impacts of variations in weather patterns to better understand predator-prey dynamics.
format Thesis
id oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/35984
institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:31:31.816Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2022
publishDateRange 2022
publishDateSort 2022
publisher Department of Biological Sciences
publisherStr Department of Biological Sciences
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source_str UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/35984 The influence of rainfall on the Verreaux's eagle and its prey species in the Matobo hills, Zimbabwe Nkomo, Merlyn Amar, Arjun Verreaux's eagle prey species Matobo hills Zimbabwe Understanding how species respond to variations in weather patterns will be crucial to improve our predictions about how species will cope with climate change. The Verreaux's Eagle (Aquila verreauxii) and its primary prey species the Rock Hyrax (Procavia capensis) and Yellow-spotted Hyrax (Heterohyrax brucei) have been monitored by a long-term citizen science project in the Matobo Hills, Zimbabwe. A previous study associated rainfall patterns with the establishment, breeding density and productivity of Verreaux's Eagles. Fluctuations in hyrax populations have been attributed to fluctuations in rainfall and drought. However, these studies have been limited by the use of total annual rainfall instead of targeted rainfall periods of when biological outcomes are most sensitive to weather phenomena. This study explored critical climate sensitivity windows influencing the Verreaux's Eagle's reading performance and the abundance of its main prey species. We used observations of 109 nests over 37 years (1984-2019) and counts from 20 hyrax den sites for 13 years (1993-2005), together with remotely sensed rainfall data. The probability of attempting to breeding and the probability of producing a fledgling was negatively associated with rainfall. For breeding attempt, the rainfall during June and July, 11-10 months before laying was the most relevant, whereas, for productivity, the rainfall during December to March, nine-five months before fledging was the most relevant. However, the relationship between the rainfall signal and breeding productivity was not significant. Hyrax abundance had a negative quadratic relationship with mean rainfall against their respective climate windows, whereby the abundance of adult and sub-adult hyrax increased with rainfall during July–September but declined thereafter at greater rainfall levels. The abundance of hyrax did not have a significant relationship with the breeding outcomes of the Verreaux's Eagles. This study shows the complexity of the causal relationships between climate and biological outcomes and also the value of long-term data to understanding the impacts of variations in weather patterns to better understand predator-prey dynamics. 2022-03-07T20:46:42Z 2022-03-07T20:46:42Z 2021 2022-03-07T20:46:12Z Master Thesis Masters MSc http://hdl.handle.net/11427/35984 eng application/pdf Department of Biological Sciences Faculty of Science
spellingShingle Verreaux's eagle
prey species
Matobo hills
Zimbabwe
Nkomo, Merlyn
The influence of rainfall on the Verreaux's eagle and its prey species in the Matobo hills, Zimbabwe
thesis_degree_str Master's
title The influence of rainfall on the Verreaux's eagle and its prey species in the Matobo hills, Zimbabwe
title_full The influence of rainfall on the Verreaux's eagle and its prey species in the Matobo hills, Zimbabwe
title_fullStr The influence of rainfall on the Verreaux's eagle and its prey species in the Matobo hills, Zimbabwe
title_full_unstemmed The influence of rainfall on the Verreaux's eagle and its prey species in the Matobo hills, Zimbabwe
title_short The influence of rainfall on the Verreaux's eagle and its prey species in the Matobo hills, Zimbabwe
title_sort influence of rainfall on the verreaux s eagle and its prey species in the matobo hills zimbabwe
topic Verreaux's eagle
prey species
Matobo hills
Zimbabwe
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/35984
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