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Classification, Valuation and Real Options Analysis of Climate Change Projects in Africa: A case study of Ghana in West Africa

Projects and investments such as those of R & D and climate change are subject to several uncertainties. These uncertainties, if not properly managed, could defeat the actual purpose and target of the project. In this work, we identify flexibility as a way in which uncertainties can be managed....

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Main Author: Asumadagwine, Godwin
Other Authors: Fredericks, Ebrahim
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics 2023
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access_status_str Open Access
author Asumadagwine, Godwin
author2 Fredericks, Ebrahim
author_browse Asumadagwine, Godwin
Fredericks, Ebrahim
author_facet Fredericks, Ebrahim
Asumadagwine, Godwin
author_sort Asumadagwine, Godwin
collection Thesis
description Projects and investments such as those of R & D and climate change are subject to several uncertainties. These uncertainties, if not properly managed, could defeat the actual purpose and target of the project. In this work, we identify flexibility as a way in which uncertainties can be managed. As the main aim of investments is to make profit, it is significant that investors conduct an in depth study of the project under consideration. This will aid in cost-benefit analysis to ascertain whether it is financially worth it or not. Real options in finance, is the tool that has proved effective in that regard. However, not every project can be analysed using real options. This thesis introduces real options in climate change investment in Africa (Ghana), 2014-2020. To determine whether real options could be applied, we introduce and estimate certain measures: flexibility, optionability and realizability. These metrics help us to identify the project in which real options can be used. In this case, we characterize real options into mechanisms and types. The mechanisms are noted to be the enablers of real options while the types are the particular ones enabled. This work also introduces the Decision Structure Matrix (DSM) in climate change investment. The logical Coupled Dependency Matrix (C-DSM) is used to specify the logical relations that exist among dependencies in the project. The logical dependencies are then used for the estimation of the metrics . This study serves as the basis for the application of real options analysis in climate change investments.
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institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:33:05.164Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2023
publishDateRange 2023
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spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/36976 Classification, Valuation and Real Options Analysis of Climate Change Projects in Africa: A case study of Ghana in West Africa Asumadagwine, Godwin Fredericks, Ebrahim Becker, Ronnie Ikpe, Dennis Mathematics and Applied Mathematics Projects and investments such as those of R & D and climate change are subject to several uncertainties. These uncertainties, if not properly managed, could defeat the actual purpose and target of the project. In this work, we identify flexibility as a way in which uncertainties can be managed. As the main aim of investments is to make profit, it is significant that investors conduct an in depth study of the project under consideration. This will aid in cost-benefit analysis to ascertain whether it is financially worth it or not. Real options in finance, is the tool that has proved effective in that regard. However, not every project can be analysed using real options. This thesis introduces real options in climate change investment in Africa (Ghana), 2014-2020. To determine whether real options could be applied, we introduce and estimate certain measures: flexibility, optionability and realizability. These metrics help us to identify the project in which real options can be used. In this case, we characterize real options into mechanisms and types. The mechanisms are noted to be the enablers of real options while the types are the particular ones enabled. This work also introduces the Decision Structure Matrix (DSM) in climate change investment. The logical Coupled Dependency Matrix (C-DSM) is used to specify the logical relations that exist among dependencies in the project. The logical dependencies are then used for the estimation of the metrics . This study serves as the basis for the application of real options analysis in climate change investments. 2023-02-22T11:57:10Z 2023-02-22T11:57:10Z 2022 2023-02-20T12:13:43Z Master Thesis Masters MSc http://hdl.handle.net/11427/36976 eng application/pdf Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics Faculty of Science
spellingShingle Mathematics and Applied Mathematics
Asumadagwine, Godwin
Classification, Valuation and Real Options Analysis of Climate Change Projects in Africa: A case study of Ghana in West Africa
thesis_degree_str Master's
title Classification, Valuation and Real Options Analysis of Climate Change Projects in Africa: A case study of Ghana in West Africa
title_full Classification, Valuation and Real Options Analysis of Climate Change Projects in Africa: A case study of Ghana in West Africa
title_fullStr Classification, Valuation and Real Options Analysis of Climate Change Projects in Africa: A case study of Ghana in West Africa
title_full_unstemmed Classification, Valuation and Real Options Analysis of Climate Change Projects in Africa: A case study of Ghana in West Africa
title_short Classification, Valuation and Real Options Analysis of Climate Change Projects in Africa: A case study of Ghana in West Africa
title_sort classification valuation and real options analysis of climate change projects in africa a case study of ghana in west africa
topic Mathematics and Applied Mathematics
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/36976
work_keys_str_mv AT asumadagwinegodwin classificationvaluationandrealoptionsanalysisofclimatechangeprojectsinafricaacasestudyofghanainwestafrica