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Deep Calibration of Option Pricing Models

This dissertation investigates the calibration efficiency of short rate models using deep neural networks. The main focus is on the calibration of one-and-two factor Hull-White models to caplets and swaptions data, where the inputs are interest rate derivative prices or implied volatilities, and the...

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Main Author: Dadah, Sahil
Other Authors: Ouwehand, Peter
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: African Institute of Financial Markets and Risk Management 2023
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access_status_str Open Access
author Dadah, Sahil
author2 Ouwehand, Peter
author_browse Dadah, Sahil
Ouwehand, Peter
author_facet Ouwehand, Peter
Dadah, Sahil
author_sort Dadah, Sahil
collection Thesis
description This dissertation investigates the calibration efficiency of short rate models using deep neural networks. The main focus is on the calibration of one-and-two factor Hull-White models to caplets and swaptions data, where the inputs are interest rate derivative prices or implied volatilities, and the outputs are the model parameters. A direct and indirect neural network calibration framework is adopted. The former method involves a direct inversion of the standard option pricing function using neural network. The indirect framework uses two consecutive steps; the first step estimates the option pricing function using a neural network. This is followed by applying the pre-trained model in a calibration procedure to fit the model parameters to a set of market observables. The neural networks are trained using simulated data and an optimum set of hyperparameters is obtained via the Bayesian optimization. The best set of hyperparameters is used to train the networks and tested on out-of-sample actual market yield curves data. It is shown that the direct method has substantial improvements in time with a sacrifice in accuracy (a mean relative error of 2.88%). On the other hand, using the indirect method, it is shown that the calibrated parameters reprice the set of options to a mean relative error of less than 0.1% (similar to numerical calibration), with a significant improvement in speed whose execution is twenty-six times faster compared to the conventional calibration procedures currently used.
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institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:33:59.204Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2023
publishDateRange 2023
publishDateSort 2023
publisher African Institute of Financial Markets and Risk Management
publisherStr African Institute of Financial Markets and Risk Management
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source_str UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/37130 Deep Calibration of Option Pricing Models Dadah, Sahil Ouwehand, Peter Mathematical Finance This dissertation investigates the calibration efficiency of short rate models using deep neural networks. The main focus is on the calibration of one-and-two factor Hull-White models to caplets and swaptions data, where the inputs are interest rate derivative prices or implied volatilities, and the outputs are the model parameters. A direct and indirect neural network calibration framework is adopted. The former method involves a direct inversion of the standard option pricing function using neural network. The indirect framework uses two consecutive steps; the first step estimates the option pricing function using a neural network. This is followed by applying the pre-trained model in a calibration procedure to fit the model parameters to a set of market observables. The neural networks are trained using simulated data and an optimum set of hyperparameters is obtained via the Bayesian optimization. The best set of hyperparameters is used to train the networks and tested on out-of-sample actual market yield curves data. It is shown that the direct method has substantial improvements in time with a sacrifice in accuracy (a mean relative error of 2.88%). On the other hand, using the indirect method, it is shown that the calibrated parameters reprice the set of options to a mean relative error of less than 0.1% (similar to numerical calibration), with a significant improvement in speed whose execution is twenty-six times faster compared to the conventional calibration procedures currently used. 2023-03-02T09:22:04Z 2023-03-02T09:22:04Z 2022 2023-02-20T12:30:24Z Master Thesis Masters MPhil http://hdl.handle.net/11427/37130 eng application/pdf African Institute of Financial Markets and Risk Management Faculty of Commerce
spellingShingle Mathematical Finance
Dadah, Sahil
Deep Calibration of Option Pricing Models
thesis_degree_str Master's
title Deep Calibration of Option Pricing Models
title_full Deep Calibration of Option Pricing Models
title_fullStr Deep Calibration of Option Pricing Models
title_full_unstemmed Deep Calibration of Option Pricing Models
title_short Deep Calibration of Option Pricing Models
title_sort deep calibration of option pricing models
topic Mathematical Finance
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/37130
work_keys_str_mv AT dadahsahil deepcalibrationofoptionpricingmodels