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Cape Town Airbnb price prediction: an exploration of spatial statistic and machine learning methods

This thesis predicts the prices of Airbnb listings in Cape Town, South Africa and in doing so, investigates the price determinants in the market. Using data from InsideAirbnb, traditional, spatial and machine learning models are compared and contrasted. The Cape Town Airbnb market has significant sp...

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Main Author: Williams, Courtney
Other Authors: Salau, Sulaiman
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Department of Statistical Sciences 2024
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access_status_str Open Access
author Williams, Courtney
author2 Salau, Sulaiman
author_browse Salau, Sulaiman
Williams, Courtney
author_facet Salau, Sulaiman
Williams, Courtney
author_sort Williams, Courtney
collection Thesis
description This thesis predicts the prices of Airbnb listings in Cape Town, South Africa and in doing so, investigates the price determinants in the market. Using data from InsideAirbnb, traditional, spatial and machine learning models are compared and contrasted. The Cape Town Airbnb market has significant spatial correlation and heterogeneity, and traditional models such as OLS regression do not account for this spatial dependence, however, it is addressed by spatial models. By accounting for spatial effects, model predictive performance does improve, but not so much as to outperform non-spatial, non-linear machine learning model predictions. While Airbnb is a new and unique platform, the most important price determinants are consistent with those of traditional housing and accommodation markets such as property type, location and amenities.
format Thesis
id oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/39945
institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:34:03.682Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2024
publishDateRange 2024
publishDateSort 2024
publisher Department of Statistical Sciences
publisherStr Department of Statistical Sciences
record_format dspace
source_str UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/39945 Cape Town Airbnb price prediction: an exploration of spatial statistic and machine learning methods Williams, Courtney Salau, Sulaiman Er Sebnem Statistical Sciences This thesis predicts the prices of Airbnb listings in Cape Town, South Africa and in doing so, investigates the price determinants in the market. Using data from InsideAirbnb, traditional, spatial and machine learning models are compared and contrasted. The Cape Town Airbnb market has significant spatial correlation and heterogeneity, and traditional models such as OLS regression do not account for this spatial dependence, however, it is addressed by spatial models. By accounting for spatial effects, model predictive performance does improve, but not so much as to outperform non-spatial, non-linear machine learning model predictions. While Airbnb is a new and unique platform, the most important price determinants are consistent with those of traditional housing and accommodation markets such as property type, location and amenities. 2024-06-19T07:50:58Z 2024-06-19T07:50:58Z 2023 2024-06-06T13:16:13Z Thesis / Dissertation Masters MSc http://hdl.handle.net/11427/39945 eng application/pdf Department of Statistical Sciences Faculty of Science
spellingShingle Statistical Sciences
Williams, Courtney
Cape Town Airbnb price prediction: an exploration of spatial statistic and machine learning methods
thesis_degree_str Master's
title Cape Town Airbnb price prediction: an exploration of spatial statistic and machine learning methods
title_full Cape Town Airbnb price prediction: an exploration of spatial statistic and machine learning methods
title_fullStr Cape Town Airbnb price prediction: an exploration of spatial statistic and machine learning methods
title_full_unstemmed Cape Town Airbnb price prediction: an exploration of spatial statistic and machine learning methods
title_short Cape Town Airbnb price prediction: an exploration of spatial statistic and machine learning methods
title_sort cape town airbnb price prediction an exploration of spatial statistic and machine learning methods
topic Statistical Sciences
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/39945
work_keys_str_mv AT williamscourtney capetownairbnbpricepredictionanexplorationofspatialstatisticandmachinelearningmethods