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Investigation of brain ageing in HIV-positive individuals using convolutional neural networks

Developments in the field of Deep Learning (DL) have provided new means of tracking healthy ageing, and have established DL-predicted brain age as an accurate and reliable biomarker for brain health. Deviations from a healthy brain ageing trajectory, indicated by an increased predicted brain age rel...

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Main Author: Catzel, Rachel
Other Authors: Shock, Jonathan
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics 2025
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access_status_str Open Access
author Catzel, Rachel
author2 Shock, Jonathan
author_browse Catzel, Rachel
Shock, Jonathan
author_facet Shock, Jonathan
Catzel, Rachel
author_sort Catzel, Rachel
collection Thesis
description Developments in the field of Deep Learning (DL) have provided new means of tracking healthy ageing, and have established DL-predicted brain age as an accurate and reliable biomarker for brain health. Deviations from a healthy brain ageing trajectory, indicated by an increased predicted brain age relative to chronological age, and thus positive brain age delta, have been associated with cognitive impairments. This thesis focuses on de veloping a robust brain age prediction model to investigate brain ageing in HIV-positive individuals. We utilise the UK Biobank, CamCAN, and ENIGMA-HIV datasets for this task and train a convolutional neural network in two stages. First, we pre-train the model on the large UK Biobank dataset (N=21366) which contains individuals in the age range of 45-82 years. To this end, we achieve a mean absolute error (MAE) of 2.57±1.94 years. Next, we fine-tune the pre-trained model on a smaller dataset, with a wider age range, aligned with that of our testing dataset from ENIGMA-HIV. We select the CamCAN dataset (N=484) for this, with individuals spanning the age range of 18-88 years. We obtain an MAE of 3.54 ± 2.59 years on the holdout CamCAN test set, substantially im proving upon the 6.38 ± 5.30 years MAE achieved without pre-training. We then apply the trained model to the multi-site ENIGMA-HIV testing dataset which we have har monised to remove inter-site variation. Following testing, we apply a fixed-effects model to analyse whether the brain age deltas are significantly higher in HIV-positive individu als compared to HIV-negative controls. Although no statistically significant difference is found in the brain age deltas due to HIV status, further analysis reveals significant cor relations between the brain age deltas and specific HIV clinical measures, in particular, nadir CD4 count and current CD4 count. This thesis's findings contribute to under standing the impact of HIV on brain ageing and associated factors of significance, and highlights the value of DL techniques in medical research.
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institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language eng
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:34:08.683Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2025
publishDateRange 2025
publishDateSort 2025
publisher Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics
publisherStr Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics
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source_str UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/40822 Investigation of brain ageing in HIV-positive individuals using convolutional neural networks Catzel, Rachel Shock, Jonathan Moodley, Deshendran Applied mathematics Developments in the field of Deep Learning (DL) have provided new means of tracking healthy ageing, and have established DL-predicted brain age as an accurate and reliable biomarker for brain health. Deviations from a healthy brain ageing trajectory, indicated by an increased predicted brain age relative to chronological age, and thus positive brain age delta, have been associated with cognitive impairments. This thesis focuses on de veloping a robust brain age prediction model to investigate brain ageing in HIV-positive individuals. We utilise the UK Biobank, CamCAN, and ENIGMA-HIV datasets for this task and train a convolutional neural network in two stages. First, we pre-train the model on the large UK Biobank dataset (N=21366) which contains individuals in the age range of 45-82 years. To this end, we achieve a mean absolute error (MAE) of 2.57±1.94 years. Next, we fine-tune the pre-trained model on a smaller dataset, with a wider age range, aligned with that of our testing dataset from ENIGMA-HIV. We select the CamCAN dataset (N=484) for this, with individuals spanning the age range of 18-88 years. We obtain an MAE of 3.54 ± 2.59 years on the holdout CamCAN test set, substantially im proving upon the 6.38 ± 5.30 years MAE achieved without pre-training. We then apply the trained model to the multi-site ENIGMA-HIV testing dataset which we have har monised to remove inter-site variation. Following testing, we apply a fixed-effects model to analyse whether the brain age deltas are significantly higher in HIV-positive individu als compared to HIV-negative controls. Although no statistically significant difference is found in the brain age deltas due to HIV status, further analysis reveals significant cor relations between the brain age deltas and specific HIV clinical measures, in particular, nadir CD4 count and current CD4 count. This thesis's findings contribute to under standing the impact of HIV on brain ageing and associated factors of significance, and highlights the value of DL techniques in medical research. 2025-01-22T19:43:00Z 2025-01-22T19:43:00Z 2024 2025-01-22T19:01:40Z Thesis / Dissertation Masters MSc http://hdl.handle.net/11427/40822 eng application/pdf Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics Faculty of Science University of Cape Town
spellingShingle Applied mathematics
Catzel, Rachel
Investigation of brain ageing in HIV-positive individuals using convolutional neural networks
thesis_degree_str Master's
title Investigation of brain ageing in HIV-positive individuals using convolutional neural networks
title_full Investigation of brain ageing in HIV-positive individuals using convolutional neural networks
title_fullStr Investigation of brain ageing in HIV-positive individuals using convolutional neural networks
title_full_unstemmed Investigation of brain ageing in HIV-positive individuals using convolutional neural networks
title_short Investigation of brain ageing in HIV-positive individuals using convolutional neural networks
title_sort investigation of brain ageing in hiv positive individuals using convolutional neural networks
topic Applied mathematics
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/40822
work_keys_str_mv AT catzelrachel investigationofbrainageinginhivpositiveindividualsusingconvolutionalneuralnetworks