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Using survey data to estimate the prevalence of Diabetes in South Africa - from risk factor analysis to action

South Africa is a developing country which has in the last decades experienced a sharp rise in the number of diagnosed diabetes cases. Significant uncertainty exists about the true prevalence of diabetes in South Africa, since many of those suffering from diabetes remain undiagnosed. The large finan...

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Main Author: Klein, Murray
Other Authors: Botha, Pieter
Format: Thesis
Language:Eng
Published: School of Economics 2025
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access_status_str Open Access
author Klein, Murray
author2 Botha, Pieter
author_browse Botha, Pieter
Klein, Murray
author_facet Botha, Pieter
Klein, Murray
author_sort Klein, Murray
collection Thesis
description South Africa is a developing country which has in the last decades experienced a sharp rise in the number of diagnosed diabetes cases. Significant uncertainty exists about the true prevalence of diabetes in South Africa, since many of those suffering from diabetes remain undiagnosed. The large financial burden imposed by diabetes on the public health sector places significant pressure on its ability to effectively deliver quality healthcare to all who rely on it. The Indian Diabetes Risk Score (IDRS) was developed as a low-cost screening tool to assess the potential undiagnosed case prevalence of type 2 diabetes using analysis of risk factors and their association to diabetes. The South African General Household Survey (SAGHS) (StatsSA, 2021a) is used to analyse the risk factors of diabetes on a population through a generalised linear regression model. A synthetic IDRS was calculated from the available population trends and an illustrative prediction of the diabetes prevalence rate was performed using this score. The IDRS could be modified and used in South Africa to model undiagnosed cases of diabetes. Furthermore, the IDRS would allow for government screening to be targeted, thereby allowing for the potential healthcare cost savings.
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institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language Eng
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:32:06.010Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2025
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spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/41044 Using survey data to estimate the prevalence of Diabetes in South Africa - from risk factor analysis to action Klein, Murray Botha, Pieter Commerce South Africa is a developing country which has in the last decades experienced a sharp rise in the number of diagnosed diabetes cases. Significant uncertainty exists about the true prevalence of diabetes in South Africa, since many of those suffering from diabetes remain undiagnosed. The large financial burden imposed by diabetes on the public health sector places significant pressure on its ability to effectively deliver quality healthcare to all who rely on it. The Indian Diabetes Risk Score (IDRS) was developed as a low-cost screening tool to assess the potential undiagnosed case prevalence of type 2 diabetes using analysis of risk factors and their association to diabetes. The South African General Household Survey (SAGHS) (StatsSA, 2021a) is used to analyse the risk factors of diabetes on a population through a generalised linear regression model. A synthetic IDRS was calculated from the available population trends and an illustrative prediction of the diabetes prevalence rate was performed using this score. The IDRS could be modified and used in South Africa to model undiagnosed cases of diabetes. Furthermore, the IDRS would allow for government screening to be targeted, thereby allowing for the potential healthcare cost savings. 2025-02-28T08:05:46Z 2025-02-28T08:05:46Z 2024 2025-02-27T12:18:48Z Thesis / Dissertation Masters MCom http://hdl.handle.net/11427/41044 Eng application/pdf School of Economics Faculty of Commerce University of Cape Town
spellingShingle Commerce
Klein, Murray
Using survey data to estimate the prevalence of Diabetes in South Africa - from risk factor analysis to action
thesis_degree_str Master's
title Using survey data to estimate the prevalence of Diabetes in South Africa - from risk factor analysis to action
title_full Using survey data to estimate the prevalence of Diabetes in South Africa - from risk factor analysis to action
title_fullStr Using survey data to estimate the prevalence of Diabetes in South Africa - from risk factor analysis to action
title_full_unstemmed Using survey data to estimate the prevalence of Diabetes in South Africa - from risk factor analysis to action
title_short Using survey data to estimate the prevalence of Diabetes in South Africa - from risk factor analysis to action
title_sort using survey data to estimate the prevalence of diabetes in south africa from risk factor analysis to action
topic Commerce
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/41044
work_keys_str_mv AT kleinmurray usingsurveydatatoestimatetheprevalenceofdiabetesinsouthafricafromriskfactoranalysistoaction