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Causal relationship between financial capital financial flows and economic growth in South Africa

The study's main objective was to test the causal relationship between financial capital flows and economic growth in South Africa. Developing countries rely significantly on foreign capital inflows to supplement domestic savings for investment and growth. Foreign investment is essential to emerging...

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Main Author: Dyushu, Mphumleli
Other Authors: Alhassan, Abdul Latif
Format: Thesis
Language:English
English
Published: Graduate School of Business (GSB) 2025
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access_status_str Open Access
author Dyushu, Mphumleli
author2 Alhassan, Abdul Latif
author_browse Alhassan, Abdul Latif
Dyushu, Mphumleli
author_facet Alhassan, Abdul Latif
Dyushu, Mphumleli
author_sort Dyushu, Mphumleli
collection Thesis
description The study's main objective was to test the causal relationship between financial capital flows and economic growth in South Africa. Developing countries rely significantly on foreign capital inflows to supplement domestic savings for investment and growth. Foreign investment is essential to emerging nations' economic growth because it augments domestic savings for expansion and investment. Using a global financial capital pool has significant potential benefits for many developing nations. Due to low growth levels in emerging markets, efforts have been made to identify the factors that hinder growth. Capital flow movements has been one of those factors. There has been sharp reversal of portfolio flows, triggering concerns about financial stability and consequently, economic growth. South Africa's economy is heavily influenced by external financial flows, including foreign direct investment and portfolio investments. Policymakers need empirical evidence to formulate effective strategies that attract sustainable capital inflows while promoting economic growth and development. The study used secondary quantitative data from the World Bank, StatsSA and the South African Reserve Bank. Time series data that spanned from 1990 to 2023 was used for estimation. The study employed stationarity tests, cointegration analysis and the ARDL technique. The empirical results show that the relationship between Capital flows and GDP is negative. The relationship is marginal though and this suggests that capital flows, to a lesser extent, negatively affects GDP. The empirical results also reveals that the relationship between Terms of Trade and GDP in positive. The study recommended that there is need for government to come up with measures that can make capital flows contribute positively to growth. One measure would be to prolong the duration with which capital flows stay in S.A. in periods of economic uncertainty, capital tend to flow out of South African and this hurts growth.
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institution University of Cape Town (South Africa)
language English
eng
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:33:33.643Z
license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2025
publishDateRange 2025
publishDateSort 2025
publisher Graduate School of Business (GSB)
publisherStr Graduate School of Business (GSB)
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source_str UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/42165 Causal relationship between financial capital financial flows and economic growth in South Africa Dyushu, Mphumleli Alhassan, Abdul Latif Economic growth South Africa The study's main objective was to test the causal relationship between financial capital flows and economic growth in South Africa. Developing countries rely significantly on foreign capital inflows to supplement domestic savings for investment and growth. Foreign investment is essential to emerging nations' economic growth because it augments domestic savings for expansion and investment. Using a global financial capital pool has significant potential benefits for many developing nations. Due to low growth levels in emerging markets, efforts have been made to identify the factors that hinder growth. Capital flow movements has been one of those factors. There has been sharp reversal of portfolio flows, triggering concerns about financial stability and consequently, economic growth. South Africa's economy is heavily influenced by external financial flows, including foreign direct investment and portfolio investments. Policymakers need empirical evidence to formulate effective strategies that attract sustainable capital inflows while promoting economic growth and development. The study used secondary quantitative data from the World Bank, StatsSA and the South African Reserve Bank. Time series data that spanned from 1990 to 2023 was used for estimation. The study employed stationarity tests, cointegration analysis and the ARDL technique. The empirical results show that the relationship between Capital flows and GDP is negative. The relationship is marginal though and this suggests that capital flows, to a lesser extent, negatively affects GDP. The empirical results also reveals that the relationship between Terms of Trade and GDP in positive. The study recommended that there is need for government to come up with measures that can make capital flows contribute positively to growth. One measure would be to prolong the duration with which capital flows stay in S.A. in periods of economic uncertainty, capital tend to flow out of South African and this hurts growth. 2025-11-10T10:13:45Z 2025-11-10T10:13:45Z 2025 2025-11-10T10:09:48Z Thesis / Dissertation Masters Masters http://hdl.handle.net/11427/42165 en eng application/pdf Graduate School of Business (GSB) Faculty of Commerce University of Cape Town
spellingShingle Economic growth
South Africa
Dyushu, Mphumleli
Causal relationship between financial capital financial flows and economic growth in South Africa
thesis_degree_str Master's
title Causal relationship between financial capital financial flows and economic growth in South Africa
title_full Causal relationship between financial capital financial flows and economic growth in South Africa
title_fullStr Causal relationship between financial capital financial flows and economic growth in South Africa
title_full_unstemmed Causal relationship between financial capital financial flows and economic growth in South Africa
title_short Causal relationship between financial capital financial flows and economic growth in South Africa
title_sort causal relationship between financial capital financial flows and economic growth in south africa
topic Economic growth
South Africa
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/42165
work_keys_str_mv AT dyushumphumleli causalrelationshipbetweenfinancialcapitalfinancialflowsandeconomicgrowthinsouthafrica