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Limited impact of severe drought on plant dynamics in African Savanna

Severe drought is defined as rainfall deficiency over an extended period of successive years. The impacts of such droughts on savanna dynamics are not well studied resulting in widely divergent views. Opportunities to study severe drought are scarce because multi-year rainfall deficits are naturally...

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Main Author: Abbas, Huyam
Other Authors: Bond, William
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Department of Biological Sciences 2026
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access_status_str Open Access
author Abbas, Huyam
author2 Bond, William
author_browse Abbas, Huyam
Bond, William
author_facet Bond, William
Abbas, Huyam
author_sort Abbas, Huyam
collection Thesis
description Severe drought is defined as rainfall deficiency over an extended period of successive years. The impacts of such droughts on savanna dynamics are not well studied resulting in widely divergent views. Opportunities to study severe drought are scarce because multi-year rainfall deficits are naturally rare and occur at unpredictable intervals. South Africa experienced multi-year rainfall deficit in 2014-2016. A drought index analysis indicated that it was the worst drought in 35 years. Here we explored the response of a South African savanna ecosystem to this drought focussing on savanna tree dynamics and changes in perennial grass composition and abundance. We used open long term monitoring plots established in 2000 and distributed across broad rainfall gradients in the Hluhluwe-iMfolozi Park in KwaZulu-Natal. They are characterised by a variety of herbivore use intensity, fire frequency and soil type. We compared records of tree size and density and grass biomass and composition in 2016 (after the drought) with 2012 (before the drought). Data analysis showed a massive increase (around seven fold) in the tree population especially among the small size classes (0.1m-0.3m) in 2016 relative to 2012. Tree mortality due to drought was negligible (0.03%) and there was no substantial change in tree composition. Although grass biomass and cover decreased, drought effects on veld conditions were minor. Grass showed rapid recovery by resprouting. The decreaser species and the increaser IIb were favoured by droughts. In contrast, the increaser I species have declined while the increaser IIc species have experienced a slight decrease. In addition, drought caused a shift to palatable grazing lawn species and a decline in unpalatable grasses such as Sporobolus pyramidalis. This suggests that this South African ecosystem is resilient to severe drought. The implication is that drought might facilitate woody encroachment by reducing the competitive effect of grass and by reducing the fuel load of grass for fire.
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license_str Not specified — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository
publishDate 2026
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spelling oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/42989 Limited impact of severe drought on plant dynamics in African Savanna Abbas, Huyam Bond, William Midgley, Jeremy Conservation Biology Severe drought is defined as rainfall deficiency over an extended period of successive years. The impacts of such droughts on savanna dynamics are not well studied resulting in widely divergent views. Opportunities to study severe drought are scarce because multi-year rainfall deficits are naturally rare and occur at unpredictable intervals. South Africa experienced multi-year rainfall deficit in 2014-2016. A drought index analysis indicated that it was the worst drought in 35 years. Here we explored the response of a South African savanna ecosystem to this drought focussing on savanna tree dynamics and changes in perennial grass composition and abundance. We used open long term monitoring plots established in 2000 and distributed across broad rainfall gradients in the Hluhluwe-iMfolozi Park in KwaZulu-Natal. They are characterised by a variety of herbivore use intensity, fire frequency and soil type. We compared records of tree size and density and grass biomass and composition in 2016 (after the drought) with 2012 (before the drought). Data analysis showed a massive increase (around seven fold) in the tree population especially among the small size classes (0.1m-0.3m) in 2016 relative to 2012. Tree mortality due to drought was negligible (0.03%) and there was no substantial change in tree composition. Although grass biomass and cover decreased, drought effects on veld conditions were minor. Grass showed rapid recovery by resprouting. The decreaser species and the increaser IIb were favoured by droughts. In contrast, the increaser I species have declined while the increaser IIc species have experienced a slight decrease. In addition, drought caused a shift to palatable grazing lawn species and a decline in unpalatable grasses such as Sporobolus pyramidalis. This suggests that this South African ecosystem is resilient to severe drought. The implication is that drought might facilitate woody encroachment by reducing the competitive effect of grass and by reducing the fuel load of grass for fire. 2026-03-16T14:23:47Z 2026-03-16T14:23:47Z 2017 2026-03-16T14:16:25Z Thesis / Dissertation Masters MSc http://hdl.handle.net/11427/42989 eng application/pdf Department of Biological Sciences Faculty of Science University of Cape Town
spellingShingle Conservation Biology
Abbas, Huyam
Limited impact of severe drought on plant dynamics in African Savanna
thesis_degree_str Master's
title Limited impact of severe drought on plant dynamics in African Savanna
title_full Limited impact of severe drought on plant dynamics in African Savanna
title_fullStr Limited impact of severe drought on plant dynamics in African Savanna
title_full_unstemmed Limited impact of severe drought on plant dynamics in African Savanna
title_short Limited impact of severe drought on plant dynamics in African Savanna
title_sort limited impact of severe drought on plant dynamics in african savanna
topic Conservation Biology
url http://hdl.handle.net/11427/42989
work_keys_str_mv AT abbashuyam limitedimpactofseveredroughtonplantdynamicsinafricansavanna