Full Text Available
Note: Clicking the button above will open the full text document at the original institutional repository in a new window.
Testing the orphanhood method against benchmark mortality rates in South Africa since 1996
Includes abstract.
Saved in:
| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Other Authors: | |
| Format: | Thesis |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Centre for Actuarial Research (CARE)
2014
|
| Subjects: | |
| Tags: |
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
| _version_ | 1867613946880458752 |
|---|---|
| access_status_str | Open Access |
| author | Magadzire, Andrew |
| author2 | Dorrington, Rob |
| author_browse | Dorrington, Rob Magadzire, Andrew |
| author_facet | Dorrington, Rob Magadzire, Andrew |
| author_sort | Magadzire, Andrew |
| collection | Thesis |
| description | Includes abstract. |
| format | Thesis |
| id | oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/5894 |
| institution | University of Cape Town (South Africa) |
| language | eng |
| last_indexed | 2026-06-10T12:44:14.102Z |
| license_str | Not specified — see source repository |
| provenance_str_mv | Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository |
| publishDate | 2014 |
| publishDateRange | 2014 |
| publishDateSort | 2014 |
| publisher | Centre for Actuarial Research (CARE) |
| publisherStr | Centre for Actuarial Research (CARE) |
| record_format | dspace |
| source_str | UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository |
| spelling | oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/5894 Testing the orphanhood method against benchmark mortality rates in South Africa since 1996 Magadzire, Andrew Dorrington, Rob Demography Includes abstract. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 71-73). This study utilises the 1996 and 2001 Censuses, and the 2007 Community Survey to test the orphanhood method mortality estimates against consensus estimates of mortality produced using other methods. In all the two censuses and the survey there were questions on the survival status of the respondent’s biological parents. The orphanhood method is widely used in developing countries where the vital registration is incomplete. In countries where the data on survival of parents has been compared with other mortality estimates, it has been observed that the orphanhood method estimates are biased by adoption effect, selection effect and age exaggeration. In the late 1980s and early 1990s, the advent of HIV/AIDS has also biased estimates obtained from the orphanhood method. Non-independence of the mortality of children and their mothers, relationships between HIV infection and fertility, and changes in age-specific mortality result in biases which affect the accuracy of the method. These biases have been observed to have a net effect of underestimating mortality especially female mortality. An adjusted method has been proposed which reduces error, when working with data taken from populations with a significant HIV prevalence. This adjustment can be applied, but further research to identify revised adjustments would further improve the accuracy of the method. The current research applies four variants of the orphanhood method, the regression variant, UN Manual’s two-survey variant, Timaeus’s synthetic cohort variant and the one allowing for HIV/AIDS proposed by Timaeus and Nunn. 2014-07-31T12:39:57Z 2014-07-31T12:39:57Z 2010 Master Thesis Masters MPhil http://hdl.handle.net/11427/5894 eng application/pdf Centre for Actuarial Research (CARE) Faculty of Commerce University of Cape Town |
| spellingShingle | Demography Magadzire, Andrew Testing the orphanhood method against benchmark mortality rates in South Africa since 1996 |
| thesis_degree_str | Master's |
| title | Testing the orphanhood method against benchmark mortality rates in South Africa since 1996 |
| title_full | Testing the orphanhood method against benchmark mortality rates in South Africa since 1996 |
| title_fullStr | Testing the orphanhood method against benchmark mortality rates in South Africa since 1996 |
| title_full_unstemmed | Testing the orphanhood method against benchmark mortality rates in South Africa since 1996 |
| title_short | Testing the orphanhood method against benchmark mortality rates in South Africa since 1996 |
| title_sort | testing the orphanhood method against benchmark mortality rates in south africa since 1996 |
| topic | Demography |
| url | http://hdl.handle.net/11427/5894 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT magadzireandrew testingtheorphanhoodmethodagainstbenchmarkmortalityratesinsouthafricasince1996 |