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Leading indicators of currency crisis : an application to the 1996 South African currency crisis
Bibliography: leaves [73-77]
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| Main Author: | |
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| Other Authors: | |
| Format: | Thesis |
| Language: | English |
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School of Economics
2014
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| _version_ | 1867613189923930112 |
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| access_status_str | Open Access |
| author | Seipone, Ruth Bonolo |
| author2 | Kahn, Brian |
| author_browse | Kahn, Brian Seipone, Ruth Bonolo |
| author_facet | Kahn, Brian Seipone, Ruth Bonolo |
| author_sort | Seipone, Ruth Bonolo |
| collection | Thesis |
| description | Bibliography: leaves [73-77] |
| format | Thesis |
| id | oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/9599 |
| institution | University of Cape Town (South Africa) |
| language | eng |
| last_indexed | 2026-06-10T12:32:12.136Z |
| license_str | Not specified — see source repository |
| provenance_str_mv | Harvested via OAI-PMH from UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository |
| publishDate | 2014 |
| publishDateRange | 2014 |
| publishDateSort | 2014 |
| publisher | School of Economics |
| publisherStr | School of Economics |
| record_format | dspace |
| source_str | UCTD — University of Cape Town Open Access Repository |
| spelling | oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/9599 Leading indicators of currency crisis : an application to the 1996 South African currency crisis Seipone, Ruth Bonolo Kahn, Brian Economics Bibliography: leaves [73-77] Prior to the 1990 currency crisis theoretical and empirical studies concentrated on establishing the causes of currency crises. Models developed then focused mainly on finding out a fixed exchange rate policy combined with excessively expansionary pre-crisis fundamentals push the economy into crisis with the private sector trying to profit from inconsistent policies. The 1990 currency crises on government controlled exchange rate in Europe and Mexico led to the development of new models called the second generation models on which a crisis occurs when the economy suddenly jumps from one solution to the other resulting in multiple equilibria. In these models the main cause of this multiplicity is the interaction between the private sector and government behaviour. There is no policy inconsistency before the crisis but the crisis itself induces a policy change that make the crises self- fulfilling. Policy- makers and academics have therefore focused their attention on policy discussions that involve identifying indicators of currency crisis. The process involves setting up early warning systems by monitoring the behaviour of certain key indicators. 2014-11-14T03:54:15Z 2014-11-14T03:54:15Z 1998 Master Thesis Masters MA http://hdl.handle.net/11427/9599 eng application/pdf School of Economics Faculty of Commerce University of Cape Town |
| spellingShingle | Economics Seipone, Ruth Bonolo Leading indicators of currency crisis : an application to the 1996 South African currency crisis |
| thesis_degree_str | Master's |
| title | Leading indicators of currency crisis : an application to the 1996 South African currency crisis |
| title_full | Leading indicators of currency crisis : an application to the 1996 South African currency crisis |
| title_fullStr | Leading indicators of currency crisis : an application to the 1996 South African currency crisis |
| title_full_unstemmed | Leading indicators of currency crisis : an application to the 1996 South African currency crisis |
| title_short | Leading indicators of currency crisis : an application to the 1996 South African currency crisis |
| title_sort | leading indicators of currency crisis an application to the 1996 south african currency crisis |
| topic | Economics |
| url | http://hdl.handle.net/11427/9599 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT seiponeruthbonolo leadingindicatorsofcurrencycrisisanapplicationtothe1996southafricancurrencycrisis |