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Climate change and the potential distribution of the invasive shrub, leucaena leucocephala (lam.) de wit in Africa

Leucaena leucocephala, previously known as ‘miracle tree’ because of its numerous agroforestry uses has become a seri¬ous invasive species in tropical regions. Despite the risks associated with the spread of L. leucocephala, changes in its distribution with respect to climate are poorly understood,...

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Published: 2023
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LEADER 00000njm a2000000a 4500
001 oai:repository.ui.edu.ng:123456789/10727
042 |a dc 
720 |a Obiakara, M.C.  |e author 
720 |a Olubode, O.S.  |e author 
720 |a Chukwuka, K.S.  |e author 
260 |c 2023 
520 |a Leucaena leucocephala, previously known as ‘miracle tree’ because of its numerous agroforestry uses has become a seri¬ous invasive species in tropical regions. Despite the risks associated with the spread of L. leucocephala, changes in its distribution with respect to climate are poorly understood, particularly in Africa where it has been widely introduced in more than 30 countries. To provide first-line information for the management of L. leucocephala, we examined its poten-tial distribution in Africa using ecological niche modelling. We identified bioclimatic variables that determine the global distribution of L. leucocephala, and calibrated niche models using MaxEnt and species occurrences recorded between 1973 and 2013. The potential distribution of this species was estimated from model projections in Africa based on cur¬rent and future climatic conditions. We tested the hypothesis of niche conservatism for L. leucocephala by comparing its climatic niche in Africa to that of its native range. Under current conditions, L. leucocephala is constrained between 30° S and 20° N in Africa, with the broadest distribution in East Africa. High rainfall areas in Central Africa with no known records of this species hitherto, were found to be highly suitable for its establishment. We predicted a significant decre¬ment in the extent of areas at risk of invasion by L. Leucocephala under changing climates in Africa. Our results revealed that the study species occupies a similar but non-identical climatic niche in Africa in relation to its native niche. Climate change is likely to impede the spread of L. leucocephala in Africa. 
024 8 |a Tropical ecology 
024 8 |a https://repository.ui.edu.ng/handle/123456789/10727 
653 |a Biological invasions 
653 |a Climatic suitability 
653 |a Leguminous tree 
653 |a Maximum entropy 
653 |a Niche dynamics 
653 |a Sub- Saharan Africa 
245 0 0 |a Climate change and the potential distribution of the invasive shrub, leucaena leucocephala (lam.) de wit in Africa