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Forecasting Nigerian equity stock returns using long short-term memory technique

Investors and stock market analysts face major challenges in predicting stock returns and making wise investment decisions. The predictability of equity stock returns can boost investor confidence, but it remains a difficult task. To address this issue, a study was conducted using a Long Short-term...

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Published: 2024
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LEADER 00000njm a2000000a 4500
001 oai:repository.ui.edu.ng:123456789/11386
042 |a dc 
720 |a Ojo, A. K.  |e author 
720 |a Okafor, I. J.  |e author 
260 |c 2024 
520 |a Investors and stock market analysts face major challenges in predicting stock returns and making wise investment decisions. The predictability of equity stock returns can boost investor confidence, but it remains a difficult task. To address this issue, a study was conducted using a Long Short-term Memory (LSTM) model to predict future stock market movements. The study used a historical dataset from the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE), which was cleaned and normalized to design the LSTM model. The model was evaluated using performance metrics and compared with other deep learning models like Artificial and Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN). The experimental results showed that the LSTM model can predict future stock market prices and returns with over 90% accuracy when trained with a reliable dataset. The study concludes that LSTM models can be useful in predicting financial time-series-related problems if well-trained. Future studies should explore combining LSTM models with other deep learning techniques like CNN to create hybrid models that mitigate the risks associated with relying on a single model for future equity stock predictions. 
024 8 |a 2456-9968 
024 8 |a ui_art_ojo_forecasting_2024 
024 8 |a Journal of Advances in Mathematics and Computer Science 39(7), pp. 45-54 
024 8 |a https://repository.ui.edu.ng/handle/123456789/11386 
653 |a Long-short term memory 
653 |a Deep neural networks 
653 |a Forecasting 
653 |a Convolutional neural networks 
653 |a Performance evaluations 
245 0 0 |a Forecasting Nigerian equity stock returns using long short-term memory technique