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The Dynamics of Stock Prices and Exchange Rate: Evidence from Nigeria

This paper probed the long-run and short-run dynamics between stock prices and exchange rates in Nigeria using the Johansen and Gregory-Hansen cointegration analyses, causality test and Exponentional General Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity modeling on daily data from January 2, 2002 to...

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Published: 2012
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LEADER 00000njm a2000000a 4500
001 oai:repository.ui.edu.ng:123456789/13325
042 |a dc 
720 |a Oyinlola, M. A.  |e author 
720 |a Adeniyi, O. A.  |e author 
720 |a Omisakin, O.  |e author 
260 |c 2012 
520 |a This paper probed the long-run and short-run dynamics between stock prices and exchange rates in Nigeria using the Johansen and Gregory-Hansen cointegration analyses, causality test and Exponentional General Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity modeling on daily data from January 2, 2002 to August 11, 2011.The results showed that there is no long run relationship between stock prices and exchange rate in Nigeria, albeit, with a structural break date of mid April 2007, which coincides with the period when the stock prices plumped precipitously from the impact of global financial crisis in early 2007. In addition, the results indicated that there is a unidirectional relationship from stock prices to exchange rate and that the EGARCH modeling suggested that a 100% increase in stock prices would lead to a 1.66% appreciation of the exchange rate. Thus, it is imperative for monetary authorities in Nigeria to take into account the role of stock market development in the conduct of its exchange rate policy. 
024 8 |a 0855-594X 
024 8 |a ui_art_oyinlola_dynamics_2012 
024 8 |a West African Journal of Monetary and Economic Integration. 12(2), pp. 68-92 
024 8 |a https://repository.ui.edu.ng/handle/123456789/13325 
653 |a Stock price 
653 |a Stock market 
653 |a Exchange rate 
653 |a Structural break cointegration 
653 |a Exponential GARCH modeling 
245 0 0 |a The Dynamics of Stock Prices and Exchange Rate: Evidence from Nigeria