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A mathematical model and application for fire risk management in commercial complexes in South Africa

The successive event of fire mishaps in business buildings has been a significant issue. Accurately quantifying fire risks had been a complicated process due to its stochastic behaviour. Existing fire risk assessment applications are models dedicated to industrial fire hazards and wildfires. They ar...

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Published: 2020
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LEADER 00000njm a2000000a 4500
001 oai:repository.ui.edu.ng:123456789/9587
042 |a dc 
720 |a Ishola, F.  |e author 
720 |a Oladokun, V.  |e author 
720 |a Petinrin, O.  |e author 
720 |a Olatunji, O.  |e author 
720 |a Akinlabi, S.  |e author 
260 |c 2020 
520 |a The successive event of fire mishaps in business buildings has been a significant issue. Accurately quantifying fire risks had been a complicated process due to its stochastic behaviour. Existing fire risk assessment applications are models dedicated to industrial fire hazards and wildfires. They are less suitable for fire risk analysis for the built environment. Also, most of these software require high rate subscriptions. More often than not, they require a highly-skilled programmer to use them. The development of a quantitative means for assessing the inclination of commercial complexes to a purported risk of “market fires‟ was done using the past fire accidents’ investigation reports. Some verified fire accident investigations were used to optimise the fire model; adopting the methodology highlights of the Qualitative Risk Assessment (QRA). A Visual Basic (VB) oriented computer programme for the model was developed to assess selected commercial buildings in Johannesburg city of South Africa. The model and the associated computer programme showed the accuracy of the developed fire risk model in forecasting fire hazards. The estimated fire risks correlated with the fire incident histories of the evaluated complexes, thus validating the model. The model application could be a useful tool for predicting fire accidents for stakeholders. 
024 8 |a 2590-1230 
024 8 |a ui_art_isola_mathematical_2020 
024 8 |a Results in Engineering 7, pp. 1-14 
024 8 |a http://ir.library.ui.edu.ng/handle/123456789/9587 
653 |a Risk analysis 
653 |a Market fire 
653 |a Built environment 
653 |a Fire model 
653 |a Risk management 
245 0 0 |a A mathematical model and application for fire risk management in commercial complexes in South Africa