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Estimating accessibility using a Markov chain model accounting for traffic on the South African road network

Mini Dissertation (MSc (Advanced Data Analytics))--University of Pretoria, 2024.

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Other Authors: Thiede, Renate
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: University of Pretoria 2025
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access_status_str Open Access
author2 Thiede, Renate
author_browse Thiede, Renate
author_facet Thiede, Renate
collection Thesis
dc_rights_str_mv © 2023 University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria.
description Mini Dissertation (MSc (Advanced Data Analytics))--University of Pretoria, 2024.
format Thesis
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institution University of Pretoria (South Africa)
language English
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:38:18.160Z
license_str Other — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UPSpace — University of Pretoria Institutional Repository
publishDate 2025
publishDateRange 2025
publishDateSort 2025
publisher University of Pretoria
publisherStr University of Pretoria
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spelling oai:repository.up.ac.za:2263/100826 Estimating accessibility using a Markov chain model accounting for traffic on the South African road network Thiede, Renate u19046198@tuks.co.za Smit, Ansie Mdletshe, Philasande UCTD Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) Accessibility Markov chain Transition probability matrix Traffic Louvain clustering Mini Dissertation (MSc (Advanced Data Analytics))--University of Pretoria, 2024. Accessibility modelling has been investigated since the early 1960s. Accessibility is defined as the ease with which people can access destinations when using a particular mode of transport. It is largely important in urban planning, freight business, policy-making and sustainable development as it forms part of the SDG goals of rural accessibility. This research models accessibility in and between administrative units using the South African road network accounting for real life traffic data. Hence, this research investigates whether traffic volume has a direct impact on accessibility. This will be done through extending an existing Markov chain accessibility model by incorporating traffic data. The addition of traffic data can assist us in addressing several issues related to the South African road network, such as routes ambulances could take to avoid treacherous traffic conditions. The different available South African traffic data sources have been extensively investigated. This study indicates that traffic may have an impact on accessibility. This is displayed by the difference in transition probabilities between the current model and the total travel time model. Accessibility studies can truly add value in different aspects as it can be used as a factor in decision making that affect road networks in South Africa. We have provided a novel extension of an accessibility model. Statistics MSc (Advanced Data Analytics) Restricted Faculty of Natural and Agricultural Sciences SDG-01: No poverty SDG-11: Sustainable cities and communities 2025-02-13T10:01:29Z 2025-02-13T10:01:29Z 2025-04 2024-12 Mini Dissertation * A2025 http://hdl.handle.net/2263/100826 https://doi.org/10.25403/UPresearchdata.28401128 en © 2023 University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria. application/pdf University of Pretoria
spellingShingle UCTD
Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
Accessibility
Markov chain
Transition probability matrix
Traffic
Louvain clustering
Estimating accessibility using a Markov chain model accounting for traffic on the South African road network
title Estimating accessibility using a Markov chain model accounting for traffic on the South African road network
title_full Estimating accessibility using a Markov chain model accounting for traffic on the South African road network
title_fullStr Estimating accessibility using a Markov chain model accounting for traffic on the South African road network
title_full_unstemmed Estimating accessibility using a Markov chain model accounting for traffic on the South African road network
title_short Estimating accessibility using a Markov chain model accounting for traffic on the South African road network
title_sort estimating accessibility using a markov chain model accounting for traffic on the south african road network
topic UCTD
Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
Accessibility
Markov chain
Transition probability matrix
Traffic
Louvain clustering
url http://hdl.handle.net/2263/100826
https://doi.org/10.25403/UPresearchdata.28401128