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A system dynamics model of the relationship between investment decisions and a just renewable energy transition in developing countries

Dissertation (MEng (Industrial Engineering))--University of Pretoria, 2024.

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Other Authors: Adetunji, Olufemi
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: University of Pretoria 2025
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access_status_str Open Access
author2 Adetunji, Olufemi
author_browse Adetunji, Olufemi
author_facet Adetunji, Olufemi
collection Thesis
dc_rights_str_mv © 2023 University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria.
description Dissertation (MEng (Industrial Engineering))--University of Pretoria, 2024.
format Thesis
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institution University of Pretoria (South Africa)
language English
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:39:32.610Z
license_str Other — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UPSpace — University of Pretoria Institutional Repository
publishDate 2025
publishDateRange 2025
publishDateSort 2025
publisher University of Pretoria
publisherStr University of Pretoria
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spelling oai:repository.up.ac.za:2263/100908 A system dynamics model of the relationship between investment decisions and a just renewable energy transition in developing countries Adetunji, Olufemi u23986222@tuks.co.za Munyadzwe, Desmond Basimane UCTD Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) Renewable energy adoption Affordability Environmental sustainability Policy resistance System dynamics Renewable energy affordability-adoption system Developing countries Just energy transition Dissertation (MEng (Industrial Engineering))--University of Pretoria, 2024. The adoption of renewable energy (RE) technologies in developing countries faces numerous barriers despite the urgent need for sustainable energy transition to combat climate change. This thesis investigates the dynamic interactions between investment decisions and renewable energy adoption in developing countries using a system dynamics modeling approach. The study specifically examines how investment in renewable energy influences the affordability and adoption rates of RE technologies, considering the complex interplay of economic, technological, and policy factors. By simulating various investment scenarios, this research highlights the critical role of equitable investment strategies in promoting a just energy transition. The model developed for this purpose, the Renewable Energy Affordability-Adoption System (REAAS), incorporates variables such as income levels, energy prices, and foreign financial aid to assess their impact on renewable energy affordability and adoption rates. The analysis identifies key leverage points where targeted interventions can significantly enhance the uptake of renewable energy. Findings suggest that increasing local investments, improving technology efficiency, and reducing dependency on energy imports are pivotal in making renewable energy more affordable and widely adopted in developing countries. Moreover, the study underscores the importance of balancing foreign and local investments to foster sustainable development and energy independence. This thesis contributes to the field by providing a nuanced understanding of how different investment strategies can affect renewable energy adoption in a context marked by economic and infrastructural limitations. The insights gained underscore the need for policies that support increased local capacity building and equitable distribution of renewable energy investments to ensure that developing countries can meet their energy needs sustainably. Mandela Rhodes Foundation Industrial and Systems Engineering MEng (Industrial Engineering) Unrestricted Faculty of Engineering, Built Environment and Information Technology SDG-13: Climate action 2025-02-14T10:31:28Z 2025-02-14T10:31:28Z 2025-02 2024-09 Dissertation * A2025 http://hdl.handle.net/2263/100908 * en © 2023 University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria. application/pdf University of Pretoria
spellingShingle UCTD
Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
Renewable energy adoption
Affordability
Environmental sustainability
Policy resistance
System dynamics
Renewable energy affordability-adoption system
Developing countries
Just energy transition
A system dynamics model of the relationship between investment decisions and a just renewable energy transition in developing countries
title A system dynamics model of the relationship between investment decisions and a just renewable energy transition in developing countries
title_full A system dynamics model of the relationship between investment decisions and a just renewable energy transition in developing countries
title_fullStr A system dynamics model of the relationship between investment decisions and a just renewable energy transition in developing countries
title_full_unstemmed A system dynamics model of the relationship between investment decisions and a just renewable energy transition in developing countries
title_short A system dynamics model of the relationship between investment decisions and a just renewable energy transition in developing countries
title_sort system dynamics model of the relationship between investment decisions and a just renewable energy transition in developing countries
topic UCTD
Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
Renewable energy adoption
Affordability
Environmental sustainability
Policy resistance
System dynamics
Renewable energy affordability-adoption system
Developing countries
Just energy transition
url http://hdl.handle.net/2263/100908