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Fraud detection using operational risk modelling with incomplete data

Dissertation (MSc (Actuarial Science))--University of Pretoria, 2019.

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Other Authors: Kijko, Andrzej
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: University of Pretoria 2025
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access_status_str Open Access
author2 Kijko, Andrzej
author_browse Kijko, Andrzej
author_facet Kijko, Andrzej
collection Thesis
dc_rights_str_mv © 2024 University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria.
description Dissertation (MSc (Actuarial Science))--University of Pretoria, 2019.
format Thesis
id oai:repository.up.ac.za:2263/107113
institution University of Pretoria (South Africa)
language English
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:37:22.574Z
license_str Other — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UPSpace — University of Pretoria Institutional Repository
publishDate 2025
publishDateRange 2025
publishDateSort 2025
publisher University of Pretoria
publisherStr University of Pretoria
record_format dspace
source_str UPSpace — University of Pretoria Institutional Repository
spelling oai:repository.up.ac.za:2263/107113 Fraud detection using operational risk modelling with incomplete data Kijko, Andrzej u12235947@up.ac.za Beyers, Conrad Muzerengwa, Kudzai Calvin UCTD Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) Loss data analysis Operational risk Level of completion Frau detection Gutenburg-Richter b-value Dissertation (MSc (Actuarial Science))--University of Pretoria, 2019. Systems and processes may fail and employees can engage in fraudulent ac-tivities that can go unnoticed for a very long time and the resulting losses can be very high and catastrophic to an institution. Setting a minimum threshold or a level of completeness will not guarantee that all losses above this point will be reported. In order to model operational risk data, a method that does not depend on the level of completeness is suggested. This can be done by introducing a de-tection probability that is combined with the underlying loss distribution to give a 3-parameter gamma distribution and fitted to a simulated dataset. It is found that the methodology is able to accurately estimate parameters when the data is incomplete. Insurance and Actuarial Science MSc (Actuarial Science) Unrestricted Faculty of Natural and Agricultural Sciences SDG-16: Peace,justice and strong institutions 2025-12-08T07:13:27Z 2025-12-08T07:13:27Z 2019-04 2019-02 Dissertation * A2019 http://hdl.handle.net/2263/107113 en © 2024 University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria. application/pdf University of Pretoria
spellingShingle UCTD
Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
Loss data analysis
Operational risk
Level of completion
Frau detection
Gutenburg-Richter b-value
Fraud detection using operational risk modelling with incomplete data
title Fraud detection using operational risk modelling with incomplete data
title_full Fraud detection using operational risk modelling with incomplete data
title_fullStr Fraud detection using operational risk modelling with incomplete data
title_full_unstemmed Fraud detection using operational risk modelling with incomplete data
title_short Fraud detection using operational risk modelling with incomplete data
title_sort fraud detection using operational risk modelling with incomplete data
topic UCTD
Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
Loss data analysis
Operational risk
Level of completion
Frau detection
Gutenburg-Richter b-value
url http://hdl.handle.net/2263/107113