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Supply chain resilience in a post-pandemic era : a scenario-based simulation study

Dissertation (MEng (Industrial Engineering))--University of Pretoria, 2026.

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Other Authors: Bean, Wilna
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: University of Pretoria 2026
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access_status_str Open Access
author2 Bean, Wilna
author_browse Bean, Wilna
author_facet Bean, Wilna
collection Thesis
dc_rights_str_mv © 2024 University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria.
description Dissertation (MEng (Industrial Engineering))--University of Pretoria, 2026.
format Thesis
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institution University of Pretoria (South Africa)
language English
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:39:12.888Z
license_str Other — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UPSpace — University of Pretoria Institutional Repository
publishDate 2026
publishDateRange 2026
publishDateSort 2026
publisher University of Pretoria
publisherStr University of Pretoria
record_format dspace
source_str UPSpace — University of Pretoria Institutional Repository
spelling oai:repository.up.ac.za:2263/108575 Supply chain resilience in a post-pandemic era : a scenario-based simulation study Bean, Wilna u13073967@tuks.co.za Boshoff, Estella I. UCTD Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) Supply Chain Resilience Simulation Supply Chain Disruptions Resilience Interventions Dissertation (MEng (Industrial Engineering))--University of Pretoria, 2026. This study investigates supply chain resilience (SCR) through a systematic literature review and a simulation-based case study. Through a systematic literature review, the study aims to understand the definiton of SCR and its evolution, the different metrics proposed to measure SCR and interventions identified or proposed to improve SCR. After identifying the potential metrics and interventions, a case study is used to simulate and compare the effectiveness of a range of interventions on the resilience of a supply chain under disruption. As part of the literature review, a total of 1480 articles were reviewed with 233 considered relevant to this study. The findings highlight a shift in SCR research from risk management and robustness to adaptive, technology-driven approaches, particularly post-COVID-19. Various resilience metrics exist, including recovery time, financial impact, and network-based indices, though no single standard metric prevails. Interventions were categorised into redundancy, flexibility, network design, supplier strategies, Industry 4.0 and 5.0 strategies, recovery, and other measures. The case study considered a global supply chain with component manufacturing and product assembly based in China, exporting five products to the rest of the world. Distribution centres (DC’s) in Australia, South Africa, Russia, the USA, Brasil and Belgium serve customers around the world. Ten interventions from the flexibility, recovery, redundancy, supplier and network intervention categories were tested across 30 disruption scenarios. The comparison of many different interventions make this study unique as other simulation studies reviewed in the literature often test only one intervention. After analysing the results, it was determined that Dual Sourcing, a supplier intervention, is the most effective in improving service levels and reducing recovery time after disruption. Despite these insights, the study’s high-level approach presents limitations, including favourable assumptions about supplier recovery and disruption probabilities, limited intervention testing, and the exclusion of detailed manufacturing processes. Future research should explore lower-level interventions, such as additive manufacturing, and incorporate more granular simulation models to enhance practical applicability. Industrial and Systems Engineering MEng (Industrial Engineering) Unrestricted Faculty of Engineering, Built Environment and Information Technology None 2026-02-20T14:21:33Z 2026-02-20T14:21:33Z 2026-04-17 2026-02-17 Dissertation * A2026 http://hdl.handle.net/2263/108575 https://doi.org/10.25403/UPresearchdata.31378309 https://doi.org/10.25403/UPresearchdata.31378309 en © 2024 University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria. application/pdf University of Pretoria
spellingShingle UCTD
Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
Supply Chain Resilience
Simulation
Supply Chain Disruptions
Resilience Interventions
Supply chain resilience in a post-pandemic era : a scenario-based simulation study
title Supply chain resilience in a post-pandemic era : a scenario-based simulation study
title_full Supply chain resilience in a post-pandemic era : a scenario-based simulation study
title_fullStr Supply chain resilience in a post-pandemic era : a scenario-based simulation study
title_full_unstemmed Supply chain resilience in a post-pandemic era : a scenario-based simulation study
title_short Supply chain resilience in a post-pandemic era : a scenario-based simulation study
title_sort supply chain resilience in a post pandemic era a scenario based simulation study
topic UCTD
Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
Supply Chain Resilience
Simulation
Supply Chain Disruptions
Resilience Interventions
url http://hdl.handle.net/2263/108575
https://doi.org/10.25403/UPresearchdata.31378309
https://doi.org/10.25403/UPresearchdata.31378309