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The countercyclicality of fiscal policy in South Africa since 1994

Dissertation (MBA)--University of Pretoria, 2012.

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Other Authors: Rossouw, Jannie
Format: Thesis
Published: University of Pretoria 2013
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access_status_str Open Access
author2 Rossouw, Jannie
author_browse Rossouw, Jannie
author_facet Rossouw, Jannie
collection Thesis
dc_rights_str_mv © 2012 University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria.
description Dissertation (MBA)--University of Pretoria, 2012.
format Thesis
id oai:repository.up.ac.za:2263/23721
institution University of Pretoria (South Africa)
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:37:27.084Z
license_str Other — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UPSpace — University of Pretoria Institutional Repository
publishDate 2013
publishDateRange 2013
publishDateSort 2013
publisher University of Pretoria
publisherStr University of Pretoria
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source_str UPSpace — University of Pretoria Institutional Repository
spelling oai:repository.up.ac.za:2263/23721 The countercyclicality of fiscal policy in South Africa since 1994 Rossouw, Jannie ichelp@gibs.co.za Maidi, Mohloriseng Athelia Mmatshepo UCTD Government expenditure Cyclicality Fiscal policy Dissertation (MBA)--University of Pretoria, 2012. This study uses a simple univariate regression model to assess the cyclicality of fiscal policy, based on government expenditure, in South Africa since 1994. The model suggests that that total government expenditure is highly procyclical, indicating that government spending responds positively to economic growth. The results from similar regression focusing on components of government spending suggests that only capital spending (economic classification) and general services (functional classification) are countercyclical, while other classifications are more procyclical in line with total government spending. The procyclicality of expenditure components such as compensation of employees, goods and services and all functional classification is in line with government’s decisions to reduce taxes in order to boost economic activities during periods of recessions, coupled with South Africa’s high public wage bill. The countercyclicality of capital spending is attributed to government's view on prioritising capital projects during periods of recession, in line with the Keynesian theory. Results of procyclicality confirm most of other empirical findings on South Africa’s fiscal policy. However, this suggests that the procyclicality of South Africa’s government expenditure plays only a small role in demand management and therefore stabilising aggregate demand or economic fluctuations. Gordon Institute of Business Science (GIBS) unrestricted 2013-09-06T15:47:34Z 2013-04-30 2013-09-06T15:47:34Z 2013-04-25 2012 2013-04-02 Dissertation Maidi, MAM 2012, The countercyclicality of fiscal policy in South Africa since 1994, MBA dissertation, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, viewed yymmdd < http://hdl.handle.net/2263/23721 > F13/4/369/zw http://hdl.handle.net/2263/23721 http://upetd.up.ac.za/thesis/available/etd-04022013-175509/ © 2012 University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria. application/pdf University of Pretoria
spellingShingle UCTD
Government expenditure
Cyclicality
Fiscal policy
The countercyclicality of fiscal policy in South Africa since 1994
title The countercyclicality of fiscal policy in South Africa since 1994
title_full The countercyclicality of fiscal policy in South Africa since 1994
title_fullStr The countercyclicality of fiscal policy in South Africa since 1994
title_full_unstemmed The countercyclicality of fiscal policy in South Africa since 1994
title_short The countercyclicality of fiscal policy in South Africa since 1994
title_sort countercyclicality of fiscal policy in south africa since 1994
topic UCTD
Government expenditure
Cyclicality
Fiscal policy
url http://hdl.handle.net/2263/23721
http://upetd.up.ac.za/thesis/available/etd-04022013-175509/