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Comparing chest X-rays with ultrasound for the prediction of left atrial size at Pretoria Academic hospital

Dissertation (MSc (Clinical Epidemiology))--University of Pretoria, 2007.

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Other Authors: Rheeder, Paul
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Published: University of Pretoria 2013
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access_status_str Open Access
author2 Rheeder, Paul
author_browse Rheeder, Paul
author_facet Rheeder, Paul
collection Thesis
dc_rights_str_mv © 2007, University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria.
description Dissertation (MSc (Clinical Epidemiology))--University of Pretoria, 2007.
format Thesis
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institution University of Pretoria (South Africa)
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:36:33.236Z
license_str Other — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UPSpace — University of Pretoria Institutional Repository
publishDate 2013
publishDateRange 2013
publishDateSort 2013
publisher University of Pretoria
publisherStr University of Pretoria
record_format dspace
source_str UPSpace — University of Pretoria Institutional Repository
spelling oai:repository.up.ac.za:2263/26088 Comparing chest X-rays with ultrasound for the prediction of left atrial size at Pretoria Academic hospital Rheeder, Paul sjquinton@medic.up.ac.za Quinton, S.J. (Susanna Jacoba) Chest x-rays Ultrasound Left atrial size Pretoria academic hospital UCTD Dissertation (MSc (Clinical Epidemiology))--University of Pretoria, 2007. Estimates of left atrial size in patients with suspected cardiac disease play an important role in diagnostic medicine. Left atrial size is used in predicting prognosis and events, as well as treatment decisions. Two methods are commonly used to estimate left atrial size: chest radiography and cardiac ultrasound. This study aims to determine the test characteristics of chest radiography and compare the use of radiographs to cardiac ultrasound (the gold standard test). Data from patients older than 18 years admitted to Pretoria Academic Hospital during 2000-2003 who had both chest X-rays and cardiac ultrasound were included in this cross-sectional, retrospective analysis. Chest X-rays were classified into three quality classes, and the sub-carinal angle (SCA) and sub-angle distance (SAD) were measured twice in all available X-rays by two observers. Intra- and interobserver variability (3 methods) as well as the predictive value of the SCA and SAD measurements were determined using logistic regression (with left atrial size determined by ultrasound as comparator). P-values < 0.05 were regarded as statistically significant for all comparisons. Data for 159 patients were available (154 cardiac ultrasounds and 178 chest radiographs). Intraobserver variability regarding chest X-ray measurements was low with almost perfect concordance (P=0.000). Interobserver variability was higher for supine X-rays. Using logistic regression, a linear model was identified which was statistically significant only for erect X-rays. While goodness-of-fit analysis showed that the model fits the data, performance characteristics were poor, with high sensitivity and low specificity, and an area under the ROC curve of 0.62-0.63, depending on type of X-ray and measurement (SCA or SAD). Linearity in the logit of the dependent variable was assessed, and found to be present at the extremes of carinal angle measurements for the supine X-ray data and in the first three quartiles for erect X-ray data. A non-linear model determined by fractional polynomial analysis did not perform significantly better than the original linear model. Cut-off values for the SCA of 72o and 84o (erect and supine X-rays, respectively) were found to give the best compromise between sensitivity and specificity. The corresponding cut-off values for SAD were 24.1mm and 26.9mm. Assessment of either SCA or SAD to determine left atrial size is equivalent and repeatable, both within the same observer, and between two observers (less so for supine X-rays). While this measure is precise, it was found not to be very accurate. Therefore, chest X-rays are not reliable in predicting left atrial enlargement. Clinical Epidemiology unrestricted 2013-09-07T02:29:05Z 2007-07-09 2013-09-07T02:29:05Z 2007-04-18 2007-07-09 2007-07-06 Dissertation Quinton, S 2007, Comparing chest X-rays with ultrasound for the prediction of left atrial size at Pretoria Academic hospital, MSc dissertation, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, viewed yymmdd < http://hdl.handle.net/2263/26088 > http://hdl.handle.net/2263/26088 http://upetd.up.ac.za/thesis/available/etd-07062007-131258/ © 2007, University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria. application/pdf University of Pretoria
spellingShingle Chest x-rays
Ultrasound
Left atrial size
Pretoria academic hospital
UCTD
Comparing chest X-rays with ultrasound for the prediction of left atrial size at Pretoria Academic hospital
title Comparing chest X-rays with ultrasound for the prediction of left atrial size at Pretoria Academic hospital
title_full Comparing chest X-rays with ultrasound for the prediction of left atrial size at Pretoria Academic hospital
title_fullStr Comparing chest X-rays with ultrasound for the prediction of left atrial size at Pretoria Academic hospital
title_full_unstemmed Comparing chest X-rays with ultrasound for the prediction of left atrial size at Pretoria Academic hospital
title_short Comparing chest X-rays with ultrasound for the prediction of left atrial size at Pretoria Academic hospital
title_sort comparing chest x rays with ultrasound for the prediction of left atrial size at pretoria academic hospital
topic Chest x-rays
Ultrasound
Left atrial size
Pretoria academic hospital
UCTD
url http://hdl.handle.net/2263/26088
http://upetd.up.ac.za/thesis/available/etd-07062007-131258/