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Modelling and optimal control of the market of a telecommunications operator

Dissertation (MEng (Electronic))--University of Pretoria, 2004.

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Other Authors: Craig, Ian K.
Format: Thesis
Published: University of Pretoria 2013
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access_status_str Open Access
author2 Craig, Ian K.
author_browse Craig, Ian K.
author_facet Craig, Ian K.
collection Thesis
dc_rights_str_mv © 2004, University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria.
description Dissertation (MEng (Electronic))--University of Pretoria, 2004.
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institution University of Pretoria (South Africa)
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:37:33.559Z
license_str Other — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UPSpace — University of Pretoria Institutional Repository
publishDate 2013
publishDateRange 2013
publishDateSort 2013
publisher University of Pretoria
publisherStr University of Pretoria
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spelling oai:repository.up.ac.za:2263/27946 Modelling and optimal control of the market of a telecommunications operator Craig, Ian K. henning@swissmail.org Viljoen, Johannes Henning Decision support systems Optimal control Management system Forecasts Telecommunication Global system for mobile communications (GSM) Average revenue per user (ARPU) Predictive control Model based control UCTD Dissertation (MEng (Electronic))--University of Pretoria, 2004. A South African GSM telecommunications market consisting of two incumbents and an entering third player, is modelled utilising a non-linear, system dynamics approach. The model calculates subscriber choice based on a calculated utility. The utility is used to obtain a probability which is fed into a Bass type differential equation relating the different states in the model to their time derivatives. The model encapsulates all the prominent postpaid price plans in the market, as well as five different demographic market segments. Model Predictive Control is used to synthesise a linear feedback controller which uses the observed market state to optimally determine a price time series for one of the operators’ products. The series will maximise Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) for the operator over the simulation time interval. Besides ARPU, the controller is also able to increase total revenue and minimise churn over the simulated interval for the optimising operator, and thus provides valuable decision support to the marketing management of such an operator. Electrical, Electronic and Computer Engineering unrestricted 2013-09-07T12:38:46Z 2004-09-15 2013-09-07T12:38:46Z 2004-07-08 2004 2004-09-15 Dissertation Viljoen, J 2004, Modelling and optimal control of the market of a telecommunications operator, MEng dissertation, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, viewed yymmdd < http://hdl.handle.net/2263/27946 > http://hdl.handle.net/2263/27946 http://upetd.up.ac.za/thesis/available/etd-09152004-100823/ © 2004, University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria. application/pdf University of Pretoria
spellingShingle Decision support systems
Optimal control
Management system
Forecasts
Telecommunication
Global system for mobile communications (GSM)
Average revenue per user (ARPU)
Predictive control
Model based control
UCTD
Modelling and optimal control of the market of a telecommunications operator
title Modelling and optimal control of the market of a telecommunications operator
title_full Modelling and optimal control of the market of a telecommunications operator
title_fullStr Modelling and optimal control of the market of a telecommunications operator
title_full_unstemmed Modelling and optimal control of the market of a telecommunications operator
title_short Modelling and optimal control of the market of a telecommunications operator
title_sort modelling and optimal control of the market of a telecommunications operator
topic Decision support systems
Optimal control
Management system
Forecasts
Telecommunication
Global system for mobile communications (GSM)
Average revenue per user (ARPU)
Predictive control
Model based control
UCTD
url http://hdl.handle.net/2263/27946
http://upetd.up.ac.za/thesis/available/etd-09152004-100823/