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Fog forecasting at Cape Town International Airport : a climatological approach

Dissertation (MSc)--University of Pretoria, 2011.

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Other Authors: Dyson, Liesl L.
Format: Thesis
Published: University of Pretoria 2013
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access_status_str Open Access
author2 Dyson, Liesl L.
author_browse Dyson, Liesl L.
author_facet Dyson, Liesl L.
collection Thesis
dc_rights_str_mv © 2011, University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria
description Dissertation (MSc)--University of Pretoria, 2011.
format Thesis
id oai:repository.up.ac.za:2263/28956
institution University of Pretoria (South Africa)
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:37:38.698Z
license_str Other — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UPSpace — University of Pretoria Institutional Repository
publishDate 2013
publishDateRange 2013
publishDateSort 2013
publisher University of Pretoria
publisherStr University of Pretoria
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source_str UPSpace — University of Pretoria Institutional Repository
spelling oai:repository.up.ac.za:2263/28956 Fog forecasting at Cape Town International Airport : a climatological approach Dyson, Liesl L. lynvanschalkwyk@gmail.com Van Schalkwyk, Lynette Cape town international airport Self-organising maps Fog type Fog Forecasting Aviation Climatology UCTD Dissertation (MSc)--University of Pretoria, 2011. Cape Town International Airport (CTIA) is located along the extreme southern portion of the west coast of South Africa which has the highest frequency of fog in the country. Fog occurs more frequently at CTIA than at any other of the international airports in South Africa. Fog forecasting research in South Africa has largely been neglected and fog forecast verification results show the urgent need for improvement. Accurate fog forecasts are imperative for the aviation industry to prevent costly flight delays and diversions. The main aim of this research is to improve the forecasts of fog at CTIA. The first step towards realising this aim is to provide aviation forecasters with a comprehensive fog climatology that encompasses all aspects of fog: from the seasonal characteristics, to detail regarding the types of fog that frequently occur, synoptic circulations associated with fog and characteristics of the vertical profile of the lower troposphere and boundary layer in which fog forms. Fog types at CTIA are classified by means of an objective hierarchical classification method that takes the formation mechanisms of fog into consideration. Self Organising Maps (SOMs) are used as a synoptic typing method, to determine the synoptic circulations that are most frequently associated with fog at CTIA. Case studies are presented to illustrate the formation mechanisms of 5 different fog types by means of the synoptic circulation, surface observations, satellite imagery and atmospheric soundings. Conclusions drawn from these case studies can assist forecasters with the identification of potential fog events in advance. It is recommended that climatology and case study results be made available to aviation forecasters at CTIA and that similar studies be conducted for all international airports in South Africa that are frequently affected by fog. Copyright Geography, Geoinformatics and Meteorology unrestricted 2013-09-07T14:33:07Z 2012-05-15 2013-09-07T14:33:07Z 2012-04-05 2011 2012-02-15 Dissertation Van Schalkwyk, L 2011, Fog forecasting at Cape Town International Airport : a climatological approach, MSc dissertation, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, viewed yymmdd < http://hdl.handle.net/2263/28956 > 12/4/126/gm http://hdl.handle.net/2263/28956 http://upetd.up.ac.za/thesis/available/etd-02152012-103420/ © 2011, University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria application/pdf University of Pretoria
spellingShingle Cape town international airport
Self-organising maps
Fog type
Fog
Forecasting
Aviation
Climatology
UCTD
Fog forecasting at Cape Town International Airport : a climatological approach
title Fog forecasting at Cape Town International Airport : a climatological approach
title_full Fog forecasting at Cape Town International Airport : a climatological approach
title_fullStr Fog forecasting at Cape Town International Airport : a climatological approach
title_full_unstemmed Fog forecasting at Cape Town International Airport : a climatological approach
title_short Fog forecasting at Cape Town International Airport : a climatological approach
title_sort fog forecasting at cape town international airport a climatological approach
topic Cape town international airport
Self-organising maps
Fog type
Fog
Forecasting
Aviation
Climatology
UCTD
url http://hdl.handle.net/2263/28956
http://upetd.up.ac.za/thesis/available/etd-02152012-103420/