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Measuring the social costs of coal-based electricity generation in South Africa

Thesis (PhD)--University of Pretoria, 2015.

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Other Authors: Blignaut, James Nelson
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: University of Pretoria 2015
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access_status_str Open Access
author2 Blignaut, James Nelson
author_browse Blignaut, James Nelson
author_facet Blignaut, James Nelson
collection Thesis
dc_rights_str_mv © 2015 University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria.
description Thesis (PhD)--University of Pretoria, 2015.
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institution University of Pretoria (South Africa)
language English
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provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UPSpace — University of Pretoria Institutional Repository
publishDate 2015
publishDateRange 2015
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publisher University of Pretoria
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spelling oai:repository.up.ac.za:2263/45866 Measuring the social costs of coal-based electricity generation in South Africa Blignaut, James Nelson Van Heerden, J.H. (Jan Horn), 1957- Nkambule, Nonophile Promise UCTD System dynamics Coal-fired power plant Plant construction Flue gas desulphurisation Economics Externality Social cost Private cost Thesis (PhD)--University of Pretoria, 2015. Energy technologies interact with the economic, social and environmental systems, and do so not only directly but indirectly as well, through upstream and downstream processes. In addition, the interactions may produce positive and negative repercussions. To make informed decisions on the selection of energy technologies that assist a nation in reaping the socio-economic benefits of power generation technologies with minimal effects on the natural environment, energy technologies need to be understood in the light of the multifaceted system in which they function. But frequently, as disclosed by the literature review conducted in this research, the evaluation of energy technologies lacks clear benchmarks of appropriate assessments, which has resulted in difficulty to compare and to gauge the quality of various assessment practices. The assessment methods and tools tend to be discipline specific with little to no integrations. Parallel with the tools, the technology assessment studies offer piecemeal information that limits deeper understanding of energy technologies and their consequent socio-economic-environmental repercussions. Improved energy technology assessment requires the use of a holistic and integrative approach that traverses the disciplinary nature of energy technology assessment tools, examines the long-term implications of technologies while at the same time embracing energy technologies’ positive-and-negative interactions with the economic, social and environmental systems and in this manner offering economic, social and environmental indicators to assist decision makers in the decision-making process. Accordingly, this study focuses on improving the assessment of energy technologies through the application of a holistic and integrative approach, specifically system dynamics approach along a life-cycle viewpoint. Precisely, focus is on coal-based electricity generation and in particular, the Kusile coal-fired power station near eMalahleni as a case study. A COAL-based Power and Social Cost Assessment (COALPSCA) Model was developed for: (i) understanding coal-based power generation and its interactions with resource inputs, private costs, externalities, externality costs and hence its consequent socio-economic, and environmental impacts over its lifetime and fuel cycle; (ii) aiding coal-based power developers with a useful tool with a clear interface and graphical outputs for detecting the main drivers of private and externality costs and sources of socio-environmental burdens in the system; (iii) aiding energy decision makers with a visual tool for making informed energy-supply decisions that takes into account the financial viability and the socio-environmental consequences of power generation technologies; and for (iv) understanding the impacts of various policy scenarios on the viability of coal-based power generation. The validation of the COALPSCA Model was also conducted. Five structural validity tests were performed, namely structure verification, boundary adequacy, parameter verification, dimensional consistency and extreme condition tests. Behavioural validity was also conducted which included an analysis of the sensitivity of the model outcomes to key parameters such as the load factor, discount rate, private cost growth rates and damage cost growth rates using univariate and multivariate sensitivity analysis. Finally, while attempts were made to incorporate most of the important aspects of power generation in a coal-fired power plant, not all intrinsic aspects were incorporated due to lack of data, gaps in knowledge and anticipated model complication. The shortcomings of the model were highlighted and recommendations for future research were made. tm2015 Economics PhD Unrestricted 2015-07-02T11:05:44Z 2015-07-02T11:05:44Z 2015/04/23 2015 Thesis Nkambule, NP 2015, Measuring the social costs of coal-based electricity generation in South Africa, PhD Thesis, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, viewed yymmdd <http://hdl.handle.net/2263/45866> A2015 http://hdl.handle.net/2263/45866 en © 2015 University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria. application/pdf University of Pretoria
spellingShingle UCTD
System dynamics
Coal-fired power plant
Plant construction
Flue gas desulphurisation
Economics
Externality
Social cost
Private cost
Measuring the social costs of coal-based electricity generation in South Africa
title Measuring the social costs of coal-based electricity generation in South Africa
title_full Measuring the social costs of coal-based electricity generation in South Africa
title_fullStr Measuring the social costs of coal-based electricity generation in South Africa
title_full_unstemmed Measuring the social costs of coal-based electricity generation in South Africa
title_short Measuring the social costs of coal-based electricity generation in South Africa
title_sort measuring the social costs of coal based electricity generation in south africa
topic UCTD
System dynamics
Coal-fired power plant
Plant construction
Flue gas desulphurisation
Economics
Externality
Social cost
Private cost
url http://hdl.handle.net/2263/45866