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A cost effective approach to handle measurement and verification sampling and modelling uncertainties

Dissertation (MEng)--University of Pretoria, 2015.

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Other Authors: Xia, Xiaohua
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: University of Pretoria 2016
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access_status_str Open Access
author2 Xia, Xiaohua
author_browse Xia, Xiaohua
author_facet Xia, Xiaohua
collection Thesis
dc_rights_str_mv © 2016 University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria.
description Dissertation (MEng)--University of Pretoria, 2015.
format Thesis
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institution University of Pretoria (South Africa)
language English
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:39:14.512Z
license_str Other — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UPSpace — University of Pretoria Institutional Repository
publishDate 2016
publishDateRange 2016
publishDateSort 2016
publisher University of Pretoria
publisherStr University of Pretoria
record_format dspace
source_str UPSpace — University of Pretoria Institutional Repository
spelling oai:repository.up.ac.za:2263/56098 A cost effective approach to handle measurement and verification sampling and modelling uncertainties Xia, Xiaohua zadok.olinga@up.ac.za Olinga, Zadok UCTD Dissertation (MEng)--University of Pretoria, 2015. In this study, a measurement and verification (M&V) cost minimisation model is proposed to deal with both the M&V modelling and sampling uncertainties. In order to find the optimal solutions in terms of the modelling accuracy level, and the sample size, the M&V cost that includes the modelling cost, sampling cost, and overhead cost is formulated as the objective function, in which the modelling cost is developed as a function of the modelling accuracy in terms of the coefficient of variation of the room mean square error (CV(RMSE)), and the sampling cost, which is directly related to the sample size. In order to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed model, an optimal M&V modelling and sampling strategy is designed for a traffic intersection lamp retrofit project. In addition, partial optimal M&V plans designed with optimal sampling but non-optimal modelling solutions, or with optimal modelling but non-optimal sampling solutions are employed as the benchmark. Comparisons between the optimal and non-optimal solutions show advantageous cost savings performance in the execution of sampling and modelling activities for the case study. More precisely, the optimal solutions reduce the sampling cost by 55% and the total M&V cost by 14% against the solutions obtained by optimal modelling but non-optimal sampling solutions. To test the applicability and flexibility of the proposed model for the cost-effective design of similar traffic light retrofit projects, simulations have been carried out to evaluate the model performance when applying the model to M&V projects with different characteristics. The simulation results show that the proposed model is able to offer flexible trade-offs between the modelling and sampling uncertainties; namely, using more accurate baseline models and smaller sample sizes or less accurate baseline models but greater sample sizes to accommodate different practical needs in executing M&V projects with different characteristics. The major contributions of this study can be highlighted as follows: 1) a M&V modelling cost model is developed, which is able to offer a quantitative analysis of the M&V baseline model uncertainty and cost; and, 2) a M&V cost minimisation model is proposed to handle both the M&V modelling and sampling uncertainties cost-effectively. The effectiveness and flexibility of this model are demonstrated by a case study and simulations. tm2016 Electrical, Electronic and Computer Engineering MEng Unrestricted 2016-07-29T11:02:05Z 2016-07-29T11:02:05Z 2016-04-15 2015 Dissertation Olinga, Z 2015, A cost effective approach to handle measurement and verification sampling and modelling uncertainties, MEng Dissertation, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, viewed yymmdd <http://hdl.handle.net/2263/56098> A2016 http://hdl.handle.net/2263/56098 en © 2016 University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria. application/pdf University of Pretoria
spellingShingle UCTD
A cost effective approach to handle measurement and verification sampling and modelling uncertainties
title A cost effective approach to handle measurement and verification sampling and modelling uncertainties
title_full A cost effective approach to handle measurement and verification sampling and modelling uncertainties
title_fullStr A cost effective approach to handle measurement and verification sampling and modelling uncertainties
title_full_unstemmed A cost effective approach to handle measurement and verification sampling and modelling uncertainties
title_short A cost effective approach to handle measurement and verification sampling and modelling uncertainties
title_sort cost effective approach to handle measurement and verification sampling and modelling uncertainties
topic UCTD
url http://hdl.handle.net/2263/56098