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Essays on Dynamic Fiscal Incidence Modelling in South Africa

Thesis (PhD)--University of Pretoria, 2019.

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Other Authors: Van Heerden, J.H. (Jan Horn), 1957-
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: University of Pretoria 2020
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access_status_str Open Access
author2 Van Heerden, J.H. (Jan Horn), 1957-
author_browse Van Heerden, J.H. (Jan Horn), 1957-
author_facet Van Heerden, J.H. (Jan Horn), 1957-
collection Thesis
dc_rights_str_mv © 2019 University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria.
description Thesis (PhD)--University of Pretoria, 2019.
format Thesis
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institution University of Pretoria (South Africa)
language English
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:36:59.722Z
license_str Other — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UPSpace — University of Pretoria Institutional Repository
publishDate 2020
publishDateRange 2020
publishDateSort 2020
publisher University of Pretoria
publisherStr University of Pretoria
record_format dspace
source_str UPSpace — University of Pretoria Institutional Repository
spelling oai:repository.up.ac.za:2263/74622 Essays on Dynamic Fiscal Incidence Modelling in South Africa Van Heerden, J.H. (Jan Horn), 1957- stoffies01@gmail.com Bohlmann, Heinrich R. Stofberg, Francois Jacobus UCTD Thesis (PhD)--University of Pretoria, 2019. This thesis considers fiscal incidence modelling in South Africa. We use literature and empirical data to show that the bulk of government expenditure in South Africa is unproductive. For this reason, we suggest an alternative fiscal policy mix that focuses on a specific, productive and wealth-creative expenditure item, investments. By indirectly contributing to greater levels of investments we show that better levels of economic output and social development can be obtained. To analyse the economic consequences of the suggested fiscal policy mix we construct a dynamic, regional computable general equilibrium model. We also add additional features to provide more accurate and detailed results. These include multiple household modelling, social accounting matrix modelling, as well as an in-depth allocation of fiscal expenditures. A policy simulation determines the fiscal incidence of keeping the government real wage bill fixed for a period of five years. Perpetual savings generated by this decision is used to increase investments via a subsidy in the construction industry. From our results the two main contributions of our research emerge. First, the policy simulations provide a detailed analysis of an alternative fiscal policy mix and show that our mix leads to greater levels of economic and social development. By social development we specifically refer to the additional jobs that were created and the increase in real household income, spending, and savings. This fresh, evidence-based perspective on fiscal policy provides policymakers and researchers key insights about the fiscal incidence of government policies in South Africa. Second, TERM-SA provides a flexible tool for evaluating many other economic and political topics as they relate to the South African economy. Economics PhD Unrestricted 2020-05-18T12:03:04Z 2020-05-18T12:03:04Z 2020 2019 Thesis Stofberg, FJ 2019, Essays on Dynamic Fiscal Incidence Modelling in South Africa, PhD Thesis, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, viewed yymmdd <http://hdl.handle.net/2263/74622> A2020 http://hdl.handle.net/2263/74622 en © 2019 University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria. application/pdf University of Pretoria
spellingShingle UCTD
Essays on Dynamic Fiscal Incidence Modelling in South Africa
title Essays on Dynamic Fiscal Incidence Modelling in South Africa
title_full Essays on Dynamic Fiscal Incidence Modelling in South Africa
title_fullStr Essays on Dynamic Fiscal Incidence Modelling in South Africa
title_full_unstemmed Essays on Dynamic Fiscal Incidence Modelling in South Africa
title_short Essays on Dynamic Fiscal Incidence Modelling in South Africa
title_sort essays on dynamic fiscal incidence modelling in south africa
topic UCTD
url http://hdl.handle.net/2263/74622