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Developing a water-energy-food nexus-based approach for sustainable climate change adaptation interventions : a case study of Mpumalanga province

Dissertation (MSc (Geoinformatics))--University of Pretoria, 2023.

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Other Authors: Ramoelo, Abel
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: University of Pretoria 2024
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access_status_str Open Access
author2 Ramoelo, Abel
author_browse Ramoelo, Abel
author_facet Ramoelo, Abel
collection Thesis
dc_rights_str_mv © 2023 University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria.
description Dissertation (MSc (Geoinformatics))--University of Pretoria, 2023.
format Thesis
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institution University of Pretoria (South Africa)
language English
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:40:10.900Z
license_str Other — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UPSpace — University of Pretoria Institutional Repository
publishDate 2024
publishDateRange 2024
publishDateSort 2024
publisher University of Pretoria
publisherStr University of Pretoria
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source_str UPSpace — University of Pretoria Institutional Repository
spelling oai:repository.up.ac.za:2263/95039 Developing a water-energy-food nexus-based approach for sustainable climate change adaptation interventions : a case study of Mpumalanga province Ramoelo, Abel wongalethusilwana640@gmail.com Tsele, Philemon Silwana, Wongalethu UCTD WEF nexus Land use/land cover (LULC) Climate change Adaptation Bibliometric analysis Sustainable development goals (SDGs) SDG-06: Clean water and sanitation Natural and agricultural sciences theses SDG-06 SDG-02: Zero hunger Natural and agricultural sciences theses SDG-02 SDG-09: Industry, innovation and infrastructure Natural and agricultural sciences theses SDG-09 Dissertation (MSc (Geoinformatics))--University of Pretoria, 2023. The challenge of meeting the growing demands for water, energy, and food is further complicated by the impact of climate and land use and land cover (LULC) change. The Mpumalanga Province where agricultural production compete with coal mining for land and water consumption is a prime example of challenges involved in sustaining the water, food, and energy. A more holistic understanding of LULC can help in managing competing land use objectives, leading to improved climate change adaptation strategies. The Water-Energy-Food (WEF) nexus is an effort to address challenges affecting WEF sectors by taking into consideration the inter-relatedness and interdependencies between these sectors to balance their perspectives and management. As a result, this study aimed to undertake a pragmatic approach that is based on geospatial analytical methods to support WEF nexus climate change adaptation in South Africa’s Mpumalanga Province. To achieve this, the study investigated the impact of LULC change on WEF resources by analyzing South African National Land Cover (SANLC) data from 1990, 2014, 2018 and 2020 using Geographical Information Systems (GIS) and remote sensing techniques. The study also located the recently completed and ongoing adaptation projects that contribute to the WEF nexus in the study area. As such, the logistic regression model was implemented using three scenarios to understand the drivers of the location of the WEF nexus-based climate change adaptation interventions or actions spanning from environmental to socio-economic drivers. Scenario 1: Model based on environmental variables only; Scenario 2: socio-economic variables only and scenario 3: combining environmental and socio-economic variables. Based on the understanding of the drivers and spatial estimation, a framework or model was developed to synthesize and prioritize potential areas of climate change adaptation intervention or action in Mpumalanga Province. The results of LULC change over the study period (1990 – 2020) show that the LULC areas under agriculture, built-up areas, mines and quarries increased from 18.84%, 2.33%, 0.61% in 1990 to 23.73%, 3.41% and 0.79% in 2020, respectively. While grasslands have decreased from 37.36% in 1990 to 30.39% in 2020. All of these changes have a direct impact on water supplies, energy sources, and food production. It was evident that more interventions were associated with areas of extreme climatic variables (e.g., drought related). All models were statistically significant, with Area Under the Curve (AUC) = 72% for scenario 1; 67% for scenario 2 and 73% for scenario 3. The results of the spatial estimation revealed that the northeastern region and northwestern region of the Mpumalanga Province should be prioritized for adaptation interventions. This work provided a broader view of the impact of resource use and management on the overall environment and societal well-being. The results obtained from this study indicate that the use of geospatial tools can be beneficial in the planning and prioritization of activities related to climate change adaptation. Water Research Commission (WRC) Geography, Geoinformatics and Meteorology MSc (Geoinformatics) Unrestricted Faculty of Natural and Agricultural Sciences 2024-03-01T13:29:31Z 2024-03-01T13:29:31Z 2024-04-25 2023 Dissertation * A2024 http://hdl.handle.net/2263/95039 10.25403/UPresearchdata.25325044 en © 2023 University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria. application/pdf University of Pretoria
spellingShingle UCTD
WEF nexus
Land use/land cover (LULC)
Climate change
Adaptation
Bibliometric analysis
Sustainable development goals (SDGs)
SDG-06: Clean water and sanitation
Natural and agricultural sciences theses SDG-06
SDG-02: Zero hunger
Natural and agricultural sciences theses SDG-02
SDG-09: Industry, innovation and infrastructure
Natural and agricultural sciences theses SDG-09
Developing a water-energy-food nexus-based approach for sustainable climate change adaptation interventions : a case study of Mpumalanga province
title Developing a water-energy-food nexus-based approach for sustainable climate change adaptation interventions : a case study of Mpumalanga province
title_full Developing a water-energy-food nexus-based approach for sustainable climate change adaptation interventions : a case study of Mpumalanga province
title_fullStr Developing a water-energy-food nexus-based approach for sustainable climate change adaptation interventions : a case study of Mpumalanga province
title_full_unstemmed Developing a water-energy-food nexus-based approach for sustainable climate change adaptation interventions : a case study of Mpumalanga province
title_short Developing a water-energy-food nexus-based approach for sustainable climate change adaptation interventions : a case study of Mpumalanga province
title_sort developing a water energy food nexus based approach for sustainable climate change adaptation interventions a case study of mpumalanga province
topic UCTD
WEF nexus
Land use/land cover (LULC)
Climate change
Adaptation
Bibliometric analysis
Sustainable development goals (SDGs)
SDG-06: Clean water and sanitation
Natural and agricultural sciences theses SDG-06
SDG-02: Zero hunger
Natural and agricultural sciences theses SDG-02
SDG-09: Industry, innovation and infrastructure
Natural and agricultural sciences theses SDG-09
url http://hdl.handle.net/2263/95039