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Identifying the significance of a Foot and Mouth Disease outbreak on the South African beef industry

Mini Dissertation (MSc Agric (Agricultural Economics))--University of Pretoria, 2023.

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Other Authors: Jordaan, Daniel du Plessis Scheepers
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: University of Pretoria 2024
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access_status_str Open Access
author2 Jordaan, Daniel du Plessis Scheepers
author_browse Jordaan, Daniel du Plessis Scheepers
author_facet Jordaan, Daniel du Plessis Scheepers
collection Thesis
dc_rights_str_mv © 2023 University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria.
description Mini Dissertation (MSc Agric (Agricultural Economics))--University of Pretoria, 2023.
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institution University of Pretoria (South Africa)
language English
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license_str Other — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from UPSpace — University of Pretoria Institutional Repository
publishDate 2024
publishDateRange 2024
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publisher University of Pretoria
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spelling oai:repository.up.ac.za:2263/96527 Identifying the significance of a Foot and Mouth Disease outbreak on the South African beef industry Jordaan, Daniel du Plessis Scheepers paigebowen123@gmail.com Davids, Patricia (Tracey) Bowen, Paige Carmen UCTD Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) Foot and Mouth Disease (FMD) South Africa Beef Outbreak Animal disease outbreak Significance Mini Dissertation (MSc Agric (Agricultural Economics))--University of Pretoria, 2023. Foot and Mouth Disease (FMD) is a highly contagious viral disease endemic to South Africa (SA). As accepted by the World Organisation for Animal Health (OIE), South African had an FMD-free zone where vaccination was not practised, until an outbreak in January 2019, leading to the shutdown of SA’s beef exports. While bilateral agreements were made between certain of SA’s trading partners, the outbreak of FMD was generally regarded by industry role players as having a considerable impact on the beef industry of South Africa; however, the extent of this impact was not quantified. This study aims to quantify the impact that an FMD outbreak has on the average beef carcass price in SA. By making use of SA’s volume of beef exported as a proxy to indicate FMD (given that an FMD disease outbreak prevents the export of beef unless bilateral agreements are made between specific trading partners), ordinary least squares (OLS) regression indicated that exports do have a statistically significant impact on the average beef carcass price in SA. However, diagnostic testing on the results showed that the model contained defects and, therefore, was unsuitable for hypothesis testing. On this basis, while the study supported the need to quantify the impact of FMD outbreaks on the South African beef industry, it is recommended that further research is needed, especially noting the structural shift created by the outbreak, as the country’s FMD-free-zone status is yet to be reinstated at the time of writing this study. Agricultural Economics, Extension and Rural Development MSc Agric (Agricultural Economics) Unrestricted Faculty of Natural and Agricultural Sciences 2024-06-19T09:19:59Z 2024-06-19T09:19:59Z 2024-09 2023-11 Mini Dissertation * S2024 http://hdl.handle.net/2263/96527 DOI: https://doi.org/10.25403/UPresearchdata.25837858.v1 https://doi.org/10.25403/UPresearchdata.25837858 en © 2023 University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria. application/pdf University of Pretoria
spellingShingle UCTD
Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
Foot and Mouth Disease (FMD)
South Africa
Beef
Outbreak
Animal disease outbreak
Significance
Identifying the significance of a Foot and Mouth Disease outbreak on the South African beef industry
title Identifying the significance of a Foot and Mouth Disease outbreak on the South African beef industry
title_full Identifying the significance of a Foot and Mouth Disease outbreak on the South African beef industry
title_fullStr Identifying the significance of a Foot and Mouth Disease outbreak on the South African beef industry
title_full_unstemmed Identifying the significance of a Foot and Mouth Disease outbreak on the South African beef industry
title_short Identifying the significance of a Foot and Mouth Disease outbreak on the South African beef industry
title_sort identifying the significance of a foot and mouth disease outbreak on the south african beef industry
topic UCTD
Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
Foot and Mouth Disease (FMD)
South Africa
Beef
Outbreak
Animal disease outbreak
Significance
url http://hdl.handle.net/2263/96527
https://doi.org/10.25403/UPresearchdata.25837858