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Innovation for inclusive development: an agent-based and system dynamics modelling approach to technology adoption in marginalised communities.

Thesis (MEng)--Stellenbosch University, 2023.

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Main Author: Venter, Michal Barend
Other Authors: Grobbelaar, Sara
Format: Thesis
Language:en_ZA
en_ZA
Published: Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University 2023
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access_status_str Open Access
author Venter, Michal Barend
author2 Grobbelaar, Sara
author_browse Grobbelaar, Sara
Venter, Michal Barend
author_facet Grobbelaar, Sara
Venter, Michal Barend
author_sort Venter, Michal Barend
collection Thesis
dc_rights_str_mv Stellenbosch University
description Thesis (MEng)--Stellenbosch University, 2023.
format Thesis
id oai:scholar.sun.ac.za:10019.1/126963
institution Stellenbosch University (South Africa)
language en_ZA
en_ZA
last_indexed 2026-06-10T12:44:45.702Z
license_str Other — see source repository
provenance_str_mv Harvested via OAI-PMH from SUNScholar — Stellenbosch University Repository
publishDate 2023
publishDateRange 2023
publishDateSort 2023
publisher Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University
publisherStr Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University
record_format dspace
source_str SUNScholar — Stellenbosch University Repository
spelling oai:scholar.sun.ac.za:10019.1/126963 Innovation for inclusive development: an agent-based and system dynamics modelling approach to technology adoption in marginalised communities. Venter, Michal Barend Grobbelaar, Sara Multiagent systems Economic development Technological innovations Thesis (MEng)--Stellenbosch University, 2023. ENGLISH ABSTRACT: Innovation has been described as a key driver of economic growth. Traditional forms of innovation, however, generally focus on macro-level economic growth and often fail to include marginalised communities. This has been argued to exacerbate inequality within society. The concept of Innovation for Inclusive Development (I4ID) builds on the innovation systems literature and aims to address the shortcomings of traditional innovation systems towards marginalised communities. I4ID aims to improve the socio-economic status of marginalised communities by involving them in the innovation process. The literature on I4ID has matured over recent years, but formal modelling has thus far lagged the theoretical advancements. This thesis aims to address this gap by developing a formal model of a project that introduces an innovation to a marginalised community using the I4ID literature. The conceptual foundation of the formal model was formed by combining various technology adoption models to ensure the requirements of I4ID were met. Roger’s Diffusion of Innovation (DOI) theory was used as a basis for the conceptual model. A key component of the DOI is the innovation-decision process which details various stages an individual progresses through over time as they make their adoption decision. These stages are qualitatively described in the DOI. The Decomposed-Theory of Planned Behaviour (DTPB) was incorporated to quantify the innovation-decision process with thresholds of an individual's specific belief structures (as described in the DTPB). Further, the Concerns-Based Adoption Model was incorporated to focus the innovation-decision process detailed in the DOI on the local needs and demands of the marginalised community. Finally, a hybrid-model, using system dynamics and agent-based modelling, was selected as an appropriate modelling technique to capture the macro-level system processes and the micro-level analysis of actors in a marginalised community. The developed model, the Technology Adoption Model for Marginalised Communities (TAMMAC), is intended to provide a quantitative method of identifying the critical leverage points to ensure an innovation is successfully introduced to a marginalised community. The Creation of Legitimacy function was selected to indicate whether adoption occurred successfully. This decision meant that adoption was not considered as the mere use of an innovation but rather as the positive and meaningful impact of an innovation through its use and integration within a community. Adopting this legitimacy perspective aligns with the I4ID goal of improving the socio-economic status of marginalised communities. A formal model was developed to apply the TAMMAC to the ICT for Education (ICT4E) case study. The ICT4E project aimed to improve teaching and learning in rural schools by introducing tablets. The developed model indicated that the project’s initial implementation did not foster enough legitimacy in the tablets to ensure a sustainable outcome. Several scenarios were developed to identify effective interventions to ensure the legitimization of the tablets. The key interventions identified centred around ensuring technology availability and restructuring the training offered. The TAMMAC answered calls from researchers to modify existing adoption models to be more suited for an I4ID context. Integrating system dynamics and agent-based modelling allows for a macro-level analysis of larger processes in a system and a micro-level analysis of the marginalised community. Interventions that promote the legitimacy of an innovation may be determined by analysing the decomposed belief structures of the community. However, it is recommended that future research explores ways to strengthen the measure of legitimacy in the TAMMAC and incorporate the influence of an individual’s innovativeness on their adoption-decision process. AFRIKAANS OPSOMMING: Innovasie word beskryf as 'n sleutelaandrywer van ekonomiese groei. Tradisionele vorme van innovasie fokus oor die algemeen egter op ekonomiese groei op ‘n makrovlak en versuim dikwels om gemarginaliseerde gemeenskappe in te sluit. Navorsing voer aan dat dit ongelykheid in die samelewing vererger. Die konsep van Innovasie vir Inklusiewe Ontwikkeling (I4ID) bou voort op die innovasiestelselliteratuur en daarop gefokus om die tekortkominge van tradisionele innovasiestelsels teenoor gemarginaliseerde gemeenskappe aan te spreek. I4ID mik daarop om die sosio-ekonomiese status van gemarginaliseerde gemeenskappe te verbeter deur hulle by die innovasieproses te betrek. Die literatuur oor I4ID het die afgelope paar jaar baie gegroei, maar formele modellering het tot dusver nie kers vasgehou by die teoretiese vordering nie. Hierdie tesis het ten doel om hierdie gaping aan te spreek deur gebruik te maak van die I4ID literatuur om 'n formele model van 'n projek te ontwikkel wat 'n innovasie aan 'n gemarginaliseerde gemeenskap bekendstel. Die konseptuele grondslag van die formele model is gevorm deur verskeie tegnologie-aannemingsmodelle te kombineer om te verseker dat daar aan die vereistes van I4ID voldoen word. Roger se Diffusion of Innovation (DOI) teorie is as basis vir die konseptuele model gebruik. 'n Sleutelkomponent van die DOI is die innovasiebesluitnemingsproses wat verskillende stadiums uiteensit waardeur'n individu met verloop van tyd deurgaan terwyl hulle hul aannemingsbesluit neem. Hierdie stadiums word kwalitatief in die DOI beskryf. Die Decomposed-Theory of Planned Behaviour (DTPB) is geïnkorporeer om die innovasie-besluitnemingsproses te kwantifiseer met drempels van 'n individu se spesifieke geloofstrukture (soos beskryf in die DTPB). Verder is die Concerns-Based Adoption Model (CBAM) geïnkorporeer om die innovasie-besluitnemingsproses wat in die DOI uiteengesit word, te rig op die plaaslike behoeftes en eise van die gemarginaliseerde gemeenskap. Laastens is 'n hibriede model, wat sisteemdinamika en agentgebaseerde modellering gebruik, gekies as 'n gepaste modelleringstegniek om die makrovlak sisteemprosesse en die mikrovlakanalise van akteurs in 'n gemarginaliseerde gemeenskap vas te vang. Die ontwikkelde model, die Tegnologie-aannemingsmodel vir gemarginaliseerde gemeenskappe (TAMMAC), is bedoel om 'n kwantitatiewe metode te verskaf om die kritieke hefboompunte te identifiseer om te verseker dat 'n innovasie suksesvol aan 'n gemarginaliseerde gemeenskap bekendgestel word. Die Skepping van Legitimiteit-funksie is gekies om aan te dui of aanneming suksesvol plaasgevind het. Hierdie besluit het beteken dat aanvaarding nie as die blote gebruik van 'n innovasie beskou is nie, maar eerder as die positiewe en betekenisvolle impak van 'n innovasie deur die gebruik en integrasie daarvan binne 'n gemeenskap. Die aanvaarding van hierdie legitimiteitsperspektief stem ooreen met die I4ID-doelwit om die sosio-ekonomiese status van gemarginaliseerde gemeenskappe te verbeter. 'n Formele model is ontwikkel om die TAMMAC toe te pas op die ICT vir Onderwys (ICT4E) gevallestudie. Die ICT4E-projek het ten doel gehad om onderrig en leer in landelike skole te verbeter deur tablette aan hulle bekend te stel. Die ontwikkelde model het aangedui dat die projek se aanvanklike implementering nie genoeg legitimiteit in die tablette bevorder het om 'n volhoubare uitkoms te verseker nie. Verskeie scenario's is ontwikkel om effektiewe intervensies te identifiseer om die legitimering van die tablette te verseker. Die sleutelintervensies wat geïdentifiseer is, het gesentreer rondom die versekering van tegnologiebeskikbaarheid en die herstrukturering van die opleiding wat aangebied word. Die TAMMAC het oproepe van navorsers beantwoord om bestaande aannemingsmodelle te verander om meer geskik te wees vir 'n I4ID-konteks. Die integrasie van sisteemdinamika en agent-gebaseerde modellering maak voorsiening vir 'n makro-vlak analise van groter prosesse in 'n sisteem en 'n mikrovlak analise van die gemarginaliseerde gemeenskap. Intervensies wat die legitimiteit van 'n innovasie bevorder, kan bepaal word deur die ontbinde geloofstrukture van die gemeenskap te ontleed. Dit word egter aanbeveel dat toekomstige navorsing maniere ondersoek om die mate van legitimiteit in die TAMMAC te versterk en die invloed van 'n individu se vernuwing op hul aanneming-besluitproses te inkorporeer. Masters 2023-02-10T15:31:04Z 2023-05-18T06:57:48Z 2023-02-10T15:31:04Z 2023-05-18T06:57:48Z 2023-03 Thesis http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/126963 en_ZA en_ZA Stellenbosch University xii, 115 pages : illustrations. application/pdf Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University
spellingShingle Multiagent systems
Economic development
Technological innovations
Venter, Michal Barend
Innovation for inclusive development: an agent-based and system dynamics modelling approach to technology adoption in marginalised communities.
title Innovation for inclusive development: an agent-based and system dynamics modelling approach to technology adoption in marginalised communities.
title_full Innovation for inclusive development: an agent-based and system dynamics modelling approach to technology adoption in marginalised communities.
title_fullStr Innovation for inclusive development: an agent-based and system dynamics modelling approach to technology adoption in marginalised communities.
title_full_unstemmed Innovation for inclusive development: an agent-based and system dynamics modelling approach to technology adoption in marginalised communities.
title_short Innovation for inclusive development: an agent-based and system dynamics modelling approach to technology adoption in marginalised communities.
title_sort innovation for inclusive development an agent based and system dynamics modelling approach to technology adoption in marginalised communities
topic Multiagent systems
Economic development
Technological innovations
url http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/126963
work_keys_str_mv AT ventermichalbarend innovationforinclusivedevelopmentanagentbasedandsystemdynamicsmodellingapproachtotechnologyadoptioninmarginalisedcommunities